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Central Region / Re: WBB: College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin
« Last post by lmitzel on Today at 09:12:44 am »
Congrats to Carthage and Elmhurst for very good CCIW seasons and in particular to their fine group of seniors. Hopefully Carthage still has a chance at making the national tourney. The 'jays likely don't.

Neither team is ranked in the Central so last night was it for them. Elmhurst finishes 13-13, and that won’t get you into the tournament. Carthage was better, obviously, and was ranked in the first set, but they fell out once RRO’s came into play. They had a good year, to be sure, but just not quite enough to talk Big Dance.

IWU is a lock. Wheaton probably is too after making it back to the title game. Whoever loses tonight won’t have to wait too nervously to hear their name called on Monday.
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Applications are now being accepted for this league. Remember, there are time constraints in this league with games starting on Friday. You must be readily available to make a pick (we can't afford 2-3 hour gaps between picks). Once your application and $100 fee has been received, an extensive background check will be conducted. If you pass the background check, you will have to fly out to D3hoops Fantasy League Headquarters for a physical. Please do not partake in alcohol, drugs or sex 48-hrs prior to examination.
Once you've successful completed your physical, you will be put through our 12-hr field test at The Barn (similar to the CIA's The Farm). Only if you finish in the top 1% will you be accepted into this league...or you can just post, "I'm in". That works too. 
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Middle Atlantic Region / Re: Landmark Conference
« Last post by mailsy on Today at 08:56:26 am »
This is d3basketball and we are making comparisons to professionals?


Sterling is a clown Ryan.

Has this whole forum lost its mind?  ;D

Yes.  ;D
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Multi-Regional Topics / Re: Pool C
« Last post by Titan Q on Today at 08:56:23 am »
Here are the games that Pool C bubble teams need to go the right way (listed in order of significance).  The bold teams are the bubble fan's friend this weekend...

Bubble Bursters (projected Pool A teams that could steal a Pool C
* Augustana over NCC in the CCIW final, Saturday 8pm ET

* Wittenberg over Ohio Wesleyan in the NCAC final, Saturday 4pm ET

* Eastern Connecticut over Keene State in the LEC final, Saturday 5pm ET

* Cabrini over Neumann in the CSAC final, Saturday 7pm ET

* John Carroll over Ohio Northern in the OAC final, Saturday 7:30pm ET

* Ramapo over William Paterson in the NJAC final, Saturday 3:00pm ET

* Plattsburgh State over SUNY Oneonta in the SUNYAC final, Saturday 4:00pm ET

* Albright over Lebanon Valley in the Commonwealth final, Saturday 4:00pm ET

* Maryville (TN) over Covenant in the USAC final, Saturday 6:00pm ET

* Hobart over Skidmore in the Liberty semis, Saturday 2:00pm ET


I did not include the WIAC final (Sunday) here.  As I look more at the numbers, it seems like the loser (UW-Stevens Point or UW-River Falls) is out.  .621 winning percentage has to be too low.
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Central Region / Re: MBB: College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin
« Last post by Titan Q on Today at 08:55:51 am »
Here are the games that Pool C bubble teams need to go the right way (listed in order of significance).  The bold teams are the bubble fan's friend this weekend...

Bubble Bursters (projected Pool A teams that could steal a Pool C
* Augustana over NCC in the CCIW final, Saturday 8pm ET

* Wittenberg over Ohio Wesleyan in the NCAC final, Saturday 4pm ET

* Eastern Connecticut over Keene State in the LEC final, Saturday 5pm ET

* Cabrini over Neumann in the CSAC final, Saturday 7pm ET

* John Carroll over Ohio Northern in the OAC final, Saturday 7:30pm ET

* Ramapo over William Paterson in the NJAC final, Saturday 3:00pm ET

* Plattsburgh State over SUNY Oneonta in the SUNYAC final, Saturday 4:00pm ET

* Albright over Lebanon Valley in the Commonwealth final, Saturday 4:00pm ET

* Maryville (TN) over Covenant in the USAC final, Saturday 6:00pm ET

* Hobart over Skidmore in the Liberty semis, Saturday 2:00pm ET


I believe IWU can withstand 3 of these going the wrong way...4 would be trouble.
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Atlantic Region / Re: MBB: Colonial States Athletic Conference
« Last post by mailsy on Today at 08:38:44 am »
Sometimes it isn't a mistake by anyone... it is a choice by the student.

