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Messages - jknezek

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General Division III issues / Re: MUW restarting athletics
« on: Yesterday at 03:32:34 pm »
I can tell you that the issues persist going the other way as well. There are many W&L alums that stopped giving in the mid 80s when the first women arrived on campus and have never given again. On the other hand, the school has greatly benefited from going coed and the alumni are, by and large, very generous. But there is definitely an old school subset that is still disappointed at best, angry at worst, over the change. Sadly we don't tend to gain mental or physical flexibility as we age, so I think it's fair to say W&L is just waiting those alumni out. Occasionally you see it blatantly or hinted at in the letters to the editor of the alumni magazine, but for the most part I think we've reached the stage where these old-timers have simply disassociated from the school.

Men's soccer / Re: Hot Stove Action
« on: July 25, 2016, 11:27:54 am »
Is the Ocean City team still all run and gun? The last couple times I've caught one of their games, my parents have a place in Ocean City, they were the epitome of boot and chase. Of course they had the athletes to make it stick, but it wasn't pretty. Heck of a place to spend a summer. I can see why they get the players. And my nephew did 2 weeks of their camp this year and liked it. So I might disparage the style, but...

South Region football / Re: FB: Old Dominion Athletic Conference
« on: July 25, 2016, 10:11:33 am »
Guilford actually held W&L to its lowest point total last year giving up only 20 points as opposed to RMC's and TMC's 21. But W&L still put up 485 yards on the Quakers while the Generals only put up 384 on RMC. While I have to give RMC's defense credit, it was the definition of a trap game. W&L just knocked off both Guilford and H-SC in the two preceding weeks before venturing to a 1-4 R-MC team. Before the game I even posted it was a very dangerous game for the Generals psychologically and they did just enough to win.

It's easy to look at W&L, bringing essentially everything back offensively from last year, and think a team that ran the table is a strong favorite. But it's also easy to see how close W&L came to being 7-3 and not 10-0 in the regular season. Guilford was a missed FG away from that being a tie game, not to mention losing the QB early. H-SC was a goal line stand away from overtime. And R-MC was a 4th quarter 97 yard Generals drive away from winning that game. I'm not calling this luck, the Generals were plenty good and a killer 97 yard drive when you need it is all the evidence you need of that, but some years close games go your way and some years you get that injury or that missed penalty or the gust of wind that kills your FG or the running back that doesn't stumble on his way to the end zone that allows for a goal line stand.

So while 10-0 looks dominant, it wasn't exactly that kind of season. It was an amazing season for the Generals and I'm thrilled to have witnessed it. But the difference between historical and simply good was pretty thin in some of those games.

South Region football / Re: FB: Old Dominion Athletic Conference
« on: July 23, 2016, 03:49:04 pm »
So, the team with 35th most votes in the National Poll is going to finish 5th out of 8 in the ODAC?  You guys may be right, but I see GC still having enough talent to be a top tier conference team.   Of course, given some of the parity in the ODAC, the difference between 2nd or 3rd and 5th or 6th might be one ODAC win.

This exactly. For all we know we could have a 3 way tie at the top. For me Guilford is a question mark. For national voters looking at 9-1 last year and not knowing the 3 and 4 year starters they lost it is easy to throw out a vote. Guilford could win the conference this year and it would just reinforce what I suspect. ThAt Coach R has been bringing in a ton of talent. But that is alot of untested talent right now. I wasn't really ranking my capsules but it pretty much ended up that way. However, if I was, the one change I'd have is Guilford over E&H. I also said that of the conference games, I think Guilford is the most likely to take out W&L. So I don't think I'm slighting the Quakers when I said I see them starting 4 and 0. After that it's a chance to show what they've got.

In other news, guns, in the absence of bullets, are no more dangerous than any other blunt trauma weapon! Good news!

South Region football / Re: FB: Old Dominion Athletic Conference
« on: July 21, 2016, 09:42:10 am »
I tend to agree. I think W&L will be the class of the conference and gets a boost with their conference schedule. But we all know it is pretty rare for anyone to run the conference. If H-SC can win at W&L that would be as big a confidence boosting win as W&L winning at H-SC last year. I feel the same about R-MC however. I am having a tough time putting my conference thoughts in order after W&L though.

