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Messages - Pirat

#1
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
April 04, 2018, 07:17:39 PM
My top 10
Trinity
Redlands
Chapman
Tyler
Concordia
Cal Lutheran
Texas Lutheran
Whittier
UT Dallas
La Verne

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Top hitters  Minimum 100 At Bats
Jacob Bockelie  SR  RF  Pacific Lutheran  1.232 OPS
Jonathon Bigley  SR  RF+  Sul Ross  1.221 OPS
Regional average for qualifying players  .882

Pitchers
All over 45 innings pitched and all under 2.00 ERA
Nathan Malinovsy  JR  Texas Lutheran  .67 ERA  5.40 innings/appearance
Kaleb Kirk   SR Centenary  1.55 ERA  6.59 innings/appearance
Adam Stead  SR  Redlands  1.67 ERA   6.75 innings/appearance
Ryan Cheatham    SR  Tyler  1.73 ERA  5.78 innings/appearance
Dylan Drgac  SR  Texas Lutheran  1.92 ERA  6.52 innings/appearance
Matt Mogollon  JR  Chapman  1.96 ERA  6.88 innings/appearance
Simon Sedillo  FR  Tyler  1.99 ERA  6.15 inning/appearance
Regional average ERA for qualifying pitchers 3.79

For now, my top overall regional player.  Aaron Singh,  JR,  Redlands, Shortstop.
Started 31 games leading the region in assists, 3 errors, .980 fielding percentage.  Current OPS is 1.102 6th in the region.  Stolen 16 bases 7th in the region
#2
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
March 28, 2018, 04:37:11 PM
My regional top 10
Redlands
Trinity
Chapman
Tyler
Concordia
Cal Lutheran
Texas Lutheran
Pacific Lutheran
Pomona
UT Dallas

SCIAC  overall 8 of 9 teams over .500.  Playing at well over.600 out of conference schedule tied for 2nd in the country while playing the 10th toughest schedule in the country.

Cal Lu/Chapman, Trinity/TLU, Tyler/Centenary all coming up
#3
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
March 25, 2018, 02:10:37 PM
Quote from: Bmo on March 24, 2018, 08:25:17 AM
That's what i thought you might be having to do, but had hoped it was already available somewhere.  It's too bad the NCAA analytics platform is so limited currently. 

On the site i linked above there were some interesting Misc Reports; primarily "Toughest Schedule" and "Non Conference".  "Toughest Schedule" shows current, future, and total opponent Win Percentage, which might answer some previous questions on this site as to why a team's NCAA SOS is so low. 

Someone with some pull with the NCAA Stats folks might be able to request some additional misc reports.  Region vs Region and Conference vs Conference would be interesting.

With a more robust analytics platform, you could filter region vs region by top/middle/bottom tier win percentage, or even by matchups like Ace vs Ace, SP2 vs SP3, etc. Actually trending would be nice too. 

Maybe one day..
Agreed the NCAA stat presentation isn't what I would like it to be. I do use the "Misc. Reports" and have found that to be helpful.  As you say "Maybe one day.."  but I kinda doubt it.
#4
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
March 23, 2018, 11:22:41 PM
Quote from: Bmo on March 22, 2018, 11:25:46 AM
Thanks Pirat,

I certainly understand. "The report's only as good as the data!"

I am curious where you are pulling your data from as there are so many NCAA reporting dashboards, some working, some not.  I hadn't looked in a while and stumbled upon a new one, to me, (I assume you are using, but if not, may be helpful for your weekly summary), see link.

https://stats.ncaa.org/rankings?sport_code=MBA&division=3



The rankings summary tab lets you sort by western region or create a set of custom "West Region Teams to Beat".  It also seems to respect the 2.5 at bats per/game, inning per game qualification rules.  It doesn't have OPS, which I assume you are compiling yourself unless you are pulling your data from somewhere I haven't run across yet..

I am pulling all of my data from the individual team stat sites on the NCAA website.  For the most part, individual player stats for hitting, pitching and fielding are up to date.  There are a few of them that are running a little behind. I download all of those stats plus team stats onto a spreadsheet which makes it fairly easy to come up with odd ball stats like OPS.  I also include team winning percentage, SOS, and run differential which makes it fairly easy to compare team across the region.
#5
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
March 21, 2018, 10:45:43 PM
Quote from: Teddy_Ballgame on March 21, 2018, 09:22:32 PM
Quote from: Pirat on March 21, 2018, 02:53:16 PM
California leading the region in winning percentage and strength of schedule.

