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Messages - tweisman5

#1
Below are my week 14 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 14 Predictions

#10 Del Val @ #3 North Central Illinois (-19.5): North Central Illinois wins by 14

Week 14 Rankings
1. Del Val (11-1, 8-0)
2. Stevenson (8-3, 7-1)
3. Wilkes (8-3, 6-2)
4. Widener (5-5, 4-4)
5. King's (5-5, 3-5)
6. Lycoming (4-6, 3-5)   
7. Misericordia (5-5, 5-3)
8. Leb Val (3-7, 3-5)
9. FDU (3-7, 2-6) 
10. Albright (2-8, 2-6)
11. Alvernia (2-8, 1-7)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 1-0 (1.000)
Season: 47-21 (.691)
Career: 140-57 (.711)
#2
Below are my week 13 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 13 Predictions

#14 Del Val (-6.5) @ Wesley: Del Val wins by 3

Week 13 Rankings
1. Del Val (10-1, 8-0)
2. Stevenson (8-3, 7-1)
3. Wilkes (8-3, 6-2)
4. Widener (5-5, 4-4)
5. King's (5-5, 3-5)
6. Lycoming (4-6, 3-5)   
7. Misericordia (5-5, 5-3)
8. Leb Val (3-7, 3-5)
9. FDU (3-7, 2-6) 
10. Albright (2-8, 2-6)
11. Alvernia (2-8, 1-7)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 2-2 (.500)
Season: 46-21 (.687)
Career: 139-57 (.709)
#3
Below are my week 12 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 12 Predictions

#23 Del Val @ #10 Bridgewater (-13.5): Bridgewater wins by 7

Wilkes @ #11 Susquehanna (-30.5): Susquehanna wins by 35

Franklin & Marshall (-23.5) @ Misericordia: Franklin & Marshall wins by 24

#17 John Hopkins (-2.5) @ Stevenson: Stevenson wins by 3

Week 12 Rankings
1. Del Val (9-1, 8-0)
2. Stevenson (8-2, 7-1)
3. Wilkes (8-2, 6-2)
4. Widener (5-5, 4-4)
5. King's (5-5, 3-5)
6. Lycoming (4-6, 3-5)   
7. Misericordia (5-4, 5-3)
8. Leb Val (3-7, 3-5)
9. FDU (3-7, 2-6) 
10. Albright (2-8, 2-6)
11. Alvernia (2-8, 1-7)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 4-1 (.800)
Season: 44-19 (.698)
Career: 137-55 (.714)
#4
Below are my week 11 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 11 Predictions

Wilkes @ King's (-0.5): King's wins by 3

Widener @ #22 Del Val (-23.5): Del Val wins by 24

Lycoming @ Stevenson (-23.5): Stevenson wins by 21

Misericordia (-15.5) @ Alvernia: Misericordia wins by 14

Leb Val (-2.5) @ Albright: Albright wins by 7

Week 11 Rankings
1. Del Val (8-1, 7-0)
2. Stevenson (7-2, 6-1)
3. Wilkes (7-2, 5-2)
4. Widener (5-4, 4-3)
5. King's (5-4, 3-4)
6. Lycoming (4-5, 3-4) 
7. Misericordia (4-4, 4-3)
8. Leb Val (3-6, 3-4)
9. FDU (3-7, 2-6) 
10. Alvernia (2-7, 1-6)
11. Albright (1-8, 1-6)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 4-1 (.800)
Season: 40-18 (.690)
Career: 133-54 (.711)
#5
Quote from: Pat Coleman on November 06, 2019, 12:29:56 PM
The regional rankings are here: https://d3football.com/playoffs/2019/first-regional-ranking

These initial rankings contained some surprises, especially with Wilkes being placed #10 in the East. I thought the initial rankings would have waited until after this week's Stevenson at Wilkes matchup before seeing a second MAC team regionally ranked. Regardless, the most newsworthy takeaway is just the solid foundation the Centennial Conference has built to become a two team bid NCAA playoff contender on an annual basis. I believe having the MAC vs. Centennial bowl series is a great opportunity for any MAC member to test their team against the strength of a deep Centennial group.
#6
Quote from: G-manWU on November 03, 2019, 12:30:19 PM
Quote from: tweisman5 on November 02, 2019, 11:28:39 AM
Quote from: MANDGSU on October 27, 2019, 07:28:24 PM
Quote from: tweisman5 on October 26, 2019, 11:45:50 AM
Below are my week 8 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 8 Predictions

