« on: February 12, 2016, 02:25:10 pm »
Friday February 12th All ten teams in action
Geneseo State at New Paltz State 7:30 PM
The Knights are one of three teams with 5 losses, fighting for what looks to be the #2 seed in the conference tournament. Cortland and Brockport are the other two teams in the mix. The Knights own the tiebreaker over Cortland by virtue of a season sweep. However Brockport owns the tiebreaker over both the other two at the moment.
Geneseo can't afford to lose to a non-playoff team and the Hawks have been eliminated from postseason play. They did made a game of it when they met in Geneseo as the Knights only won by a slim 71-67 margin. The Hawks came from an 11 point halftime deficit to grab the lead with 6:39 left in the game. They were still up by 3 points at 61-58 with 4:21 to go, but back to back 3 pointers by Justin Ringen and Charlie Zaepfel put the Knights back in front. The Hawks' Nick Paquette tied the score with a 3 pointer but John Decker hit a pair of free throws and then buried another 3 pointer to give the Knights a 5 point lead with just seconds left as they escaped with a win.
I don't think the Hawks will be able to match that effort tonight. Geneseo is favored by 11 points and that's pretty close to my forecast on this one. Geneseo 80 New Paltz 69.
Buffalo State at Fredonia State 7:30 PM
The Bengals are on life support. They managed to keep their playoff hopes alive with a big win at Geneseo on Tuesday night, but they are still on the outside looking in. Even if they win tonight, and the two teams directly in front of them, Oneonta and Oswego, both lose, they will still be in 7th place. Needless to say (but I'll say it anyway) tonight is another must win situation for the Bengals.
I'm not sure if Fredonia is officially eliminated from playoff contention, but as far as I'm concerned they are. So they are really playing for pride and with no pressure on expectations, other than to finish the year on a positive note. Buffalo State needs to play as hard against this team, as they would if they were playing for 1st place in the YAC. A letdown of any kind here could be fatal.
The oddsmakers have made the Bengals an 11 point favorite despite the fact that the Blue Devils only lost by 8 points when they met in the Queen City. Bengals haven't blown out very many teams this year, so I think that Fredonia can keep this one from becoming a laugher. Buffalo State wins by an 83-75 final score.
Brockport State at Oneonta State 7:30 PM Co-Featured Game of the Day
Picking this game will be a difficult task. Both teams need a win here in the worst way, to keep their hopes alive for a #2 seed. The Red Dragons won the first meeting in Brockport with a come from behind 2nd half.
The Golden Eagles are playing some of their best ball of the season with wins in 5 of their last 6 games, including a win at Plattsburgh. They are coming off double digit wins against Fredonia, Geneseo and Cortland. Impressive stuff.
Oneonta has lost 4 of their last 6 and hasn't beat a contender since that game against Brockport back on January 9th. Their last 4 wins have all been against the bottom 3 teams in the YAC.
The oddsmakers have favored the home team Dragons by a single point, but I'm thinking that the Golden Eagles won't want to be swept in the season series. I'm taking Brockport to keep their winning streak alive. Hoping to see Hamed Shamseldin in the lineup tonight for the Golden Eagles. He's missed the last 3 games and was playing hurt in the 2 games preceding those 3. Eagles have still been playing great without him. Brockport 77 Oneonta 74.
Oswego State at Potsdam State 7:30 PM
The Lakers have made a big turnaround after their 1-4 conference start and are still in the hunt for a first round bye. Currently tied with Oneonta for 5th place in the standings, they can't afford to lose to the last place Bears with so much on the line.
Potsdam played the Lakers tough down in Oswego and were only down 70-66 with 3 minutes to go. Lakers Brian Sortino took matters into his own hands and scored 11 straight points for Oswego and they walked off the floor with an 81-72 win.
The point spread has the Lakers favored by a big 21 point margin. I think that may be a few too many. Lakers win 79-64.
Cortland State at Plattsburgh State 7:30 PM Co-Featured Game of the Day
Plattsburgh State is still flying high as the Cardinals stretch their latest unbeaten streak to 5 games and 13 of their last 14. With a win tonight and losses by Geneseo and Brockport the Cardinals could clinch the top seed in the conference with the right to host the final four.
Cortland, alone in 2nd place by a half game, is also playing some good ball as they have put together a 3 game winning streak. They would love to win this game as it could give them a possible tiebreaker edge down the road should that come into play.
The teams played a close contest at Cortland earlier that could have went either way. Plattsburgh was only up 4 points with 1:41 to play but the Cards' Ed Correa hit 5 of 6 free throws down the stretch to hold off the Red Dragons and win by a 75-68 final score. Plattsburgh held Cortland to a season worst 5 for 39 from 3 point land in that game. I can't believe the Red Dragons will repeat that poor effort. Still, the Cardinals possess one of the best 3 point defenses in all of Division III so they will, once again, put a lot of pressure on Blair Estarfaa, JP Regan and company. The oddsmakers have made Plattsburgh a 6 point home favorite. I see this game as a higher scoring affair than the one in Cortland. Plattsburgh wins it 86-78.