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Messages - miacmaniac

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1

I'll go on record saying that I hate that a tourney champ gets an automatic bid...especially in D3 and when the regular season champ has only 1 conference loss. What's the point of having a regular season?

I'm sure the NCAA will change its policy at all levels and conferences will lose the cash cow known as league tourneys after finding out that a Johnnie alum hates it. ... funny how for the past 16 seasons when SJU needed to win the conference tourney to make the NCAA field, you had no objection :)

I think the league tourney is a great tune-up for the NCAA tourney. If you're in a position where you're virtually in the NCAA field regardless of league (like SJU is this year and UST has been most of the past 15 years), it gives you a chance to adapt to the pressure of one-and-done. It also builds enthusiasm among the fan base.


St. Olaf is also looking very good for an at large birth should they not win the title. A fellow poster has them projected at a 81% chance to make the NCAA tourney should they lose in the semis and a 99% chance should they lose in the semis. He does great work, here is a link to his site: http://www.fantastic50.net/d3h_men.html

I'm assuming you meant a 99% chance should they lose the final.... I also hope their labor is short and they survive the delivery as I'd hate for them to miss out on their playoff berth due to child-birth  ;D (please note a ton of sarcasm here)

The only flaw with the league tourney in my opinion is that fans have to choose which of two great games to attend on the nights of quarterfinals and semifinals. I plan to be in the bleachers at Si Melby with the webcast from Bethel streaming on my device

2
West Region / Re: MBB: Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: February 18, 2018, 10:04:01 pm »
Some notes/thoughts  to get everyone in the playoff state of mind:

*Since the playoff field was expanded to 6 teams in 2001-- the #3, #5 and #6 seeds have never won a tourney. In fact, the #6 seed has never reached the title game- this does not bode well for Carleton.  The #5 seed  has only reached the final once--a bad omen for UST. The #3 seed has made the final just twice and the #4 seed made it that far three times, winning it once (Carleton in 2010).

* The #2 seed has won the last two titles, three of the past four and four of the last seven-- this portents well for St Olaf

*SJU was the #1 seed the first year of a 6-team tourney (the only time the Jays have been the top seed) and beat GAC for the crown (a good sign for the Johnnies). It was also the last time SJU was the top seed.

*Augsburg is the only one of this year's entrants to never win the MIAC Playoff in either the 4 or 6 team format. They were runners-up in 1999 and 2013

My pick to wear the crown after Sundays game--- St Olaf.  SJU will get an at-large berth in the NCAA field.   

3
UW Stout and Thomas More are officially on SJU's 2018 schedule.

SJU Releases 2018 Schedule
A more competitive non-conference schedule will be a refreshing change from The Nursing School on the Lake and The Little Convent on the Prairie.
Playing EPHS & Lakeville North would be an upgrade from The Nursing School on the Lake and The Little Convent on the Prairie.

4
Thanks BDB,  So is this kid as good as he looks in his highlight video? Your opinion?

Hard to say. He didn't play much until last year. MHS had 2 really good receivers (Concordia-St. Paul) (UMD) the grade ahead of him and 2 really good QB's (Iowa) (Winona State) throwing to them. This year with all of those guys gone they ran the ball a lot. He is tall, and a good kid from what I know of him.

So that makes 4 MHS seniors heading to UST. One thing about these players is they are used to winning and have been coached really well.
So you're saying they are prepared well for UST  :)

5
West Region / Re: MBB: Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: February 04, 2018, 05:01:24 pm »
Well, as I predicted, 20-0 did not happen. But the Johnnies could be the 4th team to ever go 19-1 in MIAC play in the 25 years the league has played a 20-game conference schedule.(This was necessitated by Carleton rejoining the league. The conference had long played 16 games in league play  and upped that to 18 when St Olaf and Bethel were added to replace UMD in 1977-78. No one had ever gone 16-0 in the old format and  no one went unbeaten in the 18 game years either.) I don't see them joining the exclusive 19-1 club either, but they should be comfortable in the group at 18-2 or 17-3.