I don't believe many schools were looking at him. The staff did a great job of selling Cabrini to him. He's great kid. He's an incredibly hard worker, has become a leader and he's a pleasure to be around. He's great example for many.

Plus I like the fact I've gotten to watch him play FOR Cabrini and not have him play AGAINST us the last 4 years.  ;D
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South Region / Re: MBB: Old Dominion Athletic Conference
« Last post by jknezek on Today at 08:35:07 am »
The only real upset was EMU over RMC. RC was the 2, W&L the 3, and E&H the 4 seed. Those 3 are still alive. It's  just not a year for the typical names of RMC, VWU, and Guilford.
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Great Lakes Region / Re: MIAA
« Last post by TUAngola on Today at 08:29:59 am »
Making my first trip to DeVos tonight for the Hope-Trine MIAA championship WBB game.  I've been to Holland a few times but never to a Hope game.  Trine with a good win against a young Albion squad last night that is only going to continue to get better.  Nice to see everyone contributing.  The girls are playing their best ball right now.  When Lira went down with season ending injury, moving Steers to the point and inserting Freeman into the starting lineup has worked very well.  Another key is how well Montana Martin is playing off the bench.  She's our main 3pt threat and can get to the basket too.  Our defense is rock solid, so when the offense is moving the ball around and not just looking for Dawson or Haley Martin inside every trip, we're hard to defend. 

Watched both games on video online last night.  Well, until my video feed stopped just as Hope and Calvin were starting OT, not sure what happened, couldn't figure out if it was my computer or technical difficulties with the feed.  Boy, that game was exciting.  Hope seemed to be cruising, but Calvin with an outstanding 4th qtr, hitting clutch shots and Hope going cold.  Key moment was Spayde not hitting those 2 FTs at the end, that was shocking.  Hope took advantage and tied game up at the end.  Feel bad for Calvin, they are such a good team, a little thin without Warners in there, but just some really tough losses to both Hope and Trine this year when they could have won any of them with just making a play or 2 more.  They are good enough to be a tournament team but just don't think they will be able to get an at-large bid this year. 

So the winner tonight will for certain get to host 1st round tournament next week.  Will the loser not get to host next week?  Is it too much to ask for both Trine and Hope to host or will the bracketology not allow that?  I hope the tournament can find it's way to Angola, MTI Center to too nice of a facility to be setting quiet until next year.  :)   
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Central Region / Re: MBB: College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin
« Last post by Titan Q on Today at 08:10:58 am »
* If NCC does not get in, neither will IWU. Tuesday NCC stepped on IWU, and last night they stepped over them as far as regional rankings.
So if its a no go for NCC, there is no way IWU goes either. Looks like Green fans will have to be rooting for the Red team.  ;)

This could be true, but there is a good chance it's not.  If NCC loses tonight, the numbers are something like:

* Illinois Wesleyan: .731 (19-7)/.550/3-6
* North Central: .692 (18-8)/.555/4-5

That is a significant difference in winning percentage based on how this process works.  In the national Pool C process, IWU would probably have the better Pool C chances because winning percentage has always proven to be the most important number.

Through last night, Drew (fantastic50) has IWU ahead of NCC...and then an NCC loss tonight would create even more separation.  In my projection I have NCC ahead of IWU as we speak, which I believe makes the most sense.  But the question is, what happens if NCC loses and their WP falls from .720 to .692?  NCC would basically have numbers similar to UW-River Falls, who Drew and I agree is currently behind IWU.

