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Messages - NEPAFAN

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1
Mid-Atlantic Region / Re: Landmark Conference
« on: March 05, 2017, 08:20:13 am »
Great job by the Royals in a year that had little in the way of expectations , in my humble opinion. I don't think there has been a more consistent team in the Mid Atlantic over the past several years. Vitkus was a great story and had a great career , with few minutes as a freshman to really shinning this year.

Looking forward to seeing what the Royals bring in next year since it is an even year and will have the advantage of hosting over the women.

2
Winner: Babson
Loser: Swathmore

3
Round 1

L: Morrisville State
W: Tufts

4
Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NESCAC
« on: March 01, 2017, 12:36:52 pm »
Williams Fans...

Let's analyze your pod.

Becker will be a low double digit win...

Williams will be challenged by the winner of Scranton-Oswego St.   Both teams are talented and finished strong. Oswego won 14 of last 16 and Scranton 10 of last 11.  Worth showing up early to see this one.  Scranton is more defensive minded while Oswego has more balance.

If Williams survives that match-up...the team to fear is MIT.  Susquehanna has been "exposed" on film. Trinity also lost a close one to them early. MIT plays a high IQ, deliberate, defensive style that would contrast to Williams' style. Talented as their multiple good games with Babson show.     

Very Compelling Games....

Can you expand on why Susquehanna has been exposed on film? also what do you think the seeding is for this site?  Becker 4th? Scranton/Oswego or Williams 1?

5
Multi-Regional Topics / Re: 2017 NCAA Tournament
« on: February 28, 2017, 12:16:47 pm »

You've got the MIT line pointed to Endicott (MIT is the dot below the Endicott name), but very excellent.  Far better than I could do.

Ballpark area.   ;D I actually only threw it together after I read Smitty Oom's post.  When you want to show the whole country, a whole lot of school names get lost because they are concentrated together.  The good news is I don't think I missed any despite it being hard to read.  I had to manually add several of them.  Close enough.  ;D

Great job!

6
East Region / Re: MBB: State University of New York Athletic Conference
« on: February 28, 2017, 09:46:30 am »
Magic,
   What does one(Scranton) have to do to defeat Oswego?

Stopping Brian Sortino would be a big help... but almost no one has found a way to do that.

ronk,
If I knew the answer to that question I would have told Plattsburgh's Coach Curle 2 years ago. As Dave states, stopping Sortino would probably do it. Easier said than done. You could always call up Tonya Harding's crew to see if they want a new job. :D

What kind of inside presence do they have? Scranton is pretty big at least in landmark terms and goes 6'9, 6'7 at the 4 and 5.

Oswego has a 6'10" starting center, but perhaps more difficult for Scranton is that they've got plenty of size on the bench they can throw at Viktus to beat him up a bit.  It's going to be the big, skilled bigs of Scranton vs the big physical bigs of Oswego... oh yeah, and one of the best scoring point guards in the country.  My money's on Oswego.

Hey , you aren't supposed to reveal your picks until Friday. I am glad they don't appear to be the athletic team that gives Scranton fits, ie Neumann.  Hopefully Coach Danzig is drawing something up.

7
East Region / Re: MBB: State University of New York Athletic Conference
« on: February 28, 2017, 08:02:28 am »
Magic,
   What does one(Scranton) have to do to defeat Oswego?

Stopping Brian Sortino would be a big help... but almost no one has found a way to do that.

ronk,
If I knew the answer to that question I would have told Plattsburgh's Coach Curle 2 years ago. As Dave states, stopping Sortino would probably do it. Easier said than done. You could always call up Tonya Harding's crew to see if they want a new job. :D

What kind of inside presence do they have? Scranton is pretty big at least in landmark terms and goes 6'9, 6'7 at the 4 and 5.

8
Multi-Regional Topics / Re: Pool C
« on: February 27, 2017, 09:44:16 am »
Whitman women have no chance to host... so Whitman men are fine to host.

CNU women I don't think are high enough to host, but that is certainly a possibility that would kick men to the road... I just don't see it happening.

Scranton men aren't in any position to host, so not relavent.

As for the rankings, from the digging we did, we are confident in the order we had them but we have never posted those in the past publicly. Those rankings will come out tomorrow and we can see if we were right.

Per the Oshkosh decision... if they end up being selected because of where they were ranked, so be it. That means there was a significant shift in the thinking of the committee that my conversations didn't see coming. I will be the first to tell you that and would do it on the NCAA selections show. However, I just don't see the justification of taking a 10-loss, .630 WL% team no matter the SOS. The point is driven home to me often: a team still has to prove they can win against their schedule. I don't think losing more than a third of your games makes that case.

Yes, it appears the national committee may have moved Oshkosh into that position IF our information is accurate. But that doesn't necessarily mean they want to pick them. They just feel they had a better argument to be there ahead of other teams. I don't think the committee ever thinks, "we need to move this team so we can select them." They make the determination based on the criteria compared to others.

And Susquehanna is in a place to Host?

According to the rankings we "gleaned," Scranton moved ahead of Susquehanna into 2nd in the MA.  Even though they can't host, in the past, if someone has earned in, they've not skipped them, but kept them top seed in a pod hosted by the "3rd" seed.  That's why I have Scranton the top seed at a pod at NJCU.

At that point, though, you can't really "predict" anything - just make a bracket that makes sense and fits the criteria.  They very well could be hosting.

Thanks for the insight Ryan.


I'll put my agreement on why Scranton should be ahead of Susquehanna back in my pocket. Was going to ask about your thoughts on updated MA regional ranking, but figured you were a bit busy last night.

