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Messages - Jim Dixon

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1
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 22, 2019, 01:49:21 pm »
I think SOS is used to try to find a metric that a team can control to some extent. Now scheduling Linfield last season was a nod to a better SOS but the Wildcats did not cooperate.

2
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 21, 2019, 12:52:44 pm »
Alas PH you are comparing apples and oranges.  SOS is a key factor in selecting at-large bids and is a strong predictor on who gets a bid. Once the field is selected, it is not nearly as important in determining the national champion.  Chapman is the only winner in the last five years that had an SOS in the top 10. Only one national champion in the last ten years won with an at-large bid (Texas-Tyler). Winning your conference is a much better predictor in determining who wins the WS, than SOS.  Winning your conference bid is a lousy predictor as no teams in this category has ever been given an at-large bid ;)
 

3
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 20, 2019, 04:00:16 pm »
If you think that SOS is a key factor in getting a playoff bid, the West teams's best SOS ranking over the last five years is 26, similar to the NY region.  The West is dead last in number of teams with teams with an SOS ranked 20th or higher (2).  You should expect the west to get the same number of Pool C bids and they have: NY (5 Pool C bids in last five years), West (7)

4
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 19, 2019, 12:20:23 pm »
One way to increase the number of Pool C bids is for the west region teams to stray outside the region.  The number of teams from other regions that visit a west coast team is far greater than those in the west going out of region. 

6
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 14, 2019, 12:17:35 pm »
nine schools will have new head coaches next year, four n the west. Belhaven and UMHB have hired with Linfield and George Fox still looking.

High profile openings in St. Scholastica and Concordia-Chicago as well.

7
National topics / Re: 2019 D-III World Series
« on: June 10, 2019, 02:26:37 pm »
Were the tickets comparably priced to Appleton?

In the past, a severely discounted ticket was available to those who knew they were going and bought a month before the tournament - I guess targeted to locals.  The price should be mandated by the NCAA and was likely the same price as last year.

I met lots of people who were not aware it was going on and learned about it because they were serving customers who were here for the WS.

8
National topics / Re: 2019 D-III World Series
« on: June 07, 2019, 12:54:39 pm »
It did not draw the same as it did in Appleton.  I found many people I talked to who had no idea it was happening.

I never did hear attendance figures.

9
National topics / Re: 2019 D-III World Series
« on: May 30, 2019, 08:56:29 am »
I did not read the handbook (traveling so internet was unfavorable) either  ;D.  Guessing too but the committee must have seeded otherwise (like in the ) past, otherwise the handbook would have the set schedule but we no longer have a NY champion, etc with the super regional format.

10
National topics / Re: 2019 D-III World Series
« on: May 29, 2019, 08:28:53 am »
The information is in the handbook but they do look seeded but in this order:

1. Chapman
2. Babson
3. Birmingham Southern
4. Webster
5. Mass. Boston
6. Heidelberg
7. Johns Hopkins
8.  W& J

I personally would switch Babson and BSC, and Heidelberg with Mass-Boston.  This would be:

1. W1
2. S1
3. NE2
4. C2
5. ME2
6. NE3
7. MA3
8. ME7

11
National topics / Re: BB: Pool C
« on: May 27, 2019, 11:52:35 pm »
I think you would see this is similar to other years.  If you just look at pool As from conferences that got pool C bids. I expect the results would be closer to even

12
Any chance that St. Thomas lands in the WIAC? Would be an attractive fit for the conference.

It would take the WIAC out of Pool B.

Nevermind, that was Finlandia's role.

13
Any chance that St. Thomas lands in the WIAC? Would be an attractive fit for the conference.

It would take the WIAC out of Pool B.

14
Mideast Region / Re: Rank the Mideast Region
« on: May 21, 2019, 12:23:42 pm »
Well it could not have occurred to the mock committee that B-W going 0-2 at home in its conference tourney might influence the real committee to move WOOSTER ahead of them?  Or Wooster’s better overal record, maybe even the SOS (see handbook)?  My issue is not that you missed WOOSTER it’s that the preseason #1, CWS participant from last year doesn’t even get mentioned ( or even in the “bubble poll”).  The CWRU, BW and Wooster proved they belonged.  Now about the Berg hosting the Super ...


I dont quite recall why we had Wooster beneath Baldwin Wallace but with the final rankings have Wooster ahead of BW. Had we had Wooster that high in the regional rankings, I am sure they would have been selected by us.

About the poll, although we have have an unlimited number of options, it fits well in the space with four options and if you had BW in the poll, you would be looking for teams in other regions to make it more nationally focused.

Also rankings are not a selection criteria nor is their performance in the previous season. Nor is the expectation of success in the upcoming regional - I am sure there are other schools that would have done well if given the chance but I am not given the decision of not going to a full 64 team field :)

15
South Region / Re: BB: CAC: Capital Athletic Conference
« on: May 20, 2019, 12:27:42 pm »
Does anyone know the Heimlich maneuver?

I know the Heineken maneuver.  Maybe this is the approach to take.

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