My top teams
Redlands
Chapman
Trinity(Texas)
Concordia(Texas)
Texas-Tyler
Texas Lutheran
Pomona-Pitzer
California Lutheran
Pacific Lutheran
Whitworth

Acknowledgements
Jonathon Bigley  SR  RF  Sul Ross St   leading hitter (min 18 starts) 1.346 OPS.  Regional average .838  OPS

RBI guys (min 18 starts)
Nathan Patton  SO  3B  Dallas
Tyler Cauley    SO   RF  Texas Lutheran
Sam Swenson  SO   1B  George Fox
All over 1.2 RBIs per game.  Regional average .634 RBIs per game

Aaron Singh  JR   SS  Redlands  118 Total Chances    2 ERRORS  PDG for a shortstop. (NCAA stats 3/20)

ERAs under 2 with min 5 starts 
Ryan Cheatham  SR   Tyler   1.05 ERA
Matt Mogollon   JR   Chapman  1.57 ERA
Dylan Drgac   SR  Texas Lutheran  1.82 ERA
Blaine Parker  FR  East Texas Baptist  1.99 ERA
Regional average 4.47  ERA

I certainly believe Chapman and Cal Lu are talented, and they've played well in non-con, but both are sitting at 3-6 in SCIAC play (Chapman having lost all three series so far). This weekend's upcoming CLU-PP series should be telling, and Chapman has four games against some good non-con opponents before they meet CLU themselves.

Interesting snap shot of some impressive individual years around the region, though. Crazy that we're about halfway through already for most west region teams.
Teddy, I was trying to take a more entire approach to the region rather than by individual conferences.  I would agree that right now the SCIAC belongs to Redlands.  This may say more about how "strong and balacnced" things are in the SCIAC.  Thanks for your insight.
#6
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
March 21, 2018, 10:31:07 PM
Quote from: Bmo on March 21, 2018, 09:07:42 PM
Thanks Pirat.  Good summary.

I do think you might have missed Nittoli from Trinity, with a .68 ERA.  Also, Malinovsky from TLU deserves some acknowledgement, even though he doesn't meet the 5 start threshold.  He has logged 40 innings so far, which is more than most with 5 starts.

Not sure I would feel good about including a sub 500 as a top team, but I certainly understand loyalty.

All of this was based on NCAA information gathered on Monday. Next weeks gathering could produce different results depending on how the weekend goes especially with regards to the sub .500 team.  Nittoli wasn't on the list because Trinity is over a week behind in posting their stats to the NCAA site. Agreed on Malinovsky, 40 innings is significant but I had to draw an arbitrary line somewhere. Thanks for the feedback
#7
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
March 21, 2018, 02:53:16 PM
California leading the region in winning percentage and strength of schedule.

My top teams
Redlands
Chapman
Trinity(Texas)
Concordia(Texas)
Texas-Tyler
Texas Lutheran
Pomona-Pitzer
California Lutheran
Pacific Lutheran
Whitworth

Acknowledgements
Jonathon Bigley  SR  RF  Sul Ross St   leading hitter (min 18 starts) 1.346 OPS.  Regional average .838  OPS

RBI guys (min 18 starts)
Nathan Patton  SO  3B  Dallas
Tyler Cauley    SO   RF  Texas Lutheran
Sam Swenson  SO   1B  George Fox
All over 1.2 RBIs per game.  Regional average .634 RBIs per game

Aaron Singh  JR   SS  Redlands  118 Total Chances    2 ERRORS  PDG for a shortstop. (NCAA stats 3/20)

ERAs under 2 with min 5 starts 
Ryan Cheatham  SR   Tyler   1.05 ERA
Matt Mogollon   JR   Chapman  1.57 ERA
Dylan Drgac   SR  Texas Lutheran  1.82 ERA
Blaine Parker  FR  East Texas Baptist  1.99 ERA
Regional average 4.47  ERA


#8
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
March 14, 2018, 03:40:04 PM
My top teams
ASC: Concordia University Texas, Texas-Tyler, Texas-Dallas
Conference winning percentage .523 3nd  in region.  Average conference schedule strength 186th in country.
NWC: Whitworth, George Fox, Linfield 
Conference winning percentage .485 4th in region.  Average conference schedule strength 174th in country.
SCAC: Trinity, Texas Lutheran, Centenary
Conference winning percentage .594 1st in region.  Average conference schedule strength 182nd in country.
SCIAC: Redlands, Chapman, Cal Lutheran
Conference winning percentage .581 2nd in region.  Average conference schedule strength 166th in country.   

