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Messages - Stryker

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1
Women's soccer / Re: Liberty League Womens Soccer 2022
« on: November 15, 2022, 11:44:14 am »
For those who were unable to watch, the Liberty League represented itself well in the NCAA playoffs.

FIRST ROUND MATCHES:

William Smith had an easy match against SUNY Delhi, winning 12-0. The link to the game summary is:
https://hwsathletics.com/news/2022/11/12/william-smith-soccer-speckhart-herons-race-past-broncos-in-ncaa-1st-round-match.aspx

RIT defeated Johnson & Wales by a score of 3-1. The link to the game summary is:
https://ritathletics.com/news/2022/11/12/womens-soccer-beats-johnson-wales-in-first-round-of-ncaa-tournament.aspx

Ithaca defeated Capital by a score of 1-0. The link to the game summary is:
https://athletics.ithaca.edu/news/2022/11/12/womens-soccer-cascones-first-half-goal-leads-ithaca-past-capital-university.aspx

SECOND ROUND MATCHES:

William Smith won a competitive match against Tufts by a score of 1-0. The link to the game summary is:
https://hwsathletics.com/news/2022/11/13/william-smith-soccer-6-herons-down-22-jumbos-advance-to-sectional-round.aspx

RIT lost a close match to #8 ranked Amherst by a score of 1-0. After giving up a goal in the first half, RIT took over the second half but could not secure the tying goal. The link to the game summary is:
https://ritathletics.com/news/2022/11/13/womens-soccer-loses-to-amherst-in-second-round-of-ncaa-tournament.aspx

Ithaca had the most difficult challenge, losing to undefeated and #4 ranked Case Western Reserve by a score of 6-0. The link to the game summary is:
https://athletics.ithaca.edu/news/2022/11/13/womens-soccer-ithaca-womens-soccer-falls-to-no-4-case-western-reserve-university-in-second-round-of-ncaa-s.aspx

THIRD ROUND MATCH:

William Smith faces off against Amherst on Saturday 11/19 at 1:30pm

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Women's soccer / Re: Grad Students
« on: November 08, 2022, 05:17:14 pm »
From my perspective, there is a significant difference between a home-grown 5 yr senior/grad student and a 5th year transfer from a D-1 school. While there are clearly many D-3 players that have the skills to play D-1 and may have chosen not to for reasons unique to them,  many (not all) D-1 players have size and skill advantages over the usual D-3 player. 

A team like John Hopkins with 9 graduate students has stacked the deck in their favor. 2 of the grad students (1 fwd and 1 defender) are home-grown, having played their entire career at Hopkins with the forward contributing 10 goals and 2 assists. The starting goalie and the backup goalies are both 5th year transfers from D -1 schools. The remaining 5 grad students are all 5th yr transfers from D-1 schools that play significant time and contributed 37 goals and 24 assists.  But most D-3 schools have not followed the path of John Hopkins.

Looking at the top 25 rankings, there are only a few schools that have added D-1 5th yr transfers. Case Western has added 2 forwards who have contributed 15 goals and 10 assists. Emory added 2 transfers that contributed 4 goals and 5 assists. Carnegie Mellon added a goalkeeper who played only 4 games. MIT added a midfielder who contributed 1 goal and 1 assist. Babson added a forward who contributed 7 goals and 7 assists.

There are 4 other teams in the top 25 that have 5th year players on their roster but they are all home-grown, playing their entire carer at their schools. Those teams are Misericordia (4), Montclair State (1), Wartburg (5) and Tufts (1). The rest of the top 25 have no 5th year players.

While I have not gone back to check the 2021 teams, my recollection is that there were a lot more teams with 5th year players that year that seemed to have an impact. This year, John Hopkins seems to be an outlier and I do not foresee many other schools in 2023 getting many D-1 transfers.

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Women's soccer / Re: Liberty League Womens Soccer 2022
« on: November 08, 2022, 01:16:02 pm »
The Liberty League playoffs were competitive this year with the majority of games headed into overtime.
 
