« on: September 16, 2016, 12:06:46 pm »
Might as well revisit this one as well. Same rules. New comments in bold
Well, I'm not going to lie. That was a dismal opening weekend for the ODAC. Week 2 was better
Fan bases with reasons to be optimistic:
RMC looked good. Personally I think Dickinson is pretty bad, but RMC looked good making them look really bad. Two weeks in a row. Hard not to compare with H-SC's Averett result. Home/away doesn't matter that much
Bridgewater went to Gettysburg and won. Not an outcome I'd expect from a team that can't contend in the ODAC. Hung for a while with TMC, but in the end it wasn't real close. Still, one outcome is very good, and the other is about what I expected to better than I expected. Bwater is definitely looking up this year
Guilford looked very good. Sadly Greensboro is really bad, so it doesn't tell us much other than Guilford is reloading, not rebuilding.7 of 8 quarters have been really, really strong. I'd be very encouraged as a Quaker fan that despite the graduations, this is still a team built to compete
Shenandoah looked good. Gallaudet is really, really bad. Ferrum isn't real good either despite the E&H result. NCWC is better competition. Still hard to gauge how they will do against ODAC teams.
Catholic. Yeah, still don't know how good Rochester is, but that was a long bus ride and a very solid win.
Fan bases with reasons to be skeptical:
Catholic. McDaniel is really, really bad and it took OT, at home, to beat them
W&L. Too many mistakes for a team expected to be very good. Losing to a top 15 team on the road... not a big deal. Making so many killer mistakes? It's a problem. A win is a win. Nice to rally. But against Sewanee I expected to see more.
Fan bases with reasons to be pessimistic:
E&H. Holy cow how do you let Ferrum come back from that hole in the 4th quarter? Not what I would expect to see from an ODAC contender. I don't think Brevard is very good. Ferrum did not do well against Shenandoah. Not changing my mind based on these games
H-SC. It's possible Averett is better than they have been in years. But when you get clobbered, 27 first downs to 16, 33% 3rd down efficiency, 93 yards rushing, and only 21 minutes of possession, something isn't right. Injuries are also an issue, and CNU looked formidable Sunday. It's possible H-SC is looking at an 0-2 start for the first time in a decade.Change the last sentence to 0-3, though I don't think so. Week 2 performance was better, against a better team, than Week 1, but this isn't boding well for the ODAC schedule. Injuries are mounting from what I can see.
Conference wide problems. The teams ODAC teams beat went 13-36 last season. The only team an ODAC team beat with a winning record was Gettysburg who went 7-3. Thanks Bridgewater! Sadly the teams that beat ODAC teams only went 15-16 last season, and 11 of those wins belong to JHU. So we beat one team that had a winning record, and lost to one team with a winning record. Everyone else we beat or lost to was not good, at all, last season. I understand last season isn't this season, but that's not good any way you slice it.Week 2 doesn't really improve matters. ODAC goes 6-2 overall, but loses to the two best teams faced, TMC and CNU. We played two teams with winning records in '15, Rochester and TMC, and went 1-1. Otherwise we beat teams that went a combined 13-47 counting Brevard's 0-11.
This week will be interesting, as some of last week's winners face some stronger challenger.
Catholic at Rochester. I don't know much about Rochester, but they are traditionally middle of the LL. That should be better than an ODAC bottom feeder and, despite the win, I just can't think of Catholic as anything but a lamb to the conference slaughter.
TMC at Bridgewater. TMC is formidable. Not sure what happened the second half against Franklin, but Bridgewater is going to need to be on their game to compete.
CNU at HSC. See above. CNU looked good against Kean. H-SC looked bad against Averett. If something doesn't flip flop here, this could get ugly. Usually though, these teams play close games, even if it takes an All-American qb to throw 1000 picks to make it happen.
W&L at Sewanee. W&L should get back to winning ways though Sewanee usually plays W&L hard. I just don't think Sewanee has the horses to stop W&L's offense, unless the Generals stop themselves.
Brevard at E&H. No idea. Did E&H forget the game has 4 quarters? Sure looked like it.
Averett at RMC. Suddenly a really interesting game. Is Averett any good? How good is RMC?
Ferrum at Shenandoah. Can Shenandoah count quarters better than E&H? It wouldn't have mattered against Gallaudet but it might against Ferrum
Methodist at Guilford. Guilford continues their annual pre-season tour of patsies. Methodist scraped past Apprentice. Not exactly a resume booster.