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Messages - wesleydad

#1
Quote from: jmcozenlaw on November 26, 2021, 06:04:29 PM
Quote from: wesleydad on November 23, 2021, 03:19:51 PM
Checked in every once in a while to see how it was going this year and noticed that the NJAC is not very good.  Salisbury, clearly the best in the league then goes and gets trounced in the first round.  Programs need plenty of improvement, other than Salisbury, to complete on a national level.

CNU, hope all is well and good luck in the basketball season.

Wesleydad, since you are not terribly far away, I hope that you got a chance to get to Doylestown and see DelVal this year. The defense was nasty and returns quite a few of the studs next year. The dropoff will be minimal, if not non-existent!

JM, I usually try to get up that way at least once a year, but this year seemed to have an event almost every Saturday so I did not get up there.  Del Val ran into a pretty strong Muhlenberg team.  Nice season.
#2
Checked in every once in a while to see how it was going this year and noticed that the NJAC is not very good.  Salisbury, clearly the best in the league then goes and gets trounced in the first round.  Programs need plenty of improvement, other than Salisbury, to complete on a national level.

CNU, hope all is well and good luck in the basketball season.
#3
Quote from: CNU85 on February 16, 2021, 12:10:43 PM
I figured this would be the eventual outcome. It is indeed sad to see. I was hoping for a Spring game at CNU in March. That's probably not going to happen either.
I remember going to some blowouts against CNU. And I also remember the close games and the CNU victories. When you beat Wesley, that's a good year!

But mostly I am thankful. For the memories and the friendships. Most notably WelseyDad. I've been to the Stagg Bowl with WD to watch one the seemingly endless string of Mt Union v UW-Whitewater games. I've been to his hometown and hung out at his favorite watering holes. That's pretty cool.

Cheers mate!

CNU, we will stay in touch.  I have no issue traveling to CNU to catch a game each season.
#4
Quote from: WW on December 20, 2019, 02:29:09 PM
Quote from: WashedUpCard on December 20, 2019, 02:18:42 PM
Quote from: WW on December 20, 2019, 02:10:19 PM
Quote from: USee on December 20, 2019, 01:42:29 PM
Quote from: WW on December 20, 2019, 01:17:52 PM
Sportbet.com has this game NCC minus 14 1/2, minus 650 on the money line and O/U 69. I'm sure y'all have confidence in the Cardinals, but doesn't that seem a little -- a lot -- out of whack???

Or they know something. Those betting firms aren't in the habit of losing money.

No they're not, but they do put out bad lines once in a while. And they have no base research on d3 results this season because they've offered no action on d3. I think it's just an uninformed line for a game they don't think will draw much action, so why waste a lot of time researching it?

That could very well be the case.  If so, why bother putting out a line at all?

To generate action. Some action is better than none. They'll get action from me that otherwise wouldn't have been bet at all. Of course, a bad line will end up costing them money, but they don't know its a bad line yet.

I took UWW plus 10.5 on fanduel.  seems way too high to me.
#5
I am looking forward to this game.  I think it will be like the SJU/UWW game.  The lines will determine the winner.  I am picking NCC 31- 30, but won't be surprised if UWW wins by the same score.  Good luck NCC, And One, enjoy the game.
#6
I am looking forward to this game.  I think it will be similar to the SJU/UWW game.  As many have stated it looks like line play will determine the outcome.  I am picking NCC 31 - 30, but will not be stunned at all if UWW wins it.  Wish the game was in Salem because I would definitely be going.
#7
Quote from: Joe Rockhead on December 12, 2019, 07:50:47 AM
This is a big deal for a little school like Muhlenberg.  If you've been there, you know it's a great place to see a game, but the stadium only holds about 3,000-probably goes to about 5,000 when you account for people standing around the field and on the terrace behind the Life-Sports center.  Looks like a rainy day-that may keep the numbers down. 