In the first semi-final, William Smith controlled possession for the first 15 minutes of the match but the RIT defense offered them few shots. RIT then settled down and began to pressure William Smith. The first half ended in a 0-0 tie with each team mustering 5 shots. However RIT had more shots on goal (3-2) than William Smith. The second half seemed to be a mirror of the first half but William Smith outshot RIT 7-2. Regulation ended in a 0-0 tie. Neither team made any serious threat in the two overtimes and the teams went to penalty kicks. RIT stopped the first PK but misfired their first shot off the crossbar. William Smith advanced on pk's 4-3.

In the second semi-final, Ithaca controlled much of the game, outshooting Clarkson 6-2 in the first half and 10-1 in the second half but could not find the back of the net. Regulation ended in a 0-0 tie. About 3 minutes into the first overtime, Delaney Rutan scored the only goal of the game and Ithaca advanced to the conference finals.

The conference finals started evenly with William Smith outshooting Ithaca 5-3 but only getting 2 shots on goal. In the second half, William Smith put more pressure on Ithaca's goalie, outshooting them 11-4. However Claire Reader made five saves in the second half and three in the overtime periods to force the game to penalty kicks. Ithaca substituted Grace Hickey into goal for the PK's and was rewarded with a save on the second kick of William Smith. Ithaca claimed the Liberty League title 5-3 on PK's.

Ithaca claimed the automatic bid to the NCAA's while William Smith and RIT both claimed at large bids. All three teams have solid defenses with William Smith ranked #5 in goals against average (.325), #3 in shut out % (.778) and #14 in save % (.887). RIT ranked #21 in goals against average (.549), #16 in shut out % (.667) and #99 in save % (.821). Meanwhile, Ithaca was ranked #67 in goals against average (.771), #74 in shut out % (.526) and #42 in save % (.848).

Ithaca received the toughest bracket with a first round match against Capital followed by the possibility of facing undefeated and #4 ranked Case Western Reserve in the second round.

RIT faces Johnson & Wales- Providence in the first round with the possibility of facing #8 ranked Amherst in the second round. RIT gets the advantage of hosting the first and second round matches.

William Smith has an easy first round match against SUNY-Delhi with the possibility of facing #22 Tufts in the second round. William Smith gets the advantage of hosting the first and second round matches.
 

4
Women's soccer / Re: Liberty League Womens Soccer 2022
« on: November 02, 2022, 09:22:10 am »
The quarterfinals are complete.

Clarkson upsets 3rd seed Skidmore and advances to the semi-final match against Ithaca. Clarkson stormed to a 2-0 lead in the first half only to have Skidmore even the match in the second half. Neither team seemed to have any serious threats in the double overtime. Clarkson advanced on PK's 5-4. Summary of the game is below.

https://clarksonathletics.com/news/2022/11/1/womens-soccer-knights-advance-to-liberty-league-semis-on-penalty-kicks-versus-skidmore.aspx

4th seed RIT gets revenge for regular season loss to Vassar and advances to semifinal match against Williams Smith. As noted previously, RIT's 1-0 loss to Vassar in the regular season was the first game following the loss of RIT's lead forward and it took 3 games before their offense re-claimed their footing and returned to scoring goals. RIT was determined to show that the loss was a fluke. Sophomore Sam Halligan assisted the first goal and scored the next 2 goals to lead RIT to a 3-1 victory. Summary of the game is below:

https://ritathletics.com/news/2022/11/1/womens-soccer-beats-vassar-in-liberty-league-quarterfinal.aspx

Looking ahead to the semifinals, I ask the following:

Can RIT defeat William Smith for the first time in their history? Williams Smith has a record of 43-0-2 against RIT. There have been times over the past 3 years that it felt like RIT could go head-to-head against William Smith, only to face defeat. This season William Smith has shown itself to be vulnerable, giving up 3 ties in League play. Yet they defeated RIT in the regular season 4-1 on the success of their counter-attack. Can RIT adjust their play to prevent that from occuring again?

Can Clarkson reverse the trend and defeat Ithaca? Clarkson won its first ever match against Ithaca in 2017 but has lost every match against Ithaca since. Ithaca won 2-0 in the regular season.  The #6 seed Knights pulled the upset against Skidmore. Can they continue the magic?

Your thoughts?


