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Messages - Roundball999

#1
Quote from: Hope Fan on February 23, 2024, 10:20:16 AMSuper happy this site is back up.
Not much of a MIAA race this year with Hope running away in the standings.
But Hope could have lost any number of games.
Not sure if that last loss shows weakness or if it was a needed wake up ala National Championship year.
Either way, one of four teams is going to win tonight and tomorrow to earn the right to play again next week and the other three are goin' fishing.

I think the Dutch have done a fantastic job this year, pulling out many close games at the end.  That kind of poise under pressure is rare at this level.  I also think they've played to their potential most of the year, a sign of great effort and focus by the women and usual excellent coaching by Coach Morehouse.  That said, they are clearly more vulnerable than many Dutch teams in the past.  The reason I believe that is primarily the lack of the stifling and disruptive defense of past years.  Scoring margin, steals, TO margin in particular are way below recent memory.    That defense previously could carry the Dutch through the occasional off shooting night.
#2
Quote from: ronk on December 03, 2023, 12:44:48 AM
Congrats to Juniata's volleyballers who went undefeated this season, winning the national championship with a repeat of last year and their 4th national championship. Seemed like 1/3 of Hope's points were unforced server errors by Juniata, so their domination within play was even greater than the scores would indicate.
  Scranton's volleyballers won as many sets(1) in the conference championship against Juniata as all of Juniata's 6 NCAA tournament foes combined.

Yes, another incredible season for Juniata, congratulations!  I'll give just a little respect to Hope too, having won an NCAA tournament record four straight 5-set matches just to get to the title game.  With only one senior on the team, maybe Hope can give Juniata a more competitive match should they meet again next year.
#3
Quote from: RogK on March 02, 2023, 12:33:59 PM
Baguley's shooting is simply superb, by the way :
26/50 3FGs = .520
105/162 2FGs = .648
56/67 FTs = .836
288 of her points via 212 FG att = .679 effective FG% (288/424)

Yes, she's been on fire pretty much all year.  Though she's played 2nd most minutes of any Hope player, it's still only 21 mpg.  Hope's typically deep rotation usually prevents players from showing up on individual leaderboards.
#4
Quote from: Pat Coleman on March 02, 2023, 12:16:36 PM
Quote from: Roundball999 on March 02, 2023, 11:54:28 AM
Quote from: RogK on March 02, 2023, 11:22:35 AM
One notable player on Emory is 5'6" sophomore Daniella Aronsky.
She currently is #1 nationally (D3 WBB) in 3FG% at .473, averaging 2.58 made in 5.46 att per game.
That's the equivalent of slightly over 70% in 2FG shooting.
And she rates #2 nationally in assists per game at 6.625; Alexis Durham of Notre Dame Maryland is best at 6.64.


Couldn't figure out why Hope players weren't showing up on the individual 3 pt % list, after all they lead the nation in team 3 pt %, are #6 in made 3 pt/game, and Claire Baguley has been over 50% all year.  It doesn't say so on the NCAA stat page but there must be a required number of minimum attempts that none of the Hope players meet.  They have so many different players that take and make threes that none of the individuals make the list.  Strange, but part of what makes themn tough; you can't focus on just one or two shooters.


If you're following the link from D3hoops.com for NCAA stats, it takes you to NCAA.org. On that site, when you get to individual stats and the leaders in three-point percentage, it says this:

Min. 2 made per game | Players must play in 75% of their team's games   


Thanks.  I actually just go straight to https://www.ncaa.com/stats/basketball-women/d3 and there it makes no mention of the required minimums.  Strange again.
#5
Quote from: RogK on March 02, 2023, 11:22:35 AM
One notable player on Emory is 5'6" sophomore Daniella Aronsky.
She currently is #1 nationally (D3 WBB) in 3FG% at .473, averaging 2.58 made in 5.46 att per game.
That's the equivalent of slightly over 70% in 2FG shooting.
And she rates #2 nationally in assists per game at 6.625; Alexis Durham of Notre Dame Maryland is best at 6.64.


Couldn't figure out why Hope players weren't showing up on the individual 3 pt % list, after all they lead the nation in team 3 pt %, are #6 in made 3 pt/game, and Claire Baguley has been over 50% all year.  It doesn't say so on the NCAA stat page but there must be a required number of minimum attempts that none of the Hope players meet.  They have so many different players that take and make threes that none of the individuals make the list.  Strange, but part of what makes themn tough; you can't focus on just one or two shooters.
#6
Congrats to the Hope women for pulling out a gut-check win over a tough Albion squad.  It wasn't pretty with both teams shooting around 30% and pretty evenly matched in most statistical categories.  Hope's persistent drives to the rim were rewarded with shooting fouls and that was probably the difference.  Despite Hope's fabulous offensive performance this season, this was the kind of game that worried me and it was nice to see the Dutch defense help them grind through it.

Interesting and confusing game summary on Albion's page:  https://gobrits.com/news/2023/2/24/womens-basketball-wbb-stumbles-in-miaa-semifinals.aspx
#7
Quote from: pointlem on February 18, 2023, 02:45:41 PM
I expect none of us will live long enough to see another quarter of women's basketball shooting like Hope's first quarter against Kalamazoo today. I'm not referring to the 41 to 5 first quarter lead, but to the 16 of 17 shooting, including 9 of 9 threes without a rim touch. (I'm presuming that their game's 21 3-point makes is a team, if not a league, record.)

And to think that the all-senior starting lineup was essentially last year's bench. That was a national championship team with depth—two top-ten teams in one lineup.