North Central folks traveling to Allentown should take note that parking is limited and will be more limited because of restrictions on Liberty Street and the campus lots near the stadium. Many of the other campus lots should be available however since Friday is the last day of finals and a lot of the students will be clearing out. No matter where you park on campus it won't be much of a walk to the field-the school is pretty compact. Too bad the weather is going to be nasty because it is a very nice campus to visit.

I remember visiting Muhlenberg in the 2005 - 08 timeframe.  The visitor stands are small and hard to actually see the game from.  The home side is nice.  We parked on the streets behind the home stands back then, I figure it is still ok to do so.  As far as the game goes, this looks like a repeat of the NCC/Del Val game.  Can Muhlenberg limit the big plays and make NCC go on long drives?  If they can they have a chance.  My concern would be can Muhlenberg score enough to win the game.  I think the offense is better than Del Val's and if they can control the clock with nice drives this game is going to be a good one.  I was thinking about attending but the forecasted rain will cancel that idea.  Good luck this week.
#8
Congrats to the 9 NJAC players who made all region.
#9
Quote from: jmcozenlaw on December 06, 2019, 02:03:45 PM
Quote from: wesleydad on December 02, 2019, 11:56:28 AM
Quote from: MANDGSU on December 02, 2019, 11:49:32 AM
We witness some surprising fireworks this pass(t) weekend and not so much from others. The Good thing is we still have two east region teams in the final eight. Some tough games, according to Massey, Salisbury has a 15% chance and Delaware Valley a 13%.


Key Game(s):

Salisbury (#1) vs. Muhlenberg (S#2) and North Central (N#3) vs. Delaware Valley (#4)

I think Salisbury has a much better chance of winning than Del Val does.  Both teams are playing really good squads, but I would give the Gulls a 50/50 shot where I would have Del Val at a 1 in 4 shot.

Wesleydad.........you are being far too kind. I give them about a 1 in 100. Playing the team who just put 59 on Mount Union, on the road, and now coming back home. I've got NCC by 34.

Not kind at all. Del Val has a strong defense and can get pressure sending 4.  They will play to keep everything in front of them.  If they can make NCC put drives together instead of big plays they will be in it.  I am not sure how their D compares to Wheaton's but if it is close they can win this game.
#10
Quote from: MANDGSU on December 05, 2019, 11:37:57 AM
Quote from: Bartman on December 05, 2019, 09:46:15 AM
Quote from: wesleydad on December 03, 2019, 11:55:14 AM
Quote from: MANDGSU on December 03, 2019, 10:13:12 AM
After looking into stats from this past weekend and listening to the post-game interview. Both defenses played well in the second half. For Salisbury, they only gave up 30% of Union total yardage in the 2nd half. I think the defense made some timely interceptions late 2nd and early 3rd that created separation and this was aided by some personnel changes in the back 4. The good thing that was mentioned by Salisbury coach was, it's always good to know that you can improve on somethings after a win, especially in playoffs. Another stat that was mentioned was the punt coverage, the few times that Union forced Salisbury to punt, they were unable to flip the field as oppose to the few times Salisbury forced Union to punt, Salisbury was able to take advantage and create good field position. Going forward, I expect the defensive coverage unit to tighten up as most of the routes which was mentioned during the post-game interview were good timing routes that can be corrected from a defensive standpoint. Another thing that was mentioned in the post-game interview was a 3rd and 6/7 play, that created a big pile, I was impressed with how the offensive lineman help push the QB to a first down, that was a defining moment for Salisbury as I believe Salisbury went onto get it's final td.

Looking ahead, Salisbury has a common opponent in TCNJ with Muhlenberg, never really look into those transitive things as one game was played Week 2, while the other week 8, we know teams change from Week 2 to Week 8 (i.e. Wesley v. Del Val), but it appeared that both games flowed the same. Again, Salisbury appears to be peaking offensively and defensively they can learn from Union game and scheme to improve to take the defense to another level of play. Looking forward to the match-up. Will look into more detail of the Mules as the week progress. I'm just happy for the players and coaches that they can move on for another week, get one more game for Seniors,more reps for underclassman and such.

