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Messages - jknezek

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1
North Region football / Re: Heartland Collegiate Athletic Conference
« on: November 21, 2014, 01:19:18 pm »

Here we go.

He was doing blow off of strippers in a stolen car. I saw it on twitter.

probably a bad thing to put up, even in jest. people are much to literal on the internet, especially if it agrees with the axe they want to grind...

2
South Region football / Re: Old Dominion Athletic Conference
« on: November 21, 2014, 10:20:44 am »
Well, the HSC trip to Dover is not off to a very good start. Bus broke down, team sitting on highway awaiting help. I'm sure the NCAA didn't hire the most expensive bus line for the trip !!!

Ouch. Hope it improves quickly. I'll be out of pocket all day tomorrow so I'm going to miss all the games, but I wish the Tigers nothing but success.

3
H-SC's best chance to win is for Wesley to pull one of it's occasional implosions. The Tigers are a nice team, Nance is very good, although he's had a few bad games, but as many have said they aren't going to win straight up against Wesley. Penalties, turnovers, and poor execution are what H-SC needs from Wesley. Whether they get it, who knows. Walker didn't play much against R-MC. If he sits again, or is not as his best, this game will be much less entertaining...

4
North Region football / Re: Heartland Collegiate Athletic Conference
« on: November 20, 2014, 01:12:43 pm »
Jknezek

Based upon the stats, and Franklin has slightly better stats, Franklin has a slightly better passing offense.  If you factor in the opponents, H-S has clearly played a more difficult schedule, with the exception of Franklin having playing UWW.  With a common opponent on Saturday, it will be much easier to make the more subjective, qualitative comparison.  I still think that Holton Walker is the best wide receiver in Division 3, and Nash is very good quarterback.


Agreed on all of this. I wasn't just talking about this year however. I was thinking about a reasonable sample size of a couple years. Franklin this year and H-SC would be a fun game to watch. Over the last five years I think Franklin wins more often than not.

5
It has at times seemed like if you didn't declare Nash Nance the second coming a certain part of the H-SC crowd has gotten upset. But it has been an interesting year for Nance. Certainly the team has not done as well as was expected and the stats are mixed on the issue of whether Nance has been better, though he has had every bit an excellent year.

His yards per completion and yards per attempt are up and interceptions are down. Both important and positive numbers. However, his completion percentage is down. Passing TDs are up but rushing numbers are well off across the board. So he's been asked to do more through the air. Sacks are actually down for the year, despite the early beating offered by Wabash, though that could go up in the playoff game. H-SC is still two games short of last year, which is why I'm staying away from absolute yards gained. Finally, Nance's rushing ypg are off. And he only has half the touchdowns rushing he had last year, which seems huge but the Tigers are actually scoring more points per game this year than last anyway.

Again, some of these numbers will move this weekend, and if an upset happens they will be more comparable if you do a 12 game schedule. But for the most part I think Nance has had a similar season to last year's stellar work. The emphasis on passing has probably cost him a bit on his accuracy, but he's really made the most of it and taken care of the ball better. On the other hand, he hasn't been the same dual threat he was last year, especially in the red zone. Overall though, points per game are up, even just comparing across the conference schedule.

So the offense has been very comparable in output, if not in how they got there. Nance is instrumental in that success, given the added emphasis on throwing the ball. The difference between last year and this year in stats and prestige is probably going to be that extra conference loss leading to a tough playoff pairing in conjunction with last year's very favorable first round playoff match up.

The biggest change for the Tigers, though, is defense. They have given up almost 90 more ypg this year than last year. They also are allowing 6 more points per game. Six fewer take aways and 1/3rd as many sacks play a role as well. None of that can be laid at Nance's feet.

** All stats courtesy of the H-SC website **

6
North Region football / Re: Heartland Collegiate Athletic Conference
« on: November 20, 2014, 12:14:07 pm »
I would take the ODAC over the HCAC with the possible exception of Franklin. Franklin and the top ODAC team would be a good battle that I think Franklin wins more years than not. Other than that, 2 in the ODAC versus 2 in the HCAC and down the line, I think the ODAC is much better.

7
North Region football / Re: Heartland Collegiate Athletic Conference
« on: November 19, 2014, 02:34:49 pm »
3. I don't care what HSC's record is now. That was absolutely a big game. And Wabash won.

As a sop to this, I'll simply say H-SC was a better team at the beginning of the season than they appear to be now. Whether that is fatigue or injuries or just a lack of depth I don't know, but H-SC was a good team when Wabash shut them down week 1. But... this weekend is a bigger game...

8
General football / Re: Pool C -- 2014
« on: November 19, 2014, 02:31:45 pm »
Something tells me you wouldn't be so happy about the rest of the D2 playoff structure. Read closely. Each region gets 6 teams. So you'll still have a lot of teams from weaker regions getting in above stronger conference winners from deeper regions. Then, to make it worse, the regional teams all square off AGAINST EACH OTHER ONLY. So the final four would consist of one west team, one north, one east, and one south regardless of where the best teams are. I can hear the carping now about weak regions getting free passes while all those strong west teams eliminate each other.