The year-after-year Hope women's BB culture, including the evident joy and camaraderie, is a such a pleasure to follow. Small wonder the continued recruiting success and fan support.


That first quarter was amazing to watch, the entire team was unconscious.  9 threes in a quarter without a miss, wow.

But according to the MIAA record book, the 21 threes was not a record.  That belongs to Trine 1/8/2005 when they made 22 vs. Albion.  That same year Trine also set the record for attempts in a game, hoisting 53 on 2/2/2005 vs Alma.  Seems like the 3 pointer was a major part of Trine's offense that year. Am I remembering correctly that the women's 3 point line was closer at that time?
#8
Quote from: HOPEful on February 20, 2023, 08:07:54 AM
I am just not a fan of going back to one site for the semis. Trine is the co-champion and shouldn't have to travel to Hope to play a neutral game against likely Calvin.

At least this season the host school isn't the same for both men and women. 1:30 and 3:30 Friday semis on a neutral court are poorly attended and a horrible way to showcase your #2 and #3 teams.

Agreed.  If the semis were always a highly attended "event" for both games I'd say maybe it makes sense but as it is, seems to me the higher seed should host each game.  They earned it.
#9
Multi-Regional Topics / Re: Top 25 discussion
February 14, 2023, 06:26:06 AM
Quote from: FCGrizzliesGrad on February 14, 2023, 04:52:19 AM
Quote from: Augie2020 on February 14, 2023, 12:02:06 AM
So explain Scottiedawg How a team like Etown gains points for losing and the team that beat them on their homecourt loses points?That is interesting if you can explain it thank you.
The game went to OT which is a tie except we force someone to win. E'town gained 6 points which could be as simple as a single voter seeing a team that was 19-2 go to OT against an unbeaten #3 ranked team and deciding maybe I should have them on my ballot and placing them 19th.
Scranton lost an entire 4 votes. Transylvania won their two games by a combined 153-71 and lost 13 votes.
No game is in a vacuum, the whole landscape ebbs and flows with hundreds of games.

Similarly, Hope had a wire to wire solid win over #17 Calvin in regulation then destroyed Olivet 95-18 - and lost more points than Scranton.  Voters are human and they must have felt the other top teams had comparatively stronger performances. 
#10
Quote from: HOPEful on February 09, 2023, 08:06:12 AM
After last night's game, Calvin is now 37-12 over the last two seasons. Of those 12 losses, 5 are to Hope and 3 are to Trine. Or... they are an incredible 37-4 against teams not from Holland or Angola. Last season, they went 19-2 against teams that didn't make the final four (0-6 against Whitewater, Hope, and Trine).

That's all my long-winded lead-in to saying that this is a very good, well coached Calvin team.

Agreed.  MIAA is certainly much more interesting than 5+ years ago when it was Calvin and Hope, or Hope and Calvin, then everyone else.  Trine seems to be a fixture now near the top of the league and for several years Albion has given those top 3 some real challenges as well.
#11
Multi-Regional Topics / Re: Top 25 discussion
February 07, 2023, 01:32:00 PM
Quote from: Augie2020 on February 07, 2023, 12:49:44 PM
Roundball:Not sure how massey works but when you go deep into the schedule CNU played one team under 40 and that was Santa Cruz #35,Transylvania played no one under 40 and just one team in the top 100 in massey  Scranton beat #13 Wartburg by 22 neutral court,#31 Tufts by 9 neutral court #34 Ithaca by 20 at home and #38 etown at home by 20.So I will never understand massey and how they work I just don't get how Scranton played all those teams and SOS is still thst high?

I don't pretend to fully understand Massey, but do know it's just math.  No such thing as an "eye-test" for Massey.  It doesn't cherry pick certain games or opponents, it considers all games and strength of all opponents.  I don't think it pays much (any?) attention to winning margins since that is too subjective and dependent on the coach; we all know that some of the strongest teams could have much higher average winning margins if they played their best players more minutes.  It does seem with Massey that if a team doesn't have a relatively strong SoS compared to other top contenders, it's very hard for that team to climb to the top of the rankings.

More explanation of SoS from Massey here:  https://masseyratings.com/theory/sched.htm
#12
Multi-Regional Topics / Re: Top 25 discussion
February 07, 2023, 06:51:14 AM
FWIW, Massey SoS for the top 10 teams are:

72    CNU
165  Transylvania
108  Scranton
81    Trinity
53    Smith
18    NYU
28    Hope
65    Hardin-Simmons
276  Desales
62    Ohio Northern

I suspect the comparatively weak SoS of the top undefeated teams is causing some confusion among voters and splitting some votes.
#13
I didn't see the Wheaton game but noted from the box score that Ellie Cassel had a nice night with 12 pts on 6-10 shooting; 14 rebs, 4 assists, 3 blocks, 2 steals and only 1 TO in 35 minutes.  This after losing a starting spot and playing dwindling minutes in recent games.  Just a matchup decision, or something else?
#14
Just noticed that Hope is leading the nation in team FG % and also in team 3pt %.  Quite impressive!  I must admit it makes me a little nervous not to see the Dutch among the team defensive leaders as has been the case in recent years, but I guess at the end of the day the team that scores the most wins.
#15
Quote from: Gregory Sager on January 23, 2023, 06:10:35 PM
Millikin is still sitting in the middle of the D3hoops.com Top 25's grab bag of leftovers, aka the ORV category, with 18 points. To no one's great surprise, no other CCIW teams appeared on a ballot this week.

https://www.d3hoops.com/top25/index


Still last week's poll, I think?