H-SC and R-MC both could be very good. H-SC tends to reload and hasn't lost 3 or more conference games two seasons in a row since 00/01 and haven't had 3 seasons in a row with multiple conference losses since 99/00/01. So if you think H-SC is going to lose 2 this year, you are betting against Coach Favret's entire stint with the Tigers.

That being said, I think R-MC is going to be a very tough out. They should start the season 5-0, and that's a lot of confidence building. After that, trips to E&H, W&L and H-SC make for a difficult back end. So I could see them wearing down. It'll be interesting to see if they can build on last season's 3 game winning streak to close out the year. Defensively I expect them to be very, very tough. Can they score enough points to be a player, especially on the road?

E&H. I just can't like this team. What I saw last year was a team with talented pieces, but no heart and cohesiveness. Once W&L started rolling, they started yelling at each other, pointing fingers, and getting ugly. Coach Newsome is going to need to figure that problem out before I think they stand a real chance of holding it together for a full season.

GC. I've already said I think they'll have pieces waiting in the wings for what they lost last year. I don't know if those pieces will have the experience to turn it on early. I don't see any reason they can't start 4-0, but that trip to H-SC followed by W&L's visit could provided a reality check to players that are key cogs for the first time.

BC. Never count out the Eagles, though 2 of the last 3 seasons have been historically bad for Coach Clark. Though I could easily see them starting 0-2, losses to Gettysburg and TMC, before visiting NNA. Home for H-SC and at R-MC is a tough way to start the conference season. Would anyone be surprised seeing them at 1-4 and pretty broken before half the season is over. I expect them to lose to TMC by 30+ if TMC is anything like the team that shelled W&L in the playoffs and just got pipped by Wabash.

I keep expecting Shenandoah to get better. Coach Yoder did good things with Hobart, but he just can't seem to put it together yet with the Hornets. Each of the last 3 seasons they've slipped one conference win. I don't expect them to drop that last win, even having to go to D.C. in order to get it, but I don't see any reason they can take a leap forward either. This is another team H-SC seems to lose focus against, with the Tigers barely eeking out a win last year and losing the year before, but barring someone else looking past them, I don't see much more than a conference win or two for the Hornets this year.

Catholic. New interim coach. Last year in the conference. W&L and H-SC both have to travel to D.C. but I think the gulf is just too wide. Hosting the Hornets and Eagles might be their best chances for breaking two years of 1-6 conference futility on their way out.

South Region football / Re: FB: Old Dominion Athletic Conference
« on: July 20, 2016, 02:15:45 pm »
Hasa I will be pleasantly surprised if W&L starts 1-0. It's a tall task to win at JHU. They haven't lost at home in the regular season since 2010. W&L hasn't won a road opener since the 60s. I would be over the moon if they win that game, let alone the odds on running the table again.
I think a true Gennie fan would find a way to be in Baltimore on Sept. 3.  I believe you are right, JHU will be a good test for W&L.   I saw the GC at W&L game last year in person and it will be a tough pill to swallow for some time.  W&L earned the championship last year ... you have to take your hat off to any team that goes 10-0.

I wish I could, but it's just too far and too expensive for me. Especially given the other trips on the schedule this year.

South Region football / Re: FB: Old Dominion Athletic Conference
« on: July 20, 2016, 01:26:04 pm »
Personally I think W&L goes 8-2, losing to JHU and either Guilford or Bridgewater. Those are road games. I don't see W&L losing at home this year barring injuries, but Bridgewater has always been a hard place for the Generals and I think Guilford is going to want some revenge. Guilford loses a lot, but the way Coach R has recruited, I think they'll have dangerous enough pieces ready to step in. That first game is going to be interesting and I think it will tell a lot about the Generals this year win or lose. As crappy as the Generals' OOC was last year, this year is as good a test as anyone in the ODAC has faced recently at JHU and home for C-M-S.

South Region football / Re: FB: Old Dominion Athletic Conference
« on: July 20, 2016, 10:54:22 am »
Hasa I will be pleasantly surprised if W&L starts 1-0. It's a tall task to win at JHU. They haven't lost at home in the regular season since 2010. W&L hasn't won a road opener since the 60s. I would be over the moon if they win that game, let alone the odds on running the table again.

