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Messages - Flying Weasel

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Men's soccer / Re: 2023-24 Schedules
« on: May 24, 2023, 02:12:18 pm »

To be honest, a bit underwhelming and disappointing.  The Falcons are losing W&L, Lynchburg, NYU and Christopher Newport from their 2022 schedule and the only similar level teams that have bene added are Catholic and Mary Washington.  Brockport isn't a bad pick-up, and I don't mind the Lancaster Bible addition as it will give a nice boost to a nearby program's SOS.  But it would be nice to have a couple more Top 25 to Top 40 calibre teams.

Women's soccer / Re: UAA
« on: December 06, 2022, 04:37:12 pm »
Good effort by Case today.  These were the "players mentioned" in the Hopkins recap.  While this is permitted by the NCAA rules, it's certainly not in the spirit of D3 to load up your squad with a boatload of one and done former D1 athletes.

#20 Rachel Jackson - F 5' 9" Graduate Student (D1 James Madison transfer JHU fifth-year)
#15 Katie Sullivan - F 5' 7" Sophomore
#00 Emma Huntzinger - GK 5' 10" Graduate Student (D1 Rutgers transfer)
#4 Breukelen Woodard -M 5' 7" Graduate Student (D1 South Carolina / Penn transfer)
#5 Kacie Filian - M/D 5' 9" Graduate Student (D1 St. Bonaventure transfer)

#11 Maria Romo-Nichols - F 5' 6" Freshman
#33 Kendall Dandridge - D 5' 7" Graduate Student (D1 Fordham transfer)
#42 Rebecca Rosen - M/F 5' 9" Graduate Student (D1 Brown transfer)

As phil eluded to, Johns Hopkins also had #1 Priya Gillan - GK 5' 7" Graduate Student (D1 Illinois State transfer) on the bench.

On the other side, Case Western Reserve had two grad student D-I transfers:
#11 Fwd Camryn Hartman (Grad Student - D-I Univ. of Cincinnati transfer):  22 starts, 14 goals, 10 assists (both led team)
#27 Fwd Samantha Cramin (Grad Student - D-I Iowa transfer):  22 games played (0 starts), 7 goals, 3 assists

Men's soccer / Re: Big Dance 2022 - Let's Go!
« on: December 06, 2022, 04:12:15 pm »
Congratulations to UChicago-- 2022 NCAA DIII Men's Soccer Champions

Final:  UChicago 2, Williams 0   Chicago gets an empty net goal with 14 seconds left to seal it.

Congratulations to Julianne Sitch- First woman to coach a men's soccer team to an NCAA Championship in any division.

I wonder if Sitch is also the first coach to win it in the their first year with the program and in their first year as a college head coach at any level (she was head coach of the Chicago Red Stars reserves that won their conference in the WPSL in 2021, but otherwise her college (and senior level pro) experience has been as an assistant coach).  I wouldn't be surprised if those are firsts in college as well.  Although she inherited a really strong team with tournament experience, I've seen many a head coach screw that up.  Plus, she helped integrate some strong freshman attackers into the lineup and kept the team united and tactically strong.  Arguably, she brought in tactics that pushed them over the top.

Interestingly, I just read about the CWRU women's coach today in part because CWRU being in the title game, especially the women, seemed surprising to me.  Abby Richter, the CWRU coach, fits all those criteria above....hired in August, never a head coach before.  I totally understood why Bianco left CWRU for Denison but CWRU is a fantastic school... maybe doesn't have the glamour of some of its UAA brethren but one of the more underrated, under the radar schools among top tier academic schools.  The CWRU women's record over the past few years suggests that they were building towards a season like the one they're having, but, just like with the Chicago men, being able to go so far with another coach you just met when school started seems impressive.

On the topic of women coaches and Case Western, the head coach that preceded Abby Ritcher at Case Western was also a woman, Jen Simonetti.  Given the timing of Simonetti leaving for Division I Akron (women's HC) in mid-July and Ritcher's hire a week into August, this year's squad is entirely Simonetti's recruits including two grad student D-I transfers. Case only lost 3 full-time starters and 1 part-time starter from last year to graduation while 2 seniors chose to return for a 5th year including their All-American midfielder who led the team in goals and assists in 2021. In three years/two seasons, Simonetti turned a mediocre team and UAA doormat into a nationally relevant Top 25 team, setting the table for what Ritcher accomplished this year.  Simonetti was named the Coach of the Year last year.  Here's the write-up:

     In a somewhat non-traditional, but well-deserved choice, the women’s Coach of the Year is Jen Simonetti, of Case Western Reserve, who led the Spartans to their most successful season in program history. In 2021 they recorded an overall record of 16-2-2, a UAA mark of 4-1-2, good for second; advanced to the NCAA Sweet Sixteen; and finished 12th in the Top 25, each all-time program bests. Coach Simonetti has led a remarkable turnaround for CWRU in the most difficult conference in women’s soccer. She became CWRU head coach in July 2019. In the ten years before her arrival, the Spartans averaged 1-5-1 in the UAA and 8-8-2 overall. In her first year, 2019, the Spartans set a program record for wins and made the NCAA field for only the second time in program history. This season, they blew past those marks with three added wins for another program best and advanced to the Sweet Sixteen. In her first two seasons the Spartans have cumulative win percent of .500 / .782 (UAA / overall), dramatic improvements over the .236 / .519 marks of the previous ten years. []

Men's soccer / Re: 2022 D3 Men's Soccer National Perspective
« on: December 04, 2022, 01:43:32 pm »
All I need to know about the fraudulent soccer coaches awards is that UChicago's lead striker who scored in the NCAA semis and title game did not even get All-Region. Which is fine, Yeti would rather be a national champion anyway.

Yeah, that was ludicrous. They aren't quite Max Lopez numbers but 13G, 1A with 7 game winners and goals in 4 of 6 tournament games was more than enough to be All-Region and I would have had him AA.

If I'm not mistaken, the voting for USC All-Region occurs prior to the NCAA Tournament. So his scoring in the tournament wouldn't have been on his resume.  And it's only 1st Team All-Region selections that are considered for All-American.  More important than all of that, unless things have changed again, a coach can only nominate 4 field players and 1 GK from his team for All-Region.  For Chicago's four field players, Gillespie and Wada are givens and looking at the All-Region teams Coach Sitch apparently nominated midfielder Lyndon Hu and defender Nathan Moonesinghe instead of Yetishefsky.  Naz Kabanni is another very good player who probably merits All-Region consideration, but wouldn't have been on the ballot.

I don't know what honors Yetishefsky deserved, but, due to the nomination limits, he wasn't even on the ballot for All-Region. If he had been, he certainly would have be selected as a player for the nation's top team.  But I wouldn't have expected him to have made 1st Team ALl-Region to get into the running for All-American.  His record at the time of voting was 9 goals scored in 17 games (actually 15 games as he missed a pair of games) with no assists.  He had 5 game-winners, but 3 of those came in games won 4-0, 3-0, and 3-0.  And only 2 of his 9 goals were scored in games decided by less than a 3-goal difference.  And one of those, the 2-1 game-winner versus Calvin, came 40 minutes after Calvin was reduced to 10-men.  Besides his hattrick in the 3-0 win over North Park he wasn't really all that impressive on paper.

I'm not fan of the USC awards and agree they always have numerous questionable inclusions and omissions.  But in this case, the main culprit is probably their cap of 4 field players per team, not that ten other forwards from the region were considered better than Yetishefsky by the coaches.  He probably wasn't on the ballot. 

Men's soccer / Re: WC 2022
« on: November 30, 2022, 04:14:31 pm »
Mexico is eliminated, depending on tie breakers it was on a stoppage time goal by Saudi Arabia, not digging deep enough to find out if they or Poland would have progressed if the score had stayed 2-0.

If both games had stayed 2-0, Mexico and Poland would still have been tied after the first 5 tie-breakers and Mexico would have been eliminated on the basis of the Fair Play (they had more yellow cards than Poland).  That's why they needed to push for a third goal (or hope Argentina scored one more).  Thing is, after Saudi Arabia scored, a last minute goal by Mexico would have seen them advance ahead of Poland on the basis of the 2nd tie-breaker: goal scored.  Wild stuff.

A lot easier to enjoy the craziness today as a neutral than if this had involved the U.S.!!!

Men's soccer / Re: WC 2022
« on: November 21, 2022, 09:46:15 pm »
Generally annoying game — and not just because Bale was playing.

Still, whoever made that tactical foul when Turner came for a walkabout deserves MotM.
That was Ream - and I commented to my son, a Ream
Hater, that the foul was our best play in the second half!

Actually it was Kellyn Acosta who fouled Bale at the 50.  But yes, it was our best play because you know Bale was going to score from there. 