COY has only gone to nine men, representing seven schools (HU, Mac, SMU & Cord being the four whose coach never received the honor). Surprisingly, Koz has only won it once (2014). At this point, I'm inclined to give the COY to Koz, but with five games left, lots can happen to change that.  With a very young roster, he has quietly put together a formidable team as SJU learned yesterday. This takes nothing away from the job done by McKenzie the Younger, who is doing a great job st SJU...I just think  Koz has done more with less.

To my thinking, there should be two player awards. One for the top individual performer of the season, regardless of team performance. The other for the most valuable player, or that player without whose performance his team would not have enjoyed the level of success they achieved.  The two awards can go to the same guy,  but are not necessarily linked. For example,  back in 2007-08, Tom Conboy had an utterly phenomenal season, leading the league in both scoring and rebounding and doing so despite often being double and triple teamed.. He was clearly the top individual performer of the year. But his Mac team finished 10th (4-16 ) and in no way did he merit the MVP award.

With all that said, at this point, I'd say the MVP award looks to belong to Weiss with Tobroxen a solid second, followed by Olmscheid, Grow and Boll. The battle for Outstanding Performer is a battle between Olmscheid and Grow, with Tobroxen, Weiss, Hanson and Stokman in pursuit.  Results and performances in these final five games could alter this considerably as everyone has a few chances against the other contending teams.

6
West Region / Re: MBB: Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: February 03, 2018, 06:44:35 pm »
Took the jaunt down to West Northfield today....the game was well worth the trip. The Oles came out with a game plan to spread out the Johnnie defense and they executed perfectly for 40 minutes. This neutralized SJU's advantage off the glass and in the paint, and Olaf more than held their own there. Also, StO shot very very well, connecting on nearly 60% of their shots.  Tobroxen was particularly lethal, from inside as well as from downtown. He clearly outplayed Weiss on both ends. Weiss- who had a soft 13 point game- seemed to be out position under both buckets the entire game-- on defense this was due to Olaf's spread offense which opened up the paint to Ole layups and tip-ins. The Ole guards neutralized SJU's backcourt, holding Stokman to a quiet 11 points. No one else stepped up for the Johnnies. Olaf out-hustled SJU, and towards the end, the johnnies went from looking rattled and confused  to playing chippy and borderline dirty.  Plain and simple, they outplayed SJU in pretty much every aspect and in doing so exposed several chinks in the Johnnies' armor.

Like pretty much everyone else on here I overlooked the Oles and to be honest I wasn't impressed with what I saw of them 3 weeks ago.  They are a young squad but they play poised, aggressively and (most importantly) as a unit and should be on the short list of preseason favorites in 2018-19.


7
West Region / Re: MBB: Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: January 30, 2018, 10:14:17 pm »
I think the Johnnies can run the table, but it won't be easy.  They've only played 6 games with a single digit margin all year (W over SCSU, loss to LAX, 2 W's over Hamline, W over Carleton, miracle W over BET).  They blew out Olaf the first time, go to Saint Mary's, who they haven't lost to in a lifetime, get Auggie and Carleton at home, and then finish with two tough road games at GAC and UST.

Finally, UST is starting to look like a team that could make a run.  Full court pressure is being cranked up, Davis and Bair look tough in the post, and their length everywhere is a problem.   Would not want to play them down the stretch.
from the SMU recordbook
Jan. 22, 20017--- Saint Johnís W, 66-63      (that's a short lifetime ;))

FWIW....last night was the 60th consecutive win for UST over SMU (OK, now THAT is a lifetime!)


I see SJU finishing 18-2, hosting the first weekend...and if they advance from that pod, either hosting the Sweet 16 weekend or being hosed by the NCAA and sent to Whitewater

8
West Region / Re: MBB: Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: January 29, 2018, 09:49:09 pm »
Beautiful technical by the the BU coach...scroll ahead to the 1:44:00 mark.
https://portal.stretchinternet.com/bethel/portal.htm?eventId=361174&streamType=video

Ha!
 