FDU @ Lycoming (-3.5): Lycoming wins by 7

Leb Val @ Del Val (-26.5): Del Val wins by 27

Widener (-9.5) @ Albright: Widener wins by 3

Wilkes @ Misericordia (-2.5): Misericordia wins by 3

King's @ Stevenson (-20.5): Stevenson wins by 24

Week 8 Rankings
1. Del Val (6-1, 5-0)
2. Stevenson (4-2, 3-1)
3. Misericordia (4-1, 4-0)
4. Wilkes (5-1, 3-1)
5. King's (4-2, 2-2)
6. Leb Val (3-3, 3-1) 
7. Widener (3-4, 2-3) 
8. Lycoming (1-5, 0-4)
9. FDU (2-5, 1-4) 
10. Alvernia (2-5, 1-4)
11. Albright (0-6, 0-4)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 4-1 (.800)
Season: 28-15 (.651)
Career: 121-51 (.703)

Althought Wilkes is won the head to head against Misericordia, you have them ranked higher. Sometimes the statistical formula does not always hold true. I think there should be some adjustment.

These rankings were posted before the Wilkes at Misericordia game. The win for Wilkes was good, but I'm not sure yet if it really answered who is the better team between the two. The game went into OT and if they played a series of 5 games, who knows what the results would be. I'm still holding weight to the past five weeks for both teams and I still give Misericordia the upper hand by the slightest of margins. This upcoming week should provide more clarity.

Well, I hope this week's results provided the clarity in the rankings  8-)

The Colonels fought through a back-and-forth game yesterday against FDU-Florham and turned it up in the second half for a quality win. The Devils have some quality players (WR #11 was particularly impressive) and they play hard as always. I can see how when they are on their game, the passing game can give teams fits.

I look forward to this week's matchup pitting Wilkes against Stevenson. While the thought of facing a team bigger and Stronger than Del Val (according to jmcozenlaw) is not pretty, I think the Colonels have grown and matured as a team in the last few weeks. It has the potential to be a great matchup.

For some added perspective on the OT win over Misericordia, please check out the excellent postgame report by my former Times Leader colleague, Dave Rosengrant. It details how Wilkes backup QB Doug Weist stepped in unexpectedly and led the team to victory, just hours after seeing his good friend and high school teammate, Jaden Lieby, seriously injured in an on-field injury during a game at his alma mater, North Schuylkill.

https://www.timesleader.com/sports/760116/backup-quarterback-weist-leads-wilkes-to-ot-win-against-misericordia

As a follow-up, both North Schuylkill graduates on the Wilkes roster this Saturday (Weist, along with senor DL Dane Tarantelli) wore #6 as their jersey number in support of Jaden. A very kind and supportive gesture.

Last week's games provided the clarity needed to validate the OT matchup.

The story of Wilkes' backup QB is exactly why sports are such an amazing story to follow. The perseverance to overcome such unfortunate news hours before and go out and prevail in a tough game is truly remarkable for both the player and his teammates. 
#7
Below are my week 10 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 10 Predictions

Alvernia @ FDU (-5.5): FDU wins by 3

Stevenson (-22.5) @ Wilkes: Stevenson wins by 21

Lycoming (-3.5) @ Leb Val: Lycoming wins by 7

Albright @ Misericordia (-10.5): Misericordia wins by 7

King's @ Widener (-3.5): Widener wins by 3

Week 10 Rankings
1. Del Val (8-1, 7-0)
2. Stevenson (6-2, 5-1)
3. Wilkes (7-1, 5-1)
4. Misericordia (4-3, 4-2)
5. King's (5-3, 3-3)
6. Leb Val (3-5, 3-3) 
7. Widener (4-4, 3-3) 
8. Lycoming (3-5, 2-4)
9. Alvernia (2-6, 1-5) 
10. FDU (2-7, 1-6)
11. Albright (0-8, 0-6)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 4-1 (.800)
Season: 36-17 (.679)
Career: 129-53 (.709)
#8
Quote from: MANDGSU on October 27, 2019, 07:28:24 PM
Quote from: tweisman5 on October 26, 2019, 11:45:50 AM
Below are my week 8 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 8 Predictions

FDU @ Lycoming (-3.5): Lycoming wins by 7

Leb Val @ Del Val (-26.5): Del Val wins by 27

Widener (-9.5) @ Albright: Widener wins by 3

Wilkes @ Misericordia (-2.5): Misericordia wins by 3

King's @ Stevenson (-20.5): Stevenson wins by 24

Week 8 Rankings
1. Del Val (6-1, 5-0)
2. Stevenson (4-2, 3-1)
3. Misericordia (4-1, 4-0)
4. Wilkes (5-1, 3-1)
5. King's (4-2, 2-2)
6. Leb Val (3-3, 3-1) 
7. Widener (3-4, 2-3) 
8. Lycoming (1-5, 0-4)
9. FDU (2-5, 1-4) 
10. Alvernia (2-5, 1-4)
11. Albright (0-6, 0-4)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 4-1 (.800)
Season: 28-15 (.651)
Career: 121-51 (.703)

Althought Wilkes is won the head to head against Misericordia, you have them ranked higher. Sometimes the statistical formula does not always hold true. I think there should be some adjustment.