Men's soccer / Re: Hot Stove Action
« on: July 20, 2016, 09:13:58 am »
I think at this point the most problematic point is Pittsburgh is 2-11-4 and sitting second to last in the Eastern Conference of USL. Their -13 gf/ga is second worst in the conference and they are 1-7-1 since he took over. So while the team started 1-4-3 averaging around .75 points per game, they are worse, averaging .44 points per game, after he took over. First half season is obviously nothing to judge a coach on, but it's pretty clear he isn't working miracles with what he has so far.

South Region football / Re: FB: Old Dominion Athletic Conference
« on: July 19, 2016, 03:01:55 pm »
W&L ranks 20th in the preseason poll. With a week 1 visit to No. 15 Johns Hopkins there is good opportunity to move up or out. Guilford gets a smattering in the RV category, H-SC gets a single vote. Between JHU, Guilford, C-M-S in the RV category, and H-SC, if all teams play to their expected potential W&L is facing one tough schedule this year.

Men's soccer / Re: Hot Stove Action
« on: July 18, 2016, 01:24:50 pm »
Im sorry but Brandt would never be an assistant at any level, even MLS. I have never met the guy but a coach at his age and with his ego would never relinquish being a Head Coach to be someone's assistant. Brandt had the reputation among his peers of being a guy who wanted total control over everything within his program and would rarely delegate his assistants to run practice or trust his assistants in recruiting players.

Well then he's not going anywhere further up the pro chain. You aren't going to jump from USL to MLS head coach unless the team takes an Orlando type leap. FC Cincinnati might be looking along those lines with their attendance, but if that happens they will ride John Harkes. Like I said, he can always go back to college.

South Region football / Re: FB: Old Dominion Athletic Conference
« on: July 18, 2016, 11:59:45 am »
W&L posted a pic of a camp on campus the other day. Stadium is looking very nice with the new upperclass housing in the background. Hoping most of the exterior construction on the natatorium is done by the time the season starts. I think this is going to be a big draw for the campus to pick up attendance at the games and improve the game day experience.

Hoping to actually make it to campus again this year. Maybe not for a game, but at least for a peak around. My wife's grandfather will be buried with honors at Arlington National Cemetery sometime this fall. It is ridiculous how long all this takes to arrange, but I will be proud to stand as part of his family. A WWII naval corpsman, he served with the Marine Raiders in the Pacific and again with the Corps in Korea. He also worked many years to keep the memory of the Raiders and their fallen alive, authoring a book and being part of a mission that returned remains to Arlington as well as being involved in many Corps charities. I'm too young to have known him in many of these roles, but I still sorely miss his even temper, quick wit, and smile.

We should pass W&L on our way to Arlington, if a date is ever set, so hopefully I'll get to eye up the major changes. I don't hold out hope of seeing a game, that would require an awful lot of luck, but this is the even numbered year where I can trek up to Sewanee to see the Generals play early in the season.

Men's soccer / Re: Hot Stove Action
« on: July 18, 2016, 09:55:58 am »
Again the USL is the USL...If you think this will be his springboard to MLS I would be happy to give you 1000 to 1 odds (minimum $200 bet) that he does not.

And what would your odds have been had he stayed at Navy? Mine would be even worse. There are only 20 some odd MLS head coaching jobs. Of course he's a long shot for any of them and pretty much no shot as head coach of a USL team unless it's a team that gets bought into MLS, which is extremely unlikely at the Riverhounds. But he's less of a longshot to become a MLS assistant working in close contact with MLS coaches and the Columbus Crew at the Riverhounds than at Navy.

Again, I have no idea if he wants to be a MLS coach. But that's how this move makes sense to me. He can always go back to a college position. No one in DIII would turn him away and I'm guessing with his Navy record, short of blowing up the Riverhounds or getting caught in a crime, most mid-level DI teams would take a hard look at him.

Men's soccer / Re: Barclays Premier League Pick Em
« on: July 07, 2016, 09:03:00 am »
Remember when Reyna made that U-9 mistake in 2006 World Cup, trying to turn into an oppppnent deep in their defensive third?

Yeah. I remember that. End of his career essentially. I prefer to remember Reyna as he was before the 2002 ACL injury. Not the Man City, NYRB, and 2006 WC Claudio Reyna.

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