In this process, they don't look at timing of losses (IWU finishing with 2 losses) - they just look at the overall resume.  They do look at head-to-head, but mostly as a tie-breaker.  NCC going 2-1 vs IWU is certainly a big factor, but the question is whether or not there is a tie to break -- again, in this process IWU's winning percentage advantage is significant.

All we do know for sure is that the order of IWU vs NCC in the final Central ranking is huge...because the higher ranked team gets to the table first.  The higher ranked team probably has a 50% chance of getting in...the lower more like 25%.  It's definitely not impossible for both to get in (if there are not many upsets today and tomorrow).

The Central committee will first determine that IWU/NCC order, and then the national committee will review and can modify based on how they see the big picture.

As of 10pm EST Friday night...

Confirmed Pool A teams
Washington U. (22-2, 13-0 UAA, SOS 0.540, 7-2 vRRO, CE#1)

Locks & near-locks
100% (C#1) Hamilton (22-3, 7-3 NESCAC, SOS 0.567, 6-2 vRRO, NE#1) 22% A, proj. 0.846 / 0.573 / 7-3
100% (C#2) Wesleyan (20-5, 7-3 NESCAC, SOS 0.584, 7-3 vRRO, NE#2) 18% A, proj. 0.769 / 0.591 / 8-4
100% (A) Augustana (21-5, 12-4 CCIW, SOS 0.570, 7-3 vRRO, CE#3) 63% A, proj. 0.778 / 0.574 / 7-4
100% (A) Williams (19-5, 7-3 NESCAC, SOS 0.587, 6-4 vRRO, NE#4) 30% A, proj. 0.760 / 0.596 / 6-5
100% (A) Whitman (25-0, 16-0 NWC, SOS 0.516, 4-0 vRRO, WE#1) 81% A, proj. 0.962 / 0.527 / 4-1
100% (C#3) UW-Platteville (20-4, 12-2 WIAC, SOS 0.577, 4-1 vRRO, CE#2) 0% A, proj. 5-3 vRRO
100% (A) Wittenberg (24-2, 16-2 NCAC, SOS 0.527, 5-1 vRRO, GL#1) 76% A, proj. 0.889 / 0.531 / 5-2
100% (C#4) Middlebury (19-6, 7-3 NESCAC, SOS 0.589, 4-6 vRRO, NE#5) 0% A, proj. 5-6 vRRO
100% (A) Eastern Connecticut (23-3, 13-1 LEC, SOS 0.533, 4-1 vRRO, NE#3) 75% A, proj. 0.852 / 0.538 / 4-2
100% (C#5) Wooster (21-6, 14-4 NCAC, SOS 0.564, 4-3 vRRO, GL#2) 0% A, proj. 4-3 vRRO
100% (C#6) Marietta (21-6, 14-4 OAC, SOS 0.563, 4-5 vRRO, GL#4) 0% A, proj. 5-5 vRRO
100% (A) Cabrini (23-3, 16-2 CSAC, SOS 0.534, 2-1 vRRO, AT#1) 71% A, proj. 0.852 / 0.539 / 3-3
100% (C#7) New Jersey City (19-7, 13-5 NJAC, SOS 0.568, 6-4 vRRO, AT#2) 0% A, proj. 7-4 vRRO
100% (A) John Carroll (22-5, 14-4 OAC, SOS 0.540, 6-2 vRRO, GL#3) 73% A, proj. 0.786 / 0.545 / 7-3
100% (C#8) Johns Hopkins (22-4, 15-3 CC, SOS 0.533, 5-3 vRRO, MA#4) 47% A, proj. 0.815 / 0.544 / 5-4
100% (A) Swarthmore (22-4, 15-3 CC, SOS 0.534, 3-3 vRRO, MA#5) 53% A, proj. 0.815 / 0.541 / 4-4
100% (C#9) York (Pa.) (22-4, 14-4 CAC, SOS 0.529, 3-1 vRRO, MA#1) 33% A, proj. 0.815 / 0.539 / 4-3
100% (A) Christopher Newport (21-5, 14-4 CAC, SOS 0.539, 3-1 vRRO, MA#2) 67% A, proj. 0.778 / 0.545 / 6-2
99% (C#10) St. John's (22-3, 19-1 MIAC, SOS 0.524, 3-2 vRRO, WE#2) 0% A, proj. 5-2 vRRO
99% (C#11) Emory (20-4, 11-2 UAA, SOS 0.525, 3-2 vRRO, SO#1) 0% A, proj. 4-2 vRRO
99% (C#12) Whitworth (23-3, 14-2 NWC, SOS 0.521, 1-3 vRRO, WE#3) 20% A, fin 99% C

