Southland seems very ambitious. I think UMHB in the Sooner conference (NAIA), or the Lone Star conference (D2) could compete for conference championships very early. I’m curious how the financial side of moving affects things. The travel alone in the Lone Star conference would seem to be a big deal. Regardless, change is going to happen in the next few years.
With regard to Southland, I know some people who work in that conference, and they've seen UMHB play. They've told me they think they'd be competitive in that conference quickly.
Finances is the problem, not the ability to be competitive in football, in my opinion. UMHB could compete as a D1 or D2 no doubt. But then you don't have JV football, and you lose out on a lot of tuition dollars that way, because less can be in your program. You think WBB could have 25 kids in the program either at D2 or D1? Probably not. Rosters thinned down, athletic scholarships have to be offered, increased travel costs...it all adds up.
And I've seen the SAC...quality of facilities and everything else drops quite a bit (completely my opinion). D2 is probably the best fit right now, though if you go D1 you can play guaranteed games (think MBB vs TXST like 7-10 times during the course of a basketball season) and that can really boost your athletic funds. Some D1s survive on those guaranteed games in FB and MBB.
Again...completely my $0.02. I'm partial to D3 as you all know, and though I wouldn't mind seeing UMHB jump up, would like to see it done in a way so that the competitiveness across the board and beyond football doesn't diminish. Seems like the D3 era is fading fast, unfortunately. I just can't see UTD or Concordia or LeTourneau deciding to add football...concordia's soccer team doesn't even have a facility nearby to play games. They play about 30-45 minutes away from campus. Adding a football program would create some major facility costs for them in particular. Probably the same for UTD, though being a state school, UTD would be the one I'd peg of those three as most likely to start football.