So let me guess, when applying this to D3, you don't want each region to get equal number of representatives and you don't want purely regional brackets. But you do want other regions to have fewer teams so we can get more West teams in the tournament?

D3 playoffs, and we've said this many times in many places, is not about the best 32 teams. It's about access. We still get the best champion, as we have for many, many years, but we also get exposure for other teams.

9
http://www.foxsports.com/college-football/story/brains-some-brawn-engineers-perfect-season-at-mit-111914#livefyre

Just in case Wesley wins (have to play the game!!) and MIT wins.

I guess it is a good story, but there must 25 teams better than MIT that didn't make it into the playoffs that didn't get huge write up in a national rag.

Best of luck to them.

Privilege of the novelty...

10
East Region football / Re: Liberty League
« on: November 19, 2014, 01:53:01 pm »
Ali Marpet jokes never get old

11
North Region football / Re: North Coast Athletic Conference
« on: November 19, 2014, 10:56:07 am »
There had to have been some massive miscommunication. A school with the endowment and budget of MIT would easily be able to accommodate the restroom demands. Their basketball team last year was faced with some of the largest crowds in school history (one of which I was in attendance, oddly enough); there was an elderly alumnus next to me that told me the AD made several accommodations for extra seating within the gymnasium, as much as fire-code would allow, and that the school handed him a blank check to make it happen.

I don't think a miscommunication was required. MIT filed to host. They were grandfathered in as an acceptable stadium for D3 games, but when push came to shove the facility was decided to be lacking for playoffs. MIT most likely wasn't THEN told to modify their application, they were simply sent on the road. The decision to play the game at Husson was most likely made at the same time as selection. So while MIT might have written a blank check had they been given a chance, the most likely scenario is they simply weren't given that chance.

12
West Region football / Re: Wisconsin Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: November 19, 2014, 10:44:35 am »
We don't know who has home field. But if you look at the brackets last year UMU was top left, UMHB bottom right. This year UWW is top left, UMU is bottom right. I think the same pattern held for 2012. It is likely UWW will host if everyone holds serve.

I'm not slavish to the criteria, but the criteria is what is used. How the committees emphasize different criteria seems to be the major difference year to year, not whether they use things outside the criteria. I think at this point we just keep repeating points that have been made. Sadly that isn't going to convince the other.

You think MOV shows UWO should have gotten in over TLU. I don't disagree. But with UWO behind UST in the West Region final, it wouldn't matter. As much as you don't like that the South Region used TLU for the "B" instead of Centre, and I agree with you there, the more likely reason UWO didn't make the field was because the West Region committee decided UST's full D3 slate and results were more impressive than UWOs short D3 slate.

TLU and UWO just weren't in competition. Is UWO a better team? I would guess yes, but again, the tournament is not about having the best 32 teams. It's about providing access. In that case, TLU getting in makes plenty of sense.

Interesting debate and thanks. But I think I've said all I can say at this point. There isn't anything new or different to add.

13
North Region football / Re: North Coast Athletic Conference
« on: November 19, 2014, 09:05:05 am »
Just spit-balling here...but,  the Husson facility
looks more baseball/multi-purpose than FOOTBALL...

Yeah, that seemed very curious to me as well. I realize why MIT didn't file for a home game, but Husson's facilities do not seem to be much more welcoming to a playoff game.

MIT did file. Their facility was rejected for some reason.

14
South Region football / Re: Old Dominion Athletic Conference
« on: November 19, 2014, 08:43:05 am »
Assuming the top seeds all advance to the semi finals, which schools will host those games ?

I'm assuming UMU and UWW will host. But we don't know for sure. Looking at last year's bracket UMU sat in the top left and UMHB in the bottom right. This year UWW sits in the top left and UMU sits bottom right. I also can't come up with a reason you wouldn't have those two host this year. Remember secondary criteria states amongst undefeated teams you can use previous playoff history.

15
West Region football / Re: Wisconsin Intercollegiate Athletic Conference
« on: November 18, 2014, 07:45:26 pm »
MOV is not a criteria and I don't have interest it making it one. If MOV is a criteria you have even less incentive to play an elite.

Hmmm, that opens up other questions then right?  I mean, I think I heard talk that UWW might pay a price in their seeding (in terms of home field) based on their "bad win" vs UWRF.  What made it a bad win?

Are you suggesting the committee doesn't look at scores at all in anything they do with playoffs and seeding?

Well, considering where UWW is in the bracket I would say their "bad win" wasn't a factor... What people say on here is not what the committee does. MOV is not a criteria. Do they look at scores? Sure. But does a bad game necessarily mean a team doesn't belong? Maybe not. Multiple losses, probably so.

As I've said, there are points on both sides. Do I think UWO got screwed? No. Do I think they were a bit unlucky? Yes. But that's what happens when you don't win your conference. You throw yourself at someone else's mercy. Never a good place to be.

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