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Messages - SpartyBlue

#1
Quote from: SpartyBlue on March 02, 2024, 04:28:11 PM
Quote from: SpartyBlue on February 29, 2024, 11:26:12 AMLogan Pearson--UW Platteville
Ali Sabet--Loras
Cale Schmitt--Coe
Jalen McCants--Dubuque
Mac Annus--Roger Williams
JaZere Noel--Rowan
Jalen Overway--Calvin
DJ Campbell--Stockton


Hurowitz Farmindale
Schnurr  Coe
Caprisi Swarthmore
Pearson UW Platteville
Freeman NYU
Campbell Berry
Souter UT Dallas
Hunter Keene St.

Callahan Gold-Trinity
Clements HS
Dearman Guilford
Smylie  Trine
#2
UWP
Trinity
H-S
#3
Quote from: SpartyBlue on March 02, 2024, 04:28:11 PM
Quote from: SpartyBlue on February 29, 2024, 11:26:12 AMLogan Pearson--UW Platteville
Ali Sabet--Loras
Cale Schmitt--Coe
Jalen McCants--Dubuque
Mac Annus--Roger Williams
JaZere Noel--Rowan
Jalen Overway--Calvin
DJ Campbell--Stockton


Hurowitz Farmindale
Schnurr  Coe
Caprisi Swarthmore
Pearson UW Platteville
Freeman NYU
Campbell Berry
Souter UT Dallas
Hunter Keene St.

Rd 3

Prowitt-Smith  Williams
Octavio Brito  Keene
Mazzeo CWR
Pulley, Jr. RMU
#4
Round 3

Calvin
Tufts
Guilford
Williams
#5
Catholic
Keene St.
CNU
Wash U
Trine
NWU
Whitworth
RMU
#6
Quote from: SpartyBlue on February 29, 2024, 11:26:12 AMLogan Pearson--UW Platteville
Ali Sabet--Loras
Cale Schmitt--Coe
Jalen McCants--Dubuque
Mac Annus--Roger Williams
JaZere Noel--Rowan
Jalen Overway--Calvin
DJ Campbell--Stockton


Hurowitz Farmindale
Schnurr  Coe
Caprisi Swarthmore
Pearson UW Platteville
Freeman NYU
Campbell Berry
Souter UT Dallas
Hunter Keene St.
#7
Logan Pearson--UW Platteville
Ali Sabet--Loras
Cale Schmitt--Coe
Jalen McCants--Dubuque
Mac Annus--Roger Williams
JaZere Noel--Rowan
Jalen Overway--Calvin
DJ Campbell--Stockton
#8
Rd 1

Stevens
PSU-Harrisburg
Elmhurst
Dubuque
Wabash
Loras
Hope
TCNJ
#9
Carnegie Mellon
Guilford
Trinity , TX.
#10
Round 1  Hampton-Sydney/Stevens/Carnegie Mellon/Catholic/St. Thomas, TX/Whitworth/Neb. Wesleyan/Trinity, TX./Widener/Chris Newport/DeSales/Oswego/TCNJ/Keene St./PSU-H/Guilford/Case Western/Hope/Loras/UW Platteville/Wabash/Trine/Dubuque/Wash U/Randolph Macon/St. Joe, CT./Elmhurt/John Carroll/Swarthmore/Trinity, CT/Tufts/NYU

Round 2 Hampton-Sydney/Carnegie Mellon/St. Thomas, TX/Neb. Wesleyan/Chris Newport/DeSales/Keene St./Guilford/Case Western/UW-Platteville/Trine/Dubuque/Randolph Macon/John Carroll/Swarthmore/NYU

Sweet 16  Carnegie Mellon/St. Thomas, TX./DeSales/Guilford/Case Western/Trine/John Carroll/NYU

Elite 8  Carnegie Mellon/Guilford/Case Western/John Carroll

Final 4 Guilford/Case Western

Champ  Case Western Tiebreak 141
#11
Quote from: Greek Tragedy on February 26, 2024, 10:06:21 PMIt helps tremendously to win your nonconference games, no matter how good or bad the schedule is. I see very few marquee games that the ARC played...or even won. But, when the top of your league only has one or two or even zero nc losses for each team, then you're going to have some pretty good records and with that, being regionally ranked and have a lot of vRROs in your pocket. The WIAC didn't do that. Lots of nonconference losses.

This certainly appears to be the case. 

ARC final record--  non-con schedule ranks -- record vs. top 100 Massey ranked non-con teams:

Coe  21-5 186th--- 1-1 Illinois College lost Gustavus Adolphus won
Dubuque 21-6  255th --- 2-0 Whitworth and St. Norbert won
NWU 23-4 293rd  -----  1-0 UW-Oshkosh  won
Loras 23-5 386th ---- 1-0 WI. Lutheran won

The ARC teams benefited from weaker non-con schedules where you pile up wins and very weak bottom of the conference.  The four tournament teams vs. the bottom four teams in the conference went a combined 31-1.

In the WIAC the top seven teams are all inside the Massey 100.  It's hard to compile a gaudy record with that much parity. 

Illinois Wesleyan is another example on the first four out side  19-10  16th ---- 3-5 Massey non-con record...turn a couple of those into cupcakes and you're 20+ wins and in. 

All of that said, these ARC teams are all legit and belong, but stumbled upon an interesting path this season to get the top four teams to the dance.
#12
The ARC gets four teams in the tournament!  The conference finally getting some well-deserved respect and has moved away from being a one bid-league. 

Dubuque vs. Illinois College     Great draw for Sparty, solid favorite in this first round matchup.  IC has a weak SoS, although did beat Coe back in November.  Waiting for the Spartans should be Wash U. on their own floor, a tough task to be sure.

Loras vs. Gustavus Adolphus  Loras gets another favorable first round draw against the MIAC champ. Duhawks win and advance, likely against UWP--for those who don't know, this is essentially a home floor for Loras as UWP is just 20 minutes up the road. 

NWU vs. Centenary   NWU travels to California to play a team from...Louisiana...Wolves again with a very winnable game on paper, then a tough one vs. Trinity, TX

Coe head to Indiana vs. Wabash   Tough draw for Coe vs. a team who has won 12 straight, then if you win, play a tough Trine team on their home floor. 

I'll predict the ARC goes 3-1 in the first round--Coe falling to Wabash.  UD and NWU advance to the sweet 16.
#13
NWU 73 UD 67  NWU TCB at home.  UD shoots 8% from three in the second half and missed several bunnies that would have closed the gap in the waning minutes and given them a chance.  NWU also goes 23-32 from the free throw line as 4/5th of the Spartan lineup either fouls out or nearly fouls out.  Let em play!

Loras 76 Coe 73  Duhawks pull the upset on the road.  Kohawks controlled this one until about 6 minutes left, when they went completely cold, scoring only three points in the final 6:25 on their own floor.  Funny game, basketball.

Championship Saturday Loras @ NWU  Loras beat NWU twice, 89-76 in Lincoln and 84-64 in Dubuque...tough to beat a team three times is the cliche.  Pick em'.

The bottom line is that the ARC deserves and it looks like could get four teams into the NCAA tournament. 
#14
It's amazing how much the ARC may benefit this season from the precipitous decline in quality records in the CCIW and WIAC.  This conference has belonged in the larger conversation of non-automatic qualifiers for years, but there was rarely room at the table. 
#15
One more observation--non-conference strength of schedule allowed a few teams to build spectacular records.  There is nothing wrong with this per se, but gaudy records lead to more national eyeballs in a division with 100s of teams.

Non-Conference Strength of Schedule:

Dubuque  255th
Coe 190th
Loras 389th
NWU 296th