5
Women's soccer / Re: Liberty League Womens Soccer 2022
« on: October 29, 2022, 11:15:04 pm »
So the playoff picture is set. William Smith and Ithaca with first round byes. RIT hosts Vassar and Skidmore hosts Clarkson. Good luck to all qualifiers.

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Women's soccer / Re: Liberty League Womens Soccer 2022
« on: October 21, 2022, 10:58:34 am »
Been a little while since I posted because I was waiting for the dust to settle a little. Some thoughts on the race for the Liberty League playoffs.

William Smith is currently 6-0-1 in the League and  11-1-2 overall. With 2 remaining matches against Vassar and St. Lawrence, they have essentially locked up the Liberty League regular season title. While their overall record look like years past, this team is not the powerhouse it usually is and is beatable. It will be interesting to see which team claims the fourth seed. Their first playoff game could be a re-match against Skidmore, the only team in the League to tie them this season.   

Ithaca is 4-1-1   in the League and  9-2-3 overall with 3 remaining games against RPI, RIT and Vassar. Ithaca is second in the League for goals scored. Their last 2 games will determine whether they hold on to the second position and secure a playoff bye.   

RIT is 3-2-1 in the League and 9-2-2 overall with 3 remaining matches against Bard, Ithaca and Union.
RIT was looking dominant until they took on William Smith and lost their most dangerous forward for the season with an ACL tear. Although William Smith won 4-1 off of counter-attack goals, RIT looked like the more dangerous team, out-possessing and controlling the game against William Smith. It clearly took a while for RIT to adjust to losing their top forward as RIT did not score a goal in their next 3 matches. Yet they walked away with 2 ties and 1 loss during that period. Since that time, RIT has not lost. The game against Ithaca should determine who holds second place in the League.

Vassar is 3-2-1 in the League and 7-4-3 overall with 3 matches remaining against William Smith, RPI and Ithaca. Vassar has been inconsistent, pulling off ties against NYU and Wesleyan, beating Scranton and West. Conn and RIT. However, the win against RIT can be discounted a little since it was the RIT's first match after losing Cataldo-Smith and RIT just couldn't find the back of the net. Despite these good results, Vassar also had losses against College of Mt St Vincent, Union and Clarkson and a tie against Skidmore. Which team shows up in the League Playofffs will decide how far they advance.

Skidmore is 2-1-3 in the League and 7-2-3 overall with 3 remaining matches against St. Lawrence, Union and Bard. Skidmore is the only League blemish for William Smith (0-0 tie) and also secured ties against both Vassar and Ithaca. Skidmore has a stingy defense and is tied for League lead for fewest goals against. Skidmore should hold on for the fifth spot in the League playoffs.

There is currently a tie for the final position in the League playoffs between Union, Clarkson and St. Lawrence. Clarkson controls their own destiny since they play both Union and St. Lawrence in the upcoming weeks. 

Union is 2-3-1 in the League and 8-4-2 overall with 3 remaining matches against Clarkson, Skidmore and RIT. Union started off strong winning their first 7 games but have only won once since. They have not scored more than 2 goals in any game this season and have given up nearly as many goals as they have scored.   

St. Lawrence is 2-3-1 in the League and 6-4-2 overall with 3 remaining matches against Skidmore, Clarkson and William Smith. IMO, they have the toughest remaining schedule of the three and are unlikely to advance.
 
Clarkson is 2-3-1 in the League and 7-5-2 overall with 3 remaining matches against Union, St. Lawrence and RPI. Clarkson led the League with the most shots, goals and points through the first seven games of the season but the stats fell off after League play started. With the exception of the 4 goals against Bard, Clarkson has only scored 1 goal in their six other games.

RPI and Bard have no chance of making the playoffs.

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Women's soccer / Re: Liberty League Womens Soccer 2022
« on: September 19, 2022, 10:20:09 am »
Some highlight games involving Liberty League teams this week:

Tuesday, 9/20 @ 7pm: Vassar v #10 Wesleyan:   
https://athletics.wesleyan.edu/sports/2022/8/26/womens-soccer-stream.aspx

Wednesday, 9/21 @ 4:30 pm: #6 William Smith v. RV  Rochester Institute of Technology
https://hwsathletics.com/watch/?Live=1329&type=Live

I'll post the links to Saturday's highlight games later this week.

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