1036
Men's soccer / Re: IIAC 2011
« on: October 18, 2011, 05:32:59 pm »How does the Middle Atlantic Conference compare to our two types of conferences? I only bring that up because it looks like Missah's conference has 6 or 7 teams fighting for the top spot and I believe they have had better success then either IIAC or MIAC. But that's just a mute point. I just wanted to through it out there.
You must be confused or mixing things up. The Commonwealth Conference (of the umbrella MAC) has never been a deep competitive conference. "6 or 7 teams fighting for the top spot"? That has never been the case. Let me just give a few evidences to support what any first-hand follower of the conference simply knows.
Since the Commonwealth Conference was created in 1993 (after the exodus of schools to form the Centennial Conference)...
...there have only been three regular season champs: Messiah 12.5* times, Elizabethtown 5 times, Lebanon Valley 0.5* times (* - Messiah and Leb. Valley finished tied in 2008 and the #1 seed for the tournament went to Leb. Valleyon head-to-head)
...only 3 times have the #1 and #2 teams not been Messiah and Elizabethtown (2006, 2008, 2009 when E-town was esp. weak)
...the regular season champions has been perfect (unbeaten, untied) in conference play in 14 of the 18 seasons
...the combined losses and ties by the 18 regular season champions stands at 1 loss, 3 ties
...there has been 3 or fewer schools with an overall record greater than .500 in 10 if the 18 seasons.
From 1993 to the early 2000's Elizabethtown and Messiah usually were their own tier, and than the rest. That has changed with Messiah's dominance and Elizabethtown's regression. In the last 11 seasons (since 2000 when Messiah won its first national title), Messiah has only lost 2 regular season conference games and tied 1. It has become more competitive between the #2 thru #4 or #5 schools since Elizabethtown stopped being a regular Top 25 team about a decade ago.
So, Messiah's success can't be attributed to a deep, competitive conference environment preparing them for the NCAA tournament gauntlet. If Messiah played in a tougher conference they would probably pick up a blemish or two more each season, not "always" be the #1 seed, and not "always" win the conference tournament and AQ, and in the worst of seasons have to sweat out the Pool C selections instead of feeling pretty confident. However, on the flip side, they might be even better prepared and more battle-tested for the NCAA tournament.
Back to the IIAC-MIAC debate... It can be challenging to distinguish between parity due to across the board mediocrity or competitiveness due to across the board quality. Non-conference games help to indicate which it may be, but the sample size is often too small and varied to be conclusive. And there's too many variables, many "unfair", in NCAA play to really use success or failure in the tournament as a trustworthy gauge. Always fun to consider and debate the relative strength of conferences, but hard to ever agree on what it means to be stronger or better and the best way to measure it. I've enjoyed the back-and-forth here as a lurker without a dog in the fight.