« on: Yesterday at 02:47:44 pm »
So there are obvious implications of the remaining games. The contenders have the following games remaining:
Elmhurst: vs Wheaton, @Millikin, vs. NCC
NCC: vs IWU, vs Augie, @Elmhurst
Wheaton: @Elmhurst, vs. IWU, @Carthage
Wheaton and Elmhurst control their own destiny. If either wins out, they are the AQ. Wheaton has a small chance at a Pool C if they finish 9-1 (don't count on it). So here is what I think are the scenarios for each team's playoff chances:
Elmhurst: Win out and get AQ, Beat Wheaton and lose to NCC by less than they beat Wheaton and they get the AQ. If Wheaton beats Elmhurst and loses last two games then winner of NCC/Elmhurst is AQ. No chance at Pool C
NCC: Hope Elmhurst beats Wheaton and the beat Elmhurst by more than 3. Otherwise need Wheaton to lose last 2 games and then they need to beat Elmhurst. at 8-2 better chance than Wheaton at Pool C (due to strong SOS)u
Wheaton: Win out and they are AQ. Lose to Elmhurst and they are subject to Elmhurst/NCC pt spread against their margin vs Elmhurst. If Wheaton beats Elmhurst they only need to win 1 of last two for AQ. Small chance at pool C at 9-1 (due to poor SOS relative to other candidates)
Thanks USee. Good stuff.
It seems that, for at least this weekend, birds will flock together as many Cardinalis cardinalis fans from Naperville will fly a wing position in support of their Cyanocitta cristata breatheran from Elmhurst as they attempt to repel the invading, crusading horde from Wheaton. .
It appears doubtful that Wheaton will lose either of it's last 2 games. Therefore, in addition to winning out, including beating EC by > 3 points, NCC must hope that EC can earn a home W over WC on Sat.