Significant series this weekend. Texas-Tyler & Texas-Dallas.  Whitworth & Pacific Lutheran.
#9
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
March 08, 2018, 03:35:36 PM
Significant series in Spokane this weekend.  Geo Fox coming to Whitworth.  Geo Fox brings a nice winning percentage but a weak schedule although they did take 2 of 3 from Linfield.  Whit on the other hand brings a .500 record and having played one of the tougher schedules in the region.  Looks like a matchup of hitting (Geo Fox) vs pitching and defense (Whit).
#10
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
March 07, 2018, 11:22:18 AM
My Top teams
ASC:  Tyler, Concordia, Dallas
NWC: George Fox, Linfield, Whitworth
SCAC:  Trinity, Centenary, TLU
SCIAC: Redlands, Chapman, Pomona
Acknowledgements: (NCAA stats)
Hitter: Jonathan Bigley   (Sul Ross)  Senior  Right field   62 ABs 1.475 OPS
Picher:  Ryan Cheatham (Tyler)  Senior   4 starts,   24.1 innings, 0.00 ERA
Carter Buuck (Linfield)    Senior    5 starts, 33.1 innings, .81 ERA 
Blaine Parker   (ETBU)  Freshman   5 starts, 27.2 innings,  .98 ERA
Shortstop:  Aaron Singh  (Redlands)   Junior,  76 chances 1 error
2nd base:  Dustin Meyer (Pacific)  Junior,  92 chances    0 errors
#11
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
February 28, 2018, 01:44:40 PM
My top teams in the Region:  Tyler, Redlands, Centenary, George Fox in that order.
My guess is Trinity will be there as one of the top teams once they get a few more games under their belt.
TLU at 9-3 took a step back this past weekend but still in the hunt.
Early league contenders.
ASC: Tyler, Dallas, maybe Concordia
NWC: Geo Fox, Linfield, Whitworth, maybe Willamette
SCAC: Centenary, Trinity, maybe TLU
SCIAC: Redlands, Chapman, Cal Lu
#12
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
February 21, 2018, 05:05:35 PM
Quote from: 108 Stitches on February 19, 2018, 12:49:45 PM
It's still very early but after a quick glance at the standings and it looks like GF in the Northwest seems to be the strongest team at the moment, Redlands and Chapman in the SCIAC, Concordia in the ASC and Trinity, TLU and Centenary in the SCAC. It's not uncommon for a team to struggle early and then get it together during the season, but not in any order these seem to be the best teams.

GF
Redlands
Chapman
Concordia
Trinity
TLU
Centenary

I too like Redlands, Trinity, Chapman and Centenary.  Withholding judgment on TLU and Geo Fox until after this weekend when they have played better competition.
#13
"Strong and balanced" conference.   As of the last time I checked, only one team with losing record. Real good pre-league record.
#14
Current West Region winning percentages by conference:  SCIAC=.585; SCAC=.581; ASC=.543; NWC=.462.  Early on, the SCIAC looks like it could be a strong conference.  Their pre-league non-conference winning percentage this year was .639.  Whitworth(NWC) had nice weekend in Texas losing to Trinity but beating Tyler and Centenary. So, who knows what is to come out of the Northwest once the season warms up for those guys.  It is early we will see how all of this plays out for the Region.

Centenary and Tyler locked up in a close one today in the 7th.
#15
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
February 14, 2018, 11:18:06 AM
Comets being 0-4 is surprising but 3 of the losses came to the top 3 teams in California and Scripps is 4-3.
Couple of other West teams off to a good start. 
George Fox 6-2, hitting, pitching and fielding better than any team in their conference.
TLU 6-0 after a lopsided win last night.