These rankings were posted before the Wilkes at Misericordia game. The win for Wilkes was good, but I'm not sure yet if it really answered who is the better team between the two. The game went into OT and if they played a series of 5 games, who knows what the results would be. I'm still holding weight to the past five weeks for both teams and I still give Misericordia the upper hand by the slightest of margins. This upcoming week should provide more clarity.
#9
Below are my week 9 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 9 Predictions

Del Val (-40.5) @ Alvernia: Del Val wins by 42

Misericordia (-3.5) @ Lycoming: Misericordia wins by 7

Albright @ King's (-8.5): King's wins by 10

FDU @ Wilkes (-9.5): Wilkes wins by 14

Stevenson (-24.5) @ Leb Val: Stevenson wins by 24

Week 9 Rankings
1. Del Val (7-1, 6-0)
2. Stevenson (5-2, 4-1)
3. Misericordia (4-2, 4-1)
4. Wilkes (6-1, 4-1)
5. King's (4-3, 2-3)
6. Leb Val (3-4, 3-2) 
7. Widener (4-4, 3-3) 
8. Lycoming (2-5, 1-4)
9. Alvernia (2-5, 1-4) 
10. FDU (2-6, 1-5)
11. Albright (0-7, 0-5)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 4-1 (.800)
Season: 32-16 (.667)
Career: 125-52 (.706)
#10
Below are my week 8 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 8 Predictions

FDU @ Lycoming (-3.5): Lycoming wins by 7

Leb Val @ Del Val (-26.5): Del Val wins by 27

Widener (-9.5) @ Albright: Widener wins by 3

Wilkes @ Misericordia (-2.5): Misericordia wins by 3

King's @ Stevenson (-20.5): Stevenson wins by 24

Week 8 Rankings
1. Del Val (6-1, 5-0)
2. Stevenson (4-2, 3-1)
3. Misericordia (4-1, 4-0)
4. Wilkes (5-1, 3-1)
5. King's (4-2, 2-2)
6. Leb Val (3-3, 3-1) 
7. Widener (3-4, 2-3) 
8. Lycoming (1-5, 0-4)
9. FDU (2-5, 1-4) 
10. Alvernia (2-5, 1-4)
11. Albright (0-6, 0-4)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 4-1 (.800)
Season: 28-15 (.651)
Career: 121-51 (.703)
#11
Below are my week 7 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 7 Predictions

Misericordia (-5.5) @ FDU: Misericordia wins by 7

Del Val (-23.5) @ Wilkes: Del Val wins by 13

Alvernia @ King's (-25.5): King's wins by 24

Leb Val @ Widener (-7.5): Widener wins by 10

Albright @ Stevenson (-26.5): Stevenson wins by 27

Week 7 Rankings
1. Del Val (5-1, 4-0)
2. Stevenson (3-2, 2-1)
3. Wilkes (5-0, 3-0)
4. Misericordia (3-1, 3-0)
5. King's (3-2, 1-2)
6. Widener (3-3, 2-2)
7. Lycoming (1-5, 0-4)
8. Leb Val (2-3, 2-1)
9. FDU (2-4, 1-3) 
10. Alvernia (2-4, 1-3)
11. Albright (0-5, 0-3)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 3-2 (.600)
Season: 24-14 (.667)
Career: 117-50 (.700)
#12
Below are my week 6 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 6 Predictions

FDU @ Leb Val (-1.5): Leb Val wins by 3

Lycoming (-31.5) @ Alvernia: Lycoming wins by 21

Wilkes (-7.5) @ Albright: Wilkes wins by 14

King's @ Del Val (-23.5): Del Val wins by 21

Misericordia @ Widener (-6.5): Widener wins by 3

Week 6 Rankings
1. Del Val (4-1, 3-0)
2. Stevenson (3-2, 2-1)
3. Wilkes (4-0, 2-0)
4. Misericordia (2-1, 2-0)
5. King's (3-1, 1-1)
6. Widener (3-2, 2-1)
7. Lycoming (1-4, 0-3)
8. Leb Val (1-3, 1-1)
9. FDU (2-3, 1-2) 
10. Albright (0-4, 0-2)
11. Alvernia (1-4, 0-3)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 3-2 (.600)
Season: 21-12 (.636)
Career: 114-48 (.704)
#13
Quote from: G-manWU on October 02, 2019, 11:30:09 PM
Quote from: MANDGSU on September 30, 2019, 10:49:54 AM
Quote from: tweisman5 on September 28, 2019, 12:51:08 AM
A big concern for my Mustangs has been the 20 sacks allowed through three games. I can pinpoint a portion of the issue to the new QB sometimes holding the ball too long, but I suspect as the season progresses and he settles into the offense that number will improve.

