Does a top ten team get upset this week-end?

[NCF]

Just for fun, does anyone think a top ten team will fall during the opening week-end? If not, which team will be the first to lose? There is always a surprise, somewhere along the way. if I had to pick one, I might have to go with IWU. After dropping the last game of the season, in a very tough battle, to North Central, they did not look very sharp at all against Augie. Will they bounce back or will it be one and done?

[WUPHF]

Not in the Top 10, but Rochester was ranked No. 1 in January, and in the Top 10 through week 11.

Rochester finished the season 21-4, but could have ended the season with 6-7 or more losses if not for the second half efforts of their UAA Player of the Year.  Rochester finished with a 3-4 record over the final seven games of the season. 

Rochester has depth, don't get me wrong, but DiBartomoleo has been the storyline for many of the wins and losses and I do not see that changing in the tourney.

My prediction: they do not lose this weekend, but they are vulnerable.

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

Amherst will definitely survive the first weekend.  I guarantee it.

[Greek Tragedy]

Stevens Point.

Went 3-3 in last 6.

Nortwestern beat Wheaton and lead Whitewater at halftime in DePere, eventually losing by 10.

[Just Bill]

Stevens Point.

Went 3-3 in last 6.

Nortwestern beat Wheaton and lead Whitewater at halftime in DePere, eventually losing by 10.

Reverse jinx attempt.

[Greek Tragedy]

You may think so since  I'm a Pointer fan, but its not. I really don't have high hopes for the Dawgs this year. Obviously I hope I'm wrong.

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

Catholic is in the Top Ten, right?  I think Staten Island could beat them.

[(509)Rat]

Redlands certainly could beat Whitworth. They led by 5 for a large portion of the second half before a big run by Whitworth. The Pirates are 59-6 at home over the last 5 years (thanks oxybob) so it would take a great game by the Bulldogs, but they have been playing good basketball. At least the SCIAC competition has made them look good...

All that being said, I don't see a see any of the top 10 having matchup problems or anything else that would make me think they are vulnerable. Maybe IWU? Based on their late season results and lack of offensive firepower. You really got to stretch to convince yourself any of them will lose, though

[AO]

Stevens Point.

Went 3-3 in last 6.

Nortwestern beat Wheaton and lead Whitewater at halftime in DePere, eventually losing by 10.

Reverse jinx attempt.

Stevens Point is not a top ten team as of the latest poll.  Reverse jinx attempt denied.

Beating Wheaton at home in December is a little different than winning at Point in March.

[Mr. Ypsi]

Maybe they're just going all Lou Holtz on us, but supporters of #4 WPI are worrying about matchup problems against SUNY-Purchase.

[Charles]

Maybe they're just going all Lou Holtz on us, but supporters of #4 WPI are worrying about matchup problems against SUNY-Purchase.

I think any of the high win teams that played easy schedules are all in for a suprise. I am not picking on any particular team or conference (well maybe the NESCAC  ) but if you were a team that feasted on those over 1,000 rated Massey teams for those wins look out.

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

I don't have any of them losing first round in my bracket, but if I had to pick one game for an upset I'd go with Wesley over Williams.

[frodotwo]

Stevens Point.

Went 3-3 in last 6.

Nortwestern beat Wheaton and lead Whitewater at halftime in DePere, eventually losing by 10.

Reverse jinx attempt.

Stevens Point is not a top ten team as of the latest poll.  Reverse jinx attempt denied.

Beating Wheaton at home in December is a little different than winning at Point in March.

Beating Point at home for non conference foes is a very tall task. Point is 58-3 at home since 2000, with two NCAA tourney losses (Gus Adolphus '03 and Wash U '07) and a NC game vs Carroll in '09. They are also 92-8 at home under Coach Semling since he took over in '05

[Titan Q]

Maybe IWU? Based on their late season results and lack of offensive firepower.

Even with the bad performance against Augustana, I doubt anyone in the CCIW would say that IWU has a "lack of offensive firepower."  CCIW stats...

http://www.cciw.org/custompages/CCIW_Links/MBasketball/Stats/1213/CONFONLY.HTM?path=mbball

- PPG, 78.1 (1st)

- Scoring margin, +16.6 (1st)

- FG%, .494 (1st)

- 3-point%, .389 (1st)

- Assists per game, 16.3 (1st)


The Titans were the best offensive team in a very good league this year.   I don't think you can overreact to one bad game.

[Hugenerd]

WPI (#4) has a tough size matchup with Purchase.

I think MIT could upset St. Marys (#11).