Author Topic: NCAA Divisions. The hype vs. the reality  (Read 1507 times)

Offline Northern_Explorer

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NCAA Divisions. The hype vs. the reality
« on: February 09, 2021, 01:01:53 pm »
In trying to explain how the quality levels in various affiliations stack up... I finally think I've got a data driven illustration. The Power Ratings come from the Massey Ratings page and are based on 2019, but it's a great illustration of the diversity within each affiliation as well as how they kind of stack up (I think). It's worth pointing out that a team competing against an opponent with a Massey rating 2 points higher still has a significant chance of winning, so when you compare a team with a rating somewhere in the 5's with a team in the 7's (for instance), that's still a very competitive match...

The hype

The reality

Offline Gray Fox

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Re: NCAA Divisions. The hype vs. the reality
« Reply #1 on: March 11, 2021, 12:08:01 pm »
I have always thought that a team's ability is not absolute, but in reality some kind of standard distribution.
Teams can beat anyone who overlaps on the two distributions.  A team having a good day on their distribution can beat a team having a bad day.   That is why we play the games.
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