Muhlenberg has given up 0 points so far in the playoffs.  That has to be concerning.  I am pretty sure they won't shut Salisbury out, but 0 in 2 round of the playoffs is rather impressive.
The 2 teams that Muhlenberg shut out were MIT and Brockport. MIT is understandable, and Brockport has been struggling at times on Offense, but still impressive to shutout the E8 champs. I was even more impressed with how strong the Mules O was against a tough Brockport D. The Mules DC is Kory David who might be the best DC in D3 football. He will be quite challenged to come up with a game plan to stop Salisbury from what I saw against Union. If Salisbury wins they will need to play well on both sides of the ball, the Mules will make more stops than Union, but will the Seagulls D make enough stops? It should be a great game .

Bartman, I think your assessment is much closer to my initial thoughts the past two days. Muhlenberg has been dominating teams and to shutout its opponents in the playoffs two weeks in a row as Wally and Wesleydad mentioned is both unprecedented and equally very impressive. However, looking at both MIT and Brockport based upon our ERFP, MIT was not even ranked (probably 7th seed in quadrant) and Brockport (6th seed in quadrant) was listed as the 8th best team under a good 7th ranked Hobart team that had beat them 33 to 7 earlier in the year. I think many of the teams we had ranked higher would have put up similar performance against a young, but overachieving Brockport team, which had 80 to 85% of the starting players being underclassmen. Now regarding Salisbury, I think playing Union could have been a blessing in disguise as they surprised Salisbury with their game plan. I went back and looked at all of Union's top games (Ithaca, RPI, etc...) they actually ran the ball and was very effective doing so. I think Salisbury may have over compensated for that, especially considering the LL OPOY was Irabor at HB. Regarding Salisbury upcoming game against Muhlenberg, I think it comes down to Salisbury protecting the ball, which when running the option is always key and Salisbury not over compensating for last week mistakes, but respecting and taking mental notes on how Union took advantage of something Salisbury coaches weren't expecting. Furthermore, continuing to be good on special teams, which can be taken for granted, I think Salisbury did a great job in coverage last week and controlling field position. Honestly, as a fan watching Salisbury the past 15 year's or so, I've watched them play Muhlenberg maybe twice, once back in 2007 in the 1st round of the playoffs, where Muhlenberg jumped out early and Salisbury stormed back to tie game only to fumble twice on it's final two drives and ended up losing 31-21. I think Salisbury had 10 or 13 turnovers that game including turnover on downs and only lost by 10. I think Salisbury had the better athletes then, but Muhlenberg were well coached and played good assignment football and played very hard nose football. Then the 2nd game was an ECAC bowl in 2013, where Salisbury escaped with a 21-19 win, prevailing on a failed two-point conversion by Muhlenberg. Although those two games were some year's ago, if you see a trend, Muhlenberg has always been good defensively, holding the 2007 team to 21 that average 39 ppg and the slightly above average 2013 squad that only average 28 ppg to 21. So the magic number for me is 21. Knowing both teams are much better than their respective 2007 and 2013 squads, offensively for sure, the magic number for Salisbury is 21.  I'll give my prediction tomorrow on my outcome and possible score.

Yep, 21 seems about right.  Whenever Salisbury struggled against Wesley they seldom reached 21 and had turnovers.  the Gulls have been clean so far this year, but the Mules will be a tough out.  They always played Wesley tough and it was due to their strong defense and discipline.  Should be a good game tomorrow.
#11
Quote from: Bartman on December 06, 2019, 10:18:51 AM
Good luck to Delaware Valley tomorrow , an upset of NCC would be huge for the Aggies and the East Region.