I'm really not sure what he was so upset about?  The Johnnie defender (Alade?) did a nice job of cutting off the sideline, and Jenson tried to go there anyway and stepped out of bounds.  Could be that he was actually just upset about Jenson not executing what he was supposed to do and it boiled over?

Super tough loss.  They seemed to have it wrapped up under 4 minutes, but SJU didn't clock out, which is a testament to their team this year.  I'm disappointed that BU didn't close for sure, but also encouraged that they were able to have such a strong Johnnie team on the ropes for pretty much the entire game.  My hope would be that they learned that there is no such thing as coasting to the finish line when you've got the opportunity to beat a quality team.  Crazy how the tightly grouped nature of 2-7 coming into Saturday caused Bethel to drop from 2nd to 5th with one loss.

8 more to go for an undefeated MIAC run for SJU!  If not for dropping the third game of the year to Lacrosse, they'd be looking at an undefeated regular season.
It is damn hard to run the MIAC. In fact, it has only been done twice in the 20-game era.  And I'm confident it will still only have happened twice by the end of this season.

I also see now why SMU lost to MAC.  They went nearly 10 minutes tonight without a point and scored all of 6 points in the first 12:39 of the second half.

9
West Region / Re: MBB: Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: January 08, 2018, 06:08:45 pm »


Collin Olmsheid is unguardable. For a 6'7" forward to shoot over 50% while attempting roughly 3 3ptFG a game and shooting almost 60% from the field... They do run great sets to get him open looks. They put the defense in tough spots, either you have a 4-man chasing him around picks on the arc, which most 4 men cant keep with him, or you are going to have a guard switched onto Collin and he will be able to take the guard in the post.
We shall see tonight when Boll defends him. And my money says that in your playing prime Smitty, you would have shut him down (maybe)  :)

I got a good chuckle at this one... defense wasn't my strong suit Maniac  ;)


good..I was going for a side-splitting guffaw but will settle for a chuckle

Great to see the small flurry of posting activity! If the Dawgs go 2-0 in their first two games this week, I might have to skip the Tommie Ole yawner on Saturday to take in the battle of the unbeatens! SJU at Augsburg! 😎
Drake-  even in the extremely unlikely event that Augsburg starts the week 2-0, they hardly qualify as "unbeaten" considering they already had two conference losses in December (conference standings did not reset on Jan 1)... and no one will be yawning at halftime at UST Saturday  :)

10
West Region / Re: MBB: Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: January 08, 2018, 03:45:15 pm »


Collin Olmsheid is unguardable. For a 6'7" forward to shoot over 50% while attempting roughly 3 3ptFG a game and shooting almost 60% from the field... They do run great sets to get him open looks. They put the defense in tough spots, either you have a 4-man chasing him around picks on the arc, which most 4 men cant keep with him, or you are going to have a guard switched onto Collin and he will be able to take the guard in the post.
We shall see tonight when Boll defends him. And my money says that in your playing prime Smitty, you would have shut him down (maybe)  :)

11
West Region / Re: MBB: Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: January 07, 2018, 02:07:21 pm »
I couldn't understand how Bethel was receiving votes in the national poll and Carleton was not, so I'm not all that disappointed with BU's performance. They have some very talented parts, but I'm not so sure those parts fit together consistently.

If ever a team was flying under the radar both nationally and on this board, it is this year's Knights. I see them as a top 2 or 3 team if not a strong contender for the conference title.. They are a nice balance of a strong presence in the paint, patience to get the good shot,and solid defensive play, as well as being very well coached, yet it seems like there is very little attention being paid to them. I for one would not be shocked if they made a nice run should they get into the NCAA field.

Another unsung squad is GAC. After a disastrous debacle of a season last year, I was wondering if it was time to lump the Gusties with the has-been and never-was programs. So far, I've been impressed with the turnaround in St Pete, and would be stunned if they do not return to the MIAC Playoffs, and even host a playoff game.

