« on: November 20, 2014, 12:58:58 pm »
It has at times seemed like if you didn't declare Nash Nance the second coming a certain part of the H-SC crowd has gotten upset. But it has been an interesting year for Nance. Certainly the team has not done as well as was expected and the stats are mixed on the issue of whether Nance has been better, though he has had every bit an excellent year.
His yards per completion and yards per attempt are up and interceptions are down. Both important and positive numbers. However, his completion percentage is down. Passing TDs are up but rushing numbers are well off across the board. So he's been asked to do more through the air. Sacks are actually down for the year, despite the early beating offered by Wabash, though that could go up in the playoff game. H-SC is still two games short of last year, which is why I'm staying away from absolute yards gained. Finally, Nance's rushing ypg are off. And he only has half the touchdowns rushing he had last year, which seems huge but the Tigers are actually scoring more points per game this year than last anyway.
Again, some of these numbers will move this weekend, and if an upset happens they will be more comparable if you do a 12 game schedule. But for the most part I think Nance has had a similar season to last year's stellar work. The emphasis on passing has probably cost him a bit on his accuracy, but he's really made the most of it and taken care of the ball better. On the other hand, he hasn't been the same dual threat he was last year, especially in the red zone. Overall though, points per game are up, even just comparing across the conference schedule.
So the offense has been very comparable in output, if not in how they got there. Nance is instrumental in that success, given the added emphasis on throwing the ball. The difference between last year and this year in stats and prestige is probably going to be that extra conference loss leading to a tough playoff pairing in conjunction with last year's very favorable first round playoff match up.
The biggest change for the Tigers, though, is defense. They have given up almost 90 more ypg this year than last year. They also are allowing 6 more points per game. Six fewer take aways and 1/3rd as many sacks play a role as well. None of that can be laid at Nance's feet.
** All stats courtesy of the H-SC website **