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Messages - MRMIKESMITH

#2
With Cortland winning it all with 90% of their players from the State of NY and having Freshman playing at key positions. It's no excuse for the rest of the Region to step their game up. No complaining about administration, roster limits, etc. It's up to the program to recruit better, remove complacency and do a full system recheck. What we currently have is clearly not good enough, the standard and bar are not good enough. Salisbury has to recruit better, Salisbury has to get back to recruiting at a minimum the great Wesley teams, however that's not enough, Salisbury has to recruit to the level of National Championship. Cortland proved it, no more excuses. Revaluate players, coaches, scheme. These last 3 years, we been coasting and boasting based on winning a conference that is in the bottom 3rd of the division. We didn't make the post-season this past year, the previous two years prior, we got our doors blown out in the first round. We can't do that no more!!! It's not okay.  I'm envious, I want Salisbury to have what Cortland have. If players and coaches don't have that drive, then I don't want it part of the program. We have the recruiting area, we have the facilities. We need better players, better coaching, and better administration support. Everyone has to be on board to get to National Championship level. Trying to be regionally good is not going to cut it.
#3
Quote from: ExTartanPlayer on December 17, 2023, 06:15:12 AM
Considering that Grove City a) beat the only team that beat the eventual national champions and b) lost a close heartbreaker to the national champions themselves and c) needed to work hard to beat W&J and CMU, maybe Pat will reluctantly concede that the top teams in the PAC were perhaps a bit underrated.

What a moment for D3 football. Maybe we're finally past the days when there are only 2 or 3 teams are real national title contenders. Massive congrats to Cortland (what an epic game!) and they give me hope that D3 football is now a sport where a bunch of top 25ish schools play on relatively equal footing rather than there being a big 2-3-4 teams that are 30 points clear of everyone else.


Not saying Pat won't. However, many voters still see the the next best R1/R2 team as eigth best.
#4
Quote from: XREDDRAGON77 on November 18, 2023, 08:14:01 PM
I saw parts of the game today. Was at the Marist v Bucknell game but had the live stream on! Very curious as to how focused the Dragons were today. Endicott was a good team...but a post Cortaca let down and potentially looking ahead to a Susquehanna rematch seem like potential distractions! Take Endicott's marquee win away and it's easy to overlook the New England teams in round 1. Typically they get mopped up and their pool A bids take away from the pool c candidates in the heavy hitter leagues! I'm probably totally off, but luckily we get to do it again next week!

Endicott earned every bit of their Pool A bid IMHO.
#5
General football / Re: Pool C 2023
November 18, 2023, 09:00:06 PM
Is there somewhere to watch the replay of the bracket blitz? Teams already removed videos or have restrictions on replay (although I though that was not allowed, since it was a NCAA sponsored event). Not like teams are sign stealing  :D
#6
General football / Re: Bracket Projection - 2023
November 11, 2023, 11:47:59 PM
Here is my updated bracket - www.officepoolstop.com/Brackets/35411

I went with the most cost effective bracket and avoided rematches until 3rd round. The committee could pair NCC with Johns Hopkins for fairness, but I don't think that'll be the case due to the R5 committee having Wartburg over NCC. Let me know your thoughts. Also, Minn. Morris can only go to a few schools so they are in the quadrant with the #1 Seed Wartburg and St. John's.

My previous bracket had Belhaven to Mount and Mount hosting the travel bracket and in a quad with Wheaton and Grove City, while giving NCC the "easier road', but again with the way R5 had them placed behind Wartburg, I didn't give NCC the benefit of the doubt.

#7
Quote from: UfanBill on November 11, 2023, 06:37:57 PM
I came on here as a Union fan looking for comments about the CC and Muhlenberg specifically.The Centennial Conference is one of the best and arguably most competitive leagues in all D3 football. Where are all your posters??? I suspect there is another forum that CC fans use to communicate with each other. Link please.

I think with technology, many folks go striaght to the website to get the information they need on social media. I know for some teams, they don't encourage players to look at D3boards at all or the website and to focus on the 1 game at a time. I wish all DIII schools marketed the boards to the parents/alum. I just don't think many Coaches, OCs, and DCs could stomach what would be said on these boards. Then there is the vetting of emails by D3football to preven trolls. Many posters that would have general conversations would get overun by trolls, current players fake account, etc.
#8
General football / Re: Bracket Projection - 2023
November 10, 2023, 08:24:40 AM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on November 10, 2023, 12:09:43 AM
Quote from: MRMIKESMITH on November 09, 2023, 11:06:58 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on November 09, 2023, 11:03:32 PM
Quote from: MRMIKESMITH on November 09, 2023, 10:45:23 PM
Here is my updated bracket based upon new RR - www.officepoolstop.com/Brackets/35411.