This week is "make or break" for Augsburg. If they go 3-0, I will join you on their bandwagon. if they go 0-3. would ya turn out the lights please?  I don't see either of those happening, but figure they will go 1-2 on the week and remain in the thick of the fight for the 5/6 seed in the playoffs.

Any "disappointment" with UST needs to be coupled with a grain of salt. They've had more injuries to key players this season than in the past 15 years combined. Finally got Michael Hannon back in limited action Saturday. Connor Bair is looking nearly fully recovered, and there is hope that Ryan Lindberg and Tommy Anderson could return this week.Sure, I'm biased, but UST with a fully healthy roster can hold its own with anyone in the MIAC, no matter what Massey's Index might say.

My fearless prediction for Monday-- Carleton 72 SJU 65.

12
West Region / Re: MBB: Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: January 07, 2018, 02:01:13 pm »
You're right, Smitty & bball, I was swept up in enthusiasm after seeing Ferm's incredible performance Wednesday, which only looked that much better in contrast to the play around him. Not often you see a guy drop in 31 points in 20 minutes, and hit some threes from barely inside the half line.


13
West Region / Re: MBB: Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: January 06, 2018, 06:44:33 pm »
After suffering through one of the worst exhibits of basketball I've ever seen on Wednesday, I vow to not comment on Mac's "system",  other than to say it is really a shame that an amazingly talented player like Wyatt Ferm has to have his talent  wasted by such a travesty. Ferm is easily the best player in the MIAC this year and possibly one of the best all-around players in the conference in the past several years.

I ventured down to East Northfield this afternoon  for  a highly entertaining game between UST and CC. It had been 360 days since CC's last conference loss (a fact gleamed from the game notes-- good stuff), but all good streaks must end. Toms jumped to a quick 6-0 lead and ran it up to as big of a margin as 13 before the Knights, poised veterans that they are, chiseled that down to a 61-57 final. I enjoyed the battles in the paint between the phenomenal Kevin Grow & Erik Davis, who is emerging as a potential replacement to Grow as the MIAC' best big man. Great defensive play by both squads, a great all-around game out of Ryan Boll and a coaching chess match that was the polar opposite of Wednesday's farce in Leonard Center.  I for one am looking forward  to the rematch!

14
West Region / Re: MBB: Minnesota Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: December 08, 2017, 07:21:39 pm »
You were the one that used the word "system" first...   

They trapped the ball, no matter where it was on the court.  They frequently had 4, occasionally 5 guys in the back court.  They mass subbed at most dead balls.  They took the first "open" shot they got.   I guess I don't get why you seem to be so defensive about the possibility that they were playing very much like Grinnell?   

I find this to be a fascinating change of plans for a team that seemed destined to win no more than a couple of games.  Will they win any this way?  Is this a long term shift of philosophy for the Mac program?  Will the current players want to stick around if this truly is a shift in how they will play long term?  Lots of interesting questions.

The simple reason to this is that the only ones who play The Grinnell System is Grinnell. The System has a lot of points to it, but every team plays it differently based on their team and its personnel.

Also, we have seen other versions of a high-octane offense like the Houston Rockets which is a bit different than the traditional System. It makes it a bit more cloudy.

That said, you create a lot of arguments that they may be tenants of the Grinnell System. However, teams who use this aren't doing it for just one game. It is too complicated a program to do for just one game.
I highly doubt Mac is paying rent to Grinnell for this.   From what I've gathered of their effort v. SJU, they were applying some of the basic tenets of the Grinnell system (l doubt Grinnell has a copyright or patent on it  :) )

15
Amazing how a week ago, so many were jumping on PJ's boar, hailing him as the greatest coach to ever walk a sideline in MN....after a record worst loss to NWern, I doubt anyone wants to get near his leaky boat. I've been saying since he was hired Fleck is Brewster with  more success on his resume but equally inept for the job. I give hi m 3 more seasons before he's run out of town.

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