As also a Liverpool fan and Philadelphia Union fan, I know that Bale would have scored that if not for Acosta's intervention, just like I knew he would convert the PK despite how much I was cheering for Turner to come up huge with the save.  In fact, just minutes before the PK, I texted my brothers that we really needed a second goal to Bale-proof the result. On my list of most despised players, Bale is pushing for the top spot.

Such a disappointing result after the opening 45. A second first half goal wouldn't have been undeserved and, as it turned out, was needed.  Wales made halftime adjustments and we didn't really have an answer for that.  Spent a lot of time (and energy) chasing and unable to keep possession or attack with numbers for much of the second half.  Did a little better once the subs got made.  Advancement could very well come down to goal difference now, and unfortunately I'm not feeling that good about us doing better against England than Wales does. Glad we get England first, then Iran so we have a better feel for what might be required in that last game.

Men's soccer / Re: Ties and Overtime
« on: November 18, 2022, 09:45:14 am »
If I'm not mistaken, at one point overtime was two 15 minute periods with no sudden victory/golden goal, then, if still tied, up to two 10- or 15-minute sudden victory periods, for a potential 50 or 60 minutes of overtime. 

Men's soccer / Re: Ties and Overtime
« on: November 15, 2022, 09:36:38 pm »
Curious as to thoughts on the NCAA OT policy as it relates to the 22-23 season. As we all know the NCAA eliminated OT in regular season therefore resulting in a significant numbers of tied matches.

Just to review what was demonstrated/concluded further up in the thread: the lack of overtime during the regular season did not change how many games were tied after 90 minutes.  Naturally, because some overtime games have game-winning goals, the lack of overtime drove up ties.

Secondly (I may be wrong about this) but dropping sudden victory and having two full OT periods seems to have resulted in too many matches that went to PKs which I’m sure many agree is not the best way to end a match. I believe there were 5 matches determined by PKs in 21-22 and so far after two rounds we have already seen 10 this year in tournament.

You could only conclude that dropping the "golden goal" resulted in too many matches going to PK's IF there were games in which one team scored in overtime and then the other team equalized.  That did not happen in any of the 14 overtime games so far in this year's tournament.  10 of those 14 overtimes games saw no goal scored leading to PK's.  3 games had one team score a single goal and win, and 1 game had a team score twice and win.  Thus the lack of the "golden goal" made zero difference in how often games went to PK's.  Unless you are making the argument that because an overtime goal could be equalized, teams had less incentive to try to score versus taking their chances in the PK shootout.  Not sure I'd buy that that.  Most times an overtime will stand up (not be equalized), so I doubt there would have been any significant change in motivation to chase after an overtime goal.  Like in the past, inferior teams may feel their interests are best served by playing for the tie and PK's while superior teams prefer to try to score and avoid the chap shoot of a PK shootout.

From the full-season numbers given a few posts above, games that go to overtime had a game-winner ("golden goal") roughly 55% of the time and finished tied 45% of the time.  In this year's tournament, only 28.6% of overtime games had an overtime goal scored, while 71.4% remained tied.  That begs the question: Are there less goals scored in overtime in the tournament (over time, not just this year) than across the regular season in years past when there was overtime (but no Pks)?  Given how much is on the line, do teams play more conservative and take less risks in the tournament than they would in the regular season?  It's possible, BUT in a regular season overtime game (thinking of years past, of course), there is no PK shootout so if you can remain tied you get the point and avoid a loss unlike in the tournament where the shootout looms which could end your season.  That would seem to motivate better teams to go for the win in a tournament overtime game rather than take their chances in the shootout.

I believe there were 5 matches determined by PKs in 21-22 and so far after two rounds we have already seen 10 this year in tournament.

In 2019, there were 11 overtime games the first weekend, 8 of which went to penalty kick shootouts.  Sure, 10 is more than 8, and 10 could very well be the most PK shootouts the opening weekend, but these things do fluctuate and only by looking further back as well as waiting to see what happens in the coming years could any firm conclusions be reached as to an abrupt shift due to changes with overtime (no "golden goal") versus a trend versus randomness.  I suspect it's largely random fluctuations.  Over time I expect the random overtime game in which both teams score in overtime resulting in a shootout that would not have occurred with the "golden goal" in place.  Probably won't happen often enough to significantly change the numbers/percentages of games going to PK shootouts.

Men's soccer / Re: Liberty League
« on: November 14, 2022, 02:20:14 pm »
Being a even-numbered year with men having hosting priority the first weekend, Amherst was going to be the host as the highest seed in their pod (and their quadrant overall).  Whether St. Lawrence bid to host or not wouldn't have mattered. 