#1 Seeds - North Central, Mount Union, Wartburg, and Johns Hopkins
#2 Seeds - Susquehanna, Linfield, UW-L, and Cortland State

North Central as in previous years and based upon previous years playoffs will have the #1 overall seed and host throughout the playoffs and be bracketed with Johns Hopkins Regional. Although Wartburg will have one of the best resume's, Mount Union got the overall #2 #1 seed, as such hosting the "weaker" travel bracket. Wartburg will have a much easier 1st round game this year, but will have the toughest road to the semi's solely due to regionality. Another thing of note, due to Belhaven not having a travel partner, I flew them into Alliance. I tried to setup the bracket so that we avoid rematches the 1st two rounds, but the committee is not obligated to do that and I expect to see a couple of rematches in the 2nd round this year.
Do I count three 1st round flights?  (Are we still at 500 miles? I did not see the answer in the FAQ's.)

Chapman to Linfield
Belhaven to UMU
MSJ to UW-L

Why not fly Belhaven to UW-L and drive MSJ to UMU? Two flights

It saves to keep all flight oriented teams in the same bracket. In your example, if Belhaven were to win first two rounds, that's an extra flight 3rd round.
Arguably, those are #2 vs #7 matchups. The only 2v7 or 1v8 matchups in which the underdog won that I can remember are 2022 Aurora vs UWW, and 2004 UMHB vs Trinity TX back in the 28-bid era..

In the 2nd round Belhaven to Wheaton IL is about 740 miles.

MSJ to either Bethel or Aurora in round #2 is another flight.

Respectfully, were I the committee chair, I would take my chances on Belhaven to UW-L.

That was an error. I forgot to switch Illinois College and MSJ. Great Catch!
#9
General football / Re: Bracket Projection - 2023
November 09, 2023, 11:06:58 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on November 09, 2023, 11:03:32 PM
Quote from: MRMIKESMITH on November 09, 2023, 10:45:23 PM
Here is my updated bracket based upon new RR - www.officepoolstop.com/Brackets/35411.

#1 Seeds - North Central, Mount Union, Wartburg, and Johns Hopkins
#2 Seeds - Susquehanna, Linfield, UW-L, and Cortland State

North Central as in previous years and based upon previous years playoffs will have the #1 overall seed and host throughout the playoffs and be bracketed with Johns Hopkins Regional. Although Wartburg will have one of the best resume's, Mount Union got the overall #2 #1 seed, as such hosting the "weaker" travel bracket. Wartburg will have a much easier 1st round game this year, but will have the toughest road to the semi's solely due to regionality. Another thing of note, due to Belhaven not having a travel partner, I flew them into Alliance. I tried to setup the bracket so that we avoid rematches the 1st two rounds, but the committee is not obligated to do that and I expect to see a couple of rematches in the 2nd round this year.
Do I count three 1st round flights?  (Are we still at 500 miles? I did not see the answer in the FAQ's.)

Chapman to Linfield
Belhaven to UMU
MSJ to UW-L

Why not fly Belhaven to UW-L and drive MSJ to UMU? Two flights

It saves to keep all flight oriented teams in the same bracket. In your example, if Belhaven were to win first two rounds, that's an extra flight 3rd round.
#10
General football / Re: Bracket Projection - 2023
November 09, 2023, 10:45:23 PM
Here is my updated bracket based upon new RR - www.officepoolstop.com/Brackets/35411.

#1 Seeds - North Central, Mount Union, Wartburg, and Johns Hopkins
#2 Seeds - Susquehanna, Linfield, UW-L, and Cortland State

North Central as in previous years and based upon previous years playoffs will have the #1 overall seed and host throughout the playoffs and be bracketed with Johns Hopkins Regional. Although Wartburg will have one of the best resume's, Mount Union got the overall #2 #1 seed, as such hosting the "weaker" travel bracket. Wartburg will have a much easier 1st round game this year, but will have the toughest road to the semi's solely due to regionality. Another thing of note, due to Belhaven not having a travel partner, I flew them into Alliance. I tried to setup the bracket so that we avoid rematches the 1st two rounds, but the committee is not obligated to do that and I expect to see a couple of rematches in the 2nd round this year.
#11
I just saw a post from D3Football regarding the 5-Way tie. If by good fortune Salisbury does have the opportunity to play in the playoffs, it would be great to be a playoff participant and something the program can add to its tally of post-season births. However, I think based upon the product that has been displayed throughout the season that a bowl game would be much more beneficial for both player and coaches morale standpoint. I think playing a more competitive game would allow for better review going into offseason. Now, if Salisbury does make the playoff, I can definitely see them going back to Alliance. It's projected that Johns Hopkins, NCC, Mount Union, and Wartburg/UW-L will most likely be #1 seeds. A 7-3/6-4 NJAC tea  will most likely be #8 seed and no higher than #7 (solely for regional purposes), so based upon those #1 seeds, Salisbury and CNU both having played Johns Hopkins will likely get ship to Alliance. TCNJ or Montclair could reasonably be sent to Johns Hopkins. Best Case scenarios would be to play possible #2 seeds in the winner of Cortaca, R-MC, and Susquehanna.
#12
General football / Re: Bracket Projection - 2023
November 08, 2023, 11:38:29 AM
Quote from: Captainred81 on November 08, 2023, 09:48:07 AM
I think your bracket looks good with your conference winners and pool candidates.  The top seeds are questionable to me.  I imagine that Johns Hopkins will capture one with the 4th highest SOS, 10-0 and Conference champ...2 RR wins.  If it is done as nameless schools and using the criteria to rank, I think they deserve a spot there.  So my prediction is Hopkins, UW-L, NCC and Mount Union.  I think NCC is the top seed overall, and Mount is probably #2.  So Wartburg goes with Mount and UW-L goes with NCC. 