9
Multi-Regional Topics / Re: Pool C
« on: February 27, 2017, 07:24:02 am »
Whitman women have no chance to host... so Whitman men are fine to host.

CNU women I don't think are high enough to host, but that is certainly a possibility that would kick men to the road... I just don't see it happening.

Scranton men aren't in any position to host, so not relavent.

As for the rankings, from the digging we did, we are confident in the order we had them but we have never posted those in the past publicly. Those rankings will come out tomorrow and we can see if we were right.

Per the Oshkosh decision... if they end up being selected because of where they were ranked, so be it. That means there was a significant shift in the thinking of the committee that my conversations didn't see coming. I will be the first to tell you that and would do it on the NCAA selections show. However, I just don't see the justification of taking a 10-loss, .630 WL% team no matter the SOS. The point is driven home to me often: a team still has to prove they can win against their schedule. I don't think losing more than a third of your games makes that case.

Yes, it appears the national committee may have moved Oshkosh into that position IF our information is accurate. But that doesn't necessarily mean they want to pick them. They just feel they had a better argument to be there ahead of other teams. I don't think the committee ever thinks, "we need to move this team so we can select them." They make the determination based on the criteria compared to others.

And Susquehanna is in a place to Host?

10
Multi-Regional Topics / Re: Pool C
« on: February 26, 2017, 08:12:15 pm »
I find it amusing that they are TRYING to find someone else beside Oshkosh. I know that winning % kills them though.

It's unprecedentedly low. As D-Mac keeps repeating, .667 is the Mendoza Line for Pool C. There has never been a Pool C pick that failed to win two-thirds of its games. UWO is not only below the Mendoza Line, it's a whopping .037 below the Mendoza Line.

Yeah, IF the Hoopsville guys are right that Oshkosh goes to the table before IWU, we are dead meat. ::)

D-Mac was hinting that they have some insider info on how the regional committees have shaped their final rankings -- and how the national committee may have then tweaked those rankings in turn.

In other words, it sounded as though the three mock selectors have some behind-the-scenes insight into UWO being placed sixth in the Central, behind UWRF, Wash U, UWW, Benedictine, and Augustana.

Can we get some insight into those ratings now? ;)

11
Mid-Atlantic Region / Re: MBB: Capital Athletic Conference
« on: February 26, 2017, 09:00:36 am »
I watched the last minute of the CNU and Salisbury game. CNU looks like a small d 1 program. Nice arena, huge band..and a buzzer beater to boot.
 

Congrats.

12
Mid-Atlantic Region / Re: Landmark Conference
« on: February 25, 2017, 08:50:44 pm »
Here's wishing the Royals all the best this afternoon as they play for yet another championship.

Once again...nothing flashy, nobody truly dominant, just a bunch of inter-changeable kids that can score & who are now playing some pretty decent defense.

They can still get a little lazy on the perimeter but overall, they have really improved defensively since the last Moravian game at the Long Center.

Big question...does the loser of this game get overlooked by the NCAA in favor of Susquehanna?

That would be a hard pill for the Royals to swallow since they've already beat the ex Crusaders twice.

Could the Landmark actually get 3 teams in if Moravian were to win (Scranton & Susquehanna)?

Should be a good game if the Royals slow the game down & limit Moravian from crashing the boards for second chance shots.

Royals will also need to shoot around 70 plus % from the line...& Danzig needs to hit a few early shots from deep to open things up for the big guys underneath.

All in all, pretty remarkable job the new coach at Moravian has done in just a few short years.

His kids are not playing like they are just happy to finally win a few...they are playing like there is no doubt in their minds that they belong in this game.

Only complaint...whatever happened to evening games on the weekend?

The Royals have always drawn far better at 7 or 8 o'clock than these mid afternoon affairs.

Hopefully the students show up today, the kids deserve that support.

Toga

Not sure if you were in DC and thus unable to watch the Men's game. Good student turnout, a little thin with the "regular" fans. Rain, thunder and lightening outside and Dean was commenting about how hot the gym was. Happy for John Vitkus, career high in points, and a couple rim rockers. Only negative, no storming of the court I wonder if that is a new policy.

Congrats to the Royals let's see how the NCAA screws us on Monday! ;)

13
Mid-Atlantic Region / Re: MBB: Centennial Conference
« on: February 24, 2017, 12:18:06 pm »
And in regards to being cheap...McClary was at the bottom of the CC in mens coaches salaries (but they expect him to finish at the top). That is far from the same for the women's coach in comparison to the rest of the league.

Where can one find access to coaches' salaries?

You can find a lot of good data on the equity in athletics website. Just put in the institution of your choice:

https://ope.ed.gov/athletics/#/


14
Mid-Atlantic Region / Re: Landmark Conference
« on: February 22, 2017, 02:12:36 pm »
4 of the 8 regional ranked are like minded institutions.

Sus (3 Seed in Conference Tourn)
Scranton (1 Seed)
Catholic (4 Seed)
Moravian (2 Seed)

15
Mid-Atlantic Region / Re: Landmark Conference
« on: February 22, 2017, 09:21:22 am »
First day of Landmark Playoffs kick off tonight  and the 3rd regional rankings will be released. Will SUS hang on to the 2 spot in the region? while they have the misfortune of playing a road first round playoff game

Jay Howard will be making his first appearance in uniform at the Long Center tonight, will be interesting to see how that game plays out. 

Predictions:
Scranton by 7
Sus by 4 on the road, due to playoff experience and strong road record over past 2 seasons. Moravian could absolutely win this game with the way they shoot the 3, especially in Behtlehem.

Enjoy what should be 2 well played games.

Thank you. Didn't realize that Sus was on the road. The staggered starts ( 7/730) should allow us crazies to see the ending of each game.

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