Agree, hoping at least one of the East teams wins tomorrow.  2 would be great.
#12
Quote from: MANDGSU on December 03, 2019, 10:13:12 AM
After looking into stats from this past weekend and listening to the post-game interview. Both defenses played well in the second half. For Salisbury, they only gave up 30% of Union total yardage in the 2nd half. I think the defense made some timely interceptions late 2nd and early 3rd that created separation and this was aided by some personnel changes in the back 4. The good thing that was mentioned by Salisbury coach was, it's always good to know that you can improve on somethings after a win, especially in playoffs. Another stat that was mentioned was the punt coverage, the few times that Union forced Salisbury to punt, they were unable to flip the field as oppose to the few times Salisbury forced Union to punt, Salisbury was able to take advantage and create good field position. Going forward, I expect the defensive coverage unit to tighten up as most of the routes which was mentioned during the post-game interview were good timing routes that can be corrected from a defensive standpoint. Another thing that was mentioned in the post-game interview was a 3rd and 6/7 play, that created a big pile, I was impressed with how the offensive lineman help push the QB to a first down, that was a defining moment for Salisbury as I believe Salisbury went onto get it's final td.

Looking ahead, Salisbury has a common opponent in TCNJ with Muhlenberg, never really look into those transitive things as one game was played Week 2, while the other week 8, we know teams change from Week 2 to Week 8 (i.e. Wesley v. Del Val), but it appeared that both games flowed the same. Again, Salisbury appears to be peaking offensively and defensively they can learn from Union game and scheme to improve to take the defense to another level of play. Looking forward to the match-up. Will look into more detail of the Mules as the week progress. I'm just happy for the players and coaches that they can move on for another week, get one more game for Seniors,more reps for underclassman and such.

Muhlenberg has given up 0 points so far in the playoffs.  That has to be concerning.  I am pretty sure they won't shut Salisbury out, but 0 in 2 round of the playoffs is rather impressive.
#13
Quote from: MANDGSU on December 02, 2019, 11:49:32 AM
We witness some surprising fireworks this pass(t) weekend and not so much from others. The Good thing is we still have two east region teams in the final eight. Some tough games, according to Massey, Salisbury has a 15% chance and Delaware Valley a 13%.


Key Game(s):

Salisbury (#1) vs. Muhlenberg (S#2) and North Central (N#3) vs. Delaware Valley (#4)

I think Salisbury has a much better chance of winning than Del Val does.  Both teams are playing really good squads, but I would give the Gulls a 50/50 shot where I would have Del Val at a 1 in 4 shot.
#14
Quote from: Pat Coleman on December 01, 2019, 02:15:39 PM
Quote from: unionpalooza on December 01, 2019, 01:54:14 PM
Who hosts who should be clear as crystal. 

If you want clear as crystal, here you go:
North Central had a first-round home game.
Delaware Valley had a first-round road game.
That should be plenty of indication right there.

Agree with Pat here.  Once the bracket is out you can figure out the seedings within the bracket.  Mount is 1, Wesley 2 Bridgewater 3, NCC 4.  Del Val would be a 6 based on them being on the road in round 1.  I believe if Wesley would have beaten Del Val on Saturday, Wesley would have hosted this weekend.
#15
Disappointing end to the season.  Wesley was out everythinged yesterday.  Del Val was much better prepared and Wesley had no answer on either side of the ball.  There was no flow to the offense.  Del Val planned to keep everything in front of them and with getting enough pressure only having to send 4 they had no trouble doing that.  On defense Wesley could not stop the sweeps which others have said was an issue all year and did not make any adjustments to stop number 80 who ran open all over the field.  If it wasn't for the Del Val QB being average and overthrowing a number of open receivers Del Val could have had 21 - 28 more points.  I did not see any adjustments made in the second half except for the fake handoff instead of an RPO that went for an 88 yard touchdown.  The team should be embarrassed by the number of personal foul/after the play stupid penalties they took yesterday.  Fry looks like he could be good so they are ok at QB, but they need to improve the defense if they are going to compete at the national level again.  Shame is that they could have finally avoided Mount, but I would not have wanted to see them play NCC with the way NCC throws the ball.