Whether St. Lawrence bid to host or not, in theory, should not have impacted where the Saints were placed in the brackets as the bracketing should be completed before they start looking at hosting assignments. I'm not sure I can completely 100% believe that potential hosting options aren't in the back of their minds when forming the brackets, especially out west, but I can imagine it's minimal.  So I wonder if the committee determines who are their top 16 seeds (based on the selection/ranking criteria) and, to the extent that geography cooperates, gives them each their own 1st/2nd Round pod.  Looking at this year's brackets and the first/top teams in each pod bracket which corresponds to the highest seed in that pod, and comparing those teams to the final Regional Rankings and data, it seems very plausible that those are the committee's top 16 seeds.  St. Thomas was the highest seed in their pod but did not host--could be because they did not bid to host or because of something the committee found unsatisfactory about their field/facility/hosting capabilities.  And of all the pod top seeds, St. Thomas would also be the most questionable to have been among the top 16 seeds nationally.  Babson or St. Lawrence might have been the 16th seed nationally, but geography meant someone out west needed to host a pod of west teams (there were five Region X teams in the field, and they weren't going to fly them all to separate pods). 

So who knows, St. Lawrence may have been the 16th seed and if not for the west being without a top 16 seed, might have had their own pod (and avoided Amherst) even if they couldn't host due to not having put in a bid.  Now that's just a mental exercise and speculation on my part, and to be honest I'd guess Babson would have been ahead of St. Lawrence in the seeding and more likely to have been the 16th seed if St. Thomas was not among the top 16. Either way, St. Lawrence likely was very close to having their own pod, but when they didn't get that, geography/travel and trying to keep conference rivals separated as long as possible  (I don't think any pod has two teams from the same conference) resulting in the Saints being handed a tougher 2nd round opponent than their seeding would have otherwise earned them. 

Regardless of teams' seeding or WLT records, to have had the best shot of advancing to the Sweet 16, Messiah would have probably been better off with any of nearly 80% of the teams in the tournament over Williams.  But that's who they got.  Not all paths to the Final Four are equal, and sometimes you get a favorable path, other times not.  Champions have to win and overcome whatever they're faced with, and this year the Falcons didn't do that.

Men's soccer / Re: Big Dance 2022 - Let's Go!
« on: November 12, 2022, 10:18:53 pm »
If it's not obvious from Stevens and F&M feeds, it's absolutely gorgeous on the East Coast today. High 60s and mostly sunny up and down the seaboard.

More than gorgeous, incredible for a mid Nov game. A bit colder tomorrow.

Yeah, here south central PA it was very nice.  Sunny in the morning thru to the 1:00 pm start times when it turned overcast, but temps were comfortable in the 60's throughout most of the afternoon.  After all the concern about the weather, it wasn't really an issue.  I don't think we got as much rain as thought possible on Friday, so field conditions weren't as much of an issue as they might have been.  Messiah's grass field has been in really good shape, so it handled the rain fairly well even though I did notice occasional footing issues throughout the games.

Men's soccer / Re: Big Dance 2022 - Let's Go!
« on: November 12, 2022, 10:02:09 pm »
It's interesting that Mary Hardin-Baylor and Pacific Lutheran are playing each other in the 1st Round of both the men's and women's tournaments, with the same scheduled start time (7:30 pm CT)*, just two hours driving distance apart.

* -  the women's game had a late start because the earlier game went to PK's.

Men's soccer / Re: Big Dance 2022 - Let's Go!
« on: November 12, 2022, 09:54:02 pm »
St. Olaf making quick work of Lake Forest.  Up 4-0 within the first 20 minutes.

Men's soccer / Re: Big Dance 2022 - Let's Go!
« on: November 12, 2022, 08:37:03 pm »
Game over.  North Central survive; win 3-2.  Keep undefeated season going.  Wild finish to the game!

Men's soccer / Re: Big Dance 2022 - Let's Go!
« on: November 12, 2022, 08:33:26 pm »
But 10-man North Central ties it up with 2:15 left.

And a minute later the Cardinals score again!  Lead 3-2!  Wow!

Men's soccer / Re: Big Dance 2022 - Let's Go!
« on: November 12, 2022, 08:29:11 pm »
And North Central is down to 10 men with 15 minutes remaining in regulation.

And now UW-Superior, with the man advantage, goes up 2-1 with under 5 to play.

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