Strong contenders
97% (A) Ramapo (20-6, 16-3 NJAC, SOS 0.543, 5-5 vRRO, AT#3) 76% A, fin 97% C
97% (C#13) St. Olaf (19-7, 15-5 MIAC, SOS 0.544, 3-2 vRRO, WE#4) 0% A, proj. 5-4 vRRO
94% (A) Plattsburgh State (21-4, 17-1 SUNYAC, SOS 0.524, 3-3 vRRO, EA#2) 86% A, fin 94% C
91% (A) Albright (20-5, 12-4 MACC, SOS 0.541, 3-1 vRRO, MA#3) 73% A, fin 91% C

Bubble-in
79% (C#14) Franklin and Marshall (20-6, 14-4 CC, SOS 0.534, 3-4 vRRO, MA#6) 0% A, proj. 3-4 vRRO
79% (C#15) UW-Oshkosh (20-7, 9-5 WIAC, SOS 0.554, 2-4 vRRO, CE#4) 0% A, proj. 4-5 vRRO
78% (A) UW-Stevens Point (18-8, 11-3 WIAC, SOS 0.605, 4-6 vRRO, CE#5) 62% A, fin 78% C
78% (A) Maryville (Tenn.) (19-5, 14-2 USAC, SOS 0.531, 2-2 vRRO, SO#6) 62% A, fin 100% C, semi 70% C
61% (C#16) LeTourneau (23-4, 16-2 ASC, SOS 0.510, 2-2 vRRO, SO#4) 0% A, proj. 3-4 vRRO
58% (A) Hobart (21-4, 16-2 LL, SOS 0.523, 1-2 vRRO, EA#1) 69% A, fin 64% C, semi 50% C
57% (A) Springfield (18-7, 12-2 NEWMAC, SOS 0.557, 4-2 vRRO, NE#6) 44% A, fin 82% C, semi 29% C
55% (C#17) Augsburg (20-7, 13-7 MIAC, SOS 0.539, 4-3 vRRO, WE#6) 38% A, fin 55% C

Bubble-out
46% (A) Sul Ross State (20-4, 14-3 ASC, SOS 0.517, 1-1 vRRO, SO#3) 45% A, fin 99% C, semi 17% C
39% (A) Nichols (24-3, 16-2 CCC, SOS 0.515, 0-1 vRRO, NE) 76% A, fin 39% C
37% (C#18) Keene State (19-8, 11-3 LEC, SOS 0.567, 2-5 vRRO, NE#8) 25% A, fin 37% C
33% (C#19) Illinois Wesleyan (19-7, 12-4 CCIW, SOS 0.550, 3-6 vRRO, CE#6) 0% A, proj. 3-6 vRRO
31% (C#20) Amherst (17-7, 7-3 NESCAC, SOS 0.565, 4-5 vRRO, NE#7) 30% A, fin 69% C, semi 8% C
29% (C#21) MIT (20-5, 10-4 NEWMAC, SOS 0.528, 2-3 vRRO, NE#9) 35% A, fin 56% C, semi 5% C
20% (C#22) North Central (Ill.) (18-7, 11-5 CCIW, SOS 0.555, 4-4 vRRO, CE#7) 37% A, fin 20% C