Looking at last years bracket, NCC got paired up with all east located teams, except lake Forest in the first round.  Mount seemed to have the east and mid atlantic teams. 

St. Johns was pretty regional with central and northern teams.

The last bracket was mostly island teams with Bethel and Wheaton.

I think the committee tries to, as much as possible, mix matchups in the first round and keep their eyes on flights.  They probably start with the teams are flying regardless.  Like Linfield and SCIAC.  Either they fly or someone flies to them.  I think after that, flights are what they are.  They can't spend too much time trying to predict who is going win in the 2nd round.  For instance last year, Bethel beat Wheaton, and then flew to Linfield... If Linfield had beaten Bethel, then there would have been a nother flight. 

All of this is to say, I think the pairings in your bracket will change because the comittee will have a few teams in brackets where they dont fit the geographical mold

I actually think Wartburg should be highly considered for a #1 Seed with potentially having 4 RR wins with wins over Monmouth (7-2), Coe (8-1), Central (7-2), and Bethel (7-2). I feel as though no one wants to give them the nod. I see a lot of penciling in UW-L as #1, which is debatable, but H2H and the same record as Hardin-Simmons, I find it difficult to just pencil them in. Last year, we saw St. John's as #1, but they had a chance to revenge their in-season loss, UW-L does not. I would have North Central, Mount Union, Wartburg, Johns Hopkins/Susquehanna, UW-L as possible #1 seed candidates.
#13
I won't give a Good, Bad, and Ugly. I didn't travel to the game and was unable to watch the game online due to McDaniel technical issues (not sure if they have video or not for football). Looking at the box score, it appears Salisbury was able dominate in the run game while capitalizing in the passing game as well. Defense kept the run game at bay and got some turnovers. Only concern, which at this point of the season really doesn't matter too much, is the long td drives by McDaniel, which appeared to be aided by some penalties here and there. Also, not sure if McDaniel is known for it, but they passed for 307 yards, which is never a good thing regardless of blowout or not.

Now, regarding the NJAC potential 5-way tie, it appears that it comes down to TCNJ and CNU, I couldn't jest from this mornings podcast if other teams outside of TCNJ and CNU had a chance to win with the 1st half score scenarios. It's going to be a tough one, CNU escaped last year by 3 at CNU. However, I don't think TCNJ scores enough points in the 1st half to change the point total. Regardless, the NJAC champ will be on the road the following week to either Johns Hopkins, Susquehanna, R-MC, or worst case scenario to Mount Union.
#14
General football / Re: Bracket Projection - 2023
November 06, 2023, 08:49:31 AM
Quote from: sju56321 on November 05, 2023, 08:32:58 PM
So LaCrosse or UWW would be a 3 seed-one in Wartburg bracket and the other in NCC bracket? Wow.

I will adjust my projected bracket after the Regional Rankings are provided later this week. Those rankings will provide clarity. I will also try to avoid rematches in the 1st round and 2nd rounds as long as it is seeding appropriate (not including travel bracket). With the 500 mile rule back in play, I believe a WIAC team (UWW or UWL) will play either NCC or Wartburg in the 2nd round. The only thing that may change is the higher ranked WIAC team may/should host the 1st two rounds. Looking at last year UWW hosted a 1 loss Aurora, while a one loss UW-L was sent on the road to Wartburg. Another option depending on ranking is to have Aurora and Alma face off in a 4/5 and UW-L host MIAC Champion in the quadrant. While St. John's (Pool C) faces UW-W at UW-W and the winner plays the winner of Wartburg/Ill Coll.

Edit: I just went ahead and adjusted based upon aforementioned scenario. Thanks SJU
#15
General football / Re: Bracket Projection - 2023
November 05, 2023, 06:37:35 PM
Here is the updated bracket - www.officepoolstop.com/Brackets/35411.

#1 Seeds - NCC, Mount Union, Wartburg, Johns Hopkins
#2 Seeds - Linfield, Grove City Cortland State, Aurora UW-L, Susquehanna

Pool C - UWW, Wheaton, Union, and St. John's (If Bethel wins, they get in)

This bracket is one of the unique brackets as the Travel bracket is the NCC bracket. The question is does the committee value SOS or wins when discussing #1 seeds, that would give a WIAC school a #1 seed rather than Wartburg, thus probably giving a WIAC school the Travel bracket and putting Wartburg as the #2 seed in the NCC bracket. Thoughts?

Edit - Gave Cortland and UW-L #2 Seeds.