I see Del Val's biggest issue being their DBs struggling to hold their own against good passing teams. If they get knocked off, it will be due to struggles against a pass heavy team. As of today I only see them losing one game sometime during a tough October stretch or Widener in November.

Wilkes is a team I'm watching to make some noise in the MAC race heading into November. I look forward to following their progress as I'm impressed with the progression they've made since the start of last season.

I had them on my ERFP ballot last week, but removed them as their win against Lycoming doesn't look all to great after Lycoming's loss to King's. Nevertheless, I can see them get to 5-0 with a big matchup mid October against Delaware Valley. Not sure how they will fair after that matchup as their schedule is back loaded.

I'm also looking into this Widener vs. Stevenson game as well. Widener loss to Lycoming looks like one of those  ??? type games and Stevenson's losses look better and better as both Delaware Valley and Bridgewater continue to win.

Great to see the Colonels getting some good recognition for a strong start. I've only seen one game in person (at Lycoming), but I am planning to be at the homecoming game vs. Alvernia this weekend.

I think one of the keys to the team playing better this season is improved line play on both sides of the ball, particularly on offense with the running game. It adds a dimension of balance that has also helps fine-tune the passing game.

Still a long way to go, but the Colonels get both Del Val and Stevenson at home, and play one one more game (at Albright) outside of the Wyoming Valley for the rest of the regular season. The team has grown and improved; I am eager to see how they stack up against some of the traditional powers coming up.

Wilkes does have a challenging finish to the season, but I do believe they have found the right coach that has them on the right track. More teams in contention makes the race more entertaining to follow!
#14
Quote from: MANDGSU on September 30, 2019, 10:49:54 AM
Quote from: tweisman5 on September 28, 2019, 12:51:08 AM
A big concern for my Mustangs has been the 20 sacks allowed through three games. I can pinpoint a portion of the issue to the new QB sometimes holding the ball too long, but I suspect as the season progresses and he settles into the offense that number will improve.

I see Del Val's biggest issue being their DBs struggling to hold their own against good passing teams. If they get knocked off, it will be due to struggles against a pass heavy team. As of today I only see them losing one game sometime during a tough October stretch or Widener in November.

Wilkes is a team I'm watching to make some noise in the MAC race heading into November. I look forward to following their progress as I'm impressed with the progression they've made since the start of last season.

I had them on my ERFP ballot last week, but removed them as their win against Lycoming doesn't look all to great after Lycoming's loss to King's. Nevertheless, I can see them get to 5-0 with a big matchup mid October against Delaware Valley. Not sure how they will fair after that matchup as their schedule is back loaded.

I'm also looking into this Widener vs. Stevenson game as well. Widener loss to Lycoming looks like one of those  ??? type games and Stevenson's losses look better and better as both Delaware Valley and Bridgewater continue to win.

I'm looking forward as well to the Widener vs. Stevenson game as it could be a good resume addition for my Mustangs if they get the win. So far their only wins have been against opponents with losing records. The two loses; however, have been against two quality top 40 opponents.
#15
Below are my week 5 predictions and rankings. The spread (-#) is provided by Massey Ratings and the top 25 rankings are from the Hansen Ratings composite. Good luck to everyone this week!

Week 5 Predictions

Albright @ FDU (-0.5): Albright wins by 3

Del Val (-20.5) @ Lycoming: Del Val wins by 20

Alvernia @ Wilkes (-29.5): Wilkes wins by 27

King's (-7.5) @ Misericordia: King's wins by 10

Widener @ Stevenson (-7.5): Stevenson wins by 7

Week 5 Rankings
1. Del Val (3-1, 2-0)
2. Stevenson (2-2, 1-1)
3. Widener (3-1, 2-0)
4. King's (3-0, 1-0)
5. Wilkes (3-0, 1-0)
6. Lycoming (1-3, 0-2)
7. Misericordia (1-1, 1-0)
8. Leb Val (1-3, 1-1)
9. FDU (1-3, 0-2) 
10. Albright (0-3, 0-1)
11. Alvernia (1-3, 0-2)

Prediction Record
Last Week: 5-0 (1.000)
Season: 18-10 (.643)
Career: 111-46 (.707)