Fringe contenders
19% (C#23) Salem State (22-4, 12-0 MASCAC, SOS 0.510, 1-2 vRRO, NE#10) 0% A, proj. 1-2 vRRO
15% (C#24) UW-River Falls (18-8, 7-7 WIAC, SOS 0.587, 3-6 vRRO, CE) 38% A, fin 15% C
15% (A) Nebraska Wesleyan (22-3, 13-3 IIAC, SOS 0.506, 4-1 vRRO, WE#5) 88% A, fin 15% C
11% (C#25) Loras (19-7, 12-4 IIAC, SOS 0.542, 2-3 vRRO, WE#7) 0% A, proj. 3-3 vRRO
11% (C#26) Tufts (17-8, 6-4 NESCAC, SOS 0.579, 2-7 vRRO, NE#11) 0% A, proj. 2-7 vRRO
5% (C#27) Randolph-Macon (18-8, 12-4 ODAC, SOS 0.546, 3-3 vRRO, SO#2) 0% A, proj. 4-4 vRRO



Here is how I see things through Saturday.  This is just a snapshot as of right now - teams that are still alive can move pretty significantly up and down with every result.

Safely In
1. Wesleyan (NE/NESCAC): .800 (20-5)/.584/7-3   @ Amherst, Sat
2. Hamilton (NE/NESCAC): .880 (22-3)/.567/8-4  @ Williams, Sat
3. Williams (NE/NESCAC): .792 (19-5)/.587/6-4   vs Hamilton, Sat
4. UW-Platteville (WE/WIAC: .833 (20-4)/.577/4-1   done
5. Johns Hopkins (MA/CC): .846 (22-4)/.533/5-3   @ Swarthmore, Sat
6. St. John's (WE/MIAC): .880 (22-3)/.524/3-2  done
7. York, Pa (MA/CAC): .846 (22-4)/.529/3-1   @ Christopher Newport, Sat
8. Middlebury (NE/NESCAC): .760 (19-6).589/4-6   done
9. Wooster (GL/NCAC): .778 (21-6)/.564/4-3  done
10. Marietta (GL/OAC): .778 (21-6)/.563/4-5   done
11. Whitworth (WE/NWC): .884 (23-3)/.521/1-3   @ Whitman, Sat
12. New Jersey City (AT/NJAC): .731 (19-7)/.568/6-4   done
13. Emory (SO/UAA): .833 (20-4)/.525/3-2  @ Rochester, Sat
14. UW-Oshkosh (CE/WIAC): .741 (20-7)/.554/2-4   done
15. St. Olaf (WE/MIAC): .731 (19-7)/.544/3-2   done

At the Mercy of Bubble Burster Results
16. North Central (CE/CCIW): .720 (18-7)/.555/4-4   @ Augustana, Sat
17. Augsburg (WE/MIAC): .741 (20-7)/.539/4-3   @ Bethel, Sat
18. Illinois Wesleyan (CE/CCIW): .731 (19-7)/.550/3-6   done
19. Franklin and Marshall (MA/CC): .769 (20-6)/.534/3-4   done
20. UW-River Falls (WE/WIAC): .692 (18-8)/.587/3-6   @ UW-Stevens Point, Sun
21. MIT (NE/NEWMAC): .800 (20-5)/.528/2-3  @ Babson, Sat

Out
22. Salem State (NE/MASCAC): .846 (22-4)/.510/1-2   done
23. LeTourneau (SO/ASC): .852 (23-4)/.510/0-1   done
24. Loras (WE/IIAC): .730 (19-7)/.542/2-3  done
25. Keene State (NE/LEC): .703 (19-8)/.567/2-5  @ Eastern Connecticut, Sat
26. Tufts (NE/NESCAC): .680 (17-8)/.579/2-7   done
27. Randolph-Macon (SO/ODAC): .692 (18-8)/.546/3-3   done
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Middle Atlantic Region / Re: Landmark Conference
« Last post by NEPAFAN on Today at 08:07:09 am »
This is d3basketball and we are making comparisons to professionals?


Sterling is a clown Ryan.

Has this whole forum lost its mind?  ;D
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