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Messages - BaboNation

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Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: March 03, 2019, 10:08:55 am »
If youíre an MIT fan, a NEWMAC fan, or just a fan of D3 basketball, all you can do is tip your cap to Swarthmore and realize last night they could do no wrong. 
How can you explain a team that misses just one shot from the field in the first 10 minutes?  A team that shoots 10 for 10 beyond the arc in the first half?  Does that even happen in a shoot around with no defense?  Heck, if they hadnít missed the front end on some FTs it could have been even worse.
Even after MIT briefly cut a 26 point lead nearly in half Swarthmore just hit the gas again and never looked back.
Putting things in perspective, this does not diminish the 4-year accomplishments of the MIT senior class on the court.  And off the court these guys will no doubt have much success in whatever path they choose.

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: March 01, 2019, 08:42:52 pm »
Dominating win for MIT over Skidmore.

Just about everything was working from the jump.  Roberts was immense.  What else can you say when a player gets a double-double in each half.  Jurko also had a stellar game scoring and facilitating.  Jomard a little off with some close misses, but found his mates for 7 assists.  Both Hinkley and Forsythe kept the defense extended with outside shooting.
About the only health question (does it ever end?) is the availability of Korb.

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 25, 2019, 07:25:41 pm »
I think MIT got a fortunate draw, given their NEWMAC early exit.  Taking nothing away from Skidmore, itís a team they should handle.  Hopefully they wonít wait til halftime if game adjustments are needed.  Let Jurko run the offense and see if either Hinkley or Forsythe are feeliní it beyond the arc.  But by no means fall in love with the 3-ball.  They are at their best playing with tempo, sharing the ball, and keeping the defense guessing as they alternate between post moves, back screens, and the high-low game.  Now fully healthy it seems, itís showtime!  This team is loaded ... do some damage!

Emerson obviously got the tougher draw.  Theyíll have their hands full in what looks like one of the most entertaining pods in the first 2 rounds.  Nichols-Middlebury should be really interesting.
I expect a high-scoring game between Rowan and Emerson.  Gray-OíConnor-Waterhouse are eminently capable of filling it up.  If theyíre on it will be fun to watch.

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 24, 2019, 09:14:10 am »
Emerson wins its first NEWMAC tournament.  Now Wheaton is the only league member without a crown.

Emerson plays extremely well at home, so much so that WPIís typically stifling defense was ineffective in this game.

Nevertheless WPI should be formidable next year, losing no one to graduation.  I suspect they arenít being invited to the Big Dance this year.


Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 21, 2019, 09:14:06 pm »
Well thatís one way to force the committee to put 2 NEWMAC teams in the tournament!

A tale of two halfs.  In the 1st WPI denied the paint superbly and would not allow Jomard to operate down low.  Limited to long-range shooting MIT could not find the mark.  The halftime score of 35-17 looked pretty good for the visitors.

The 2nd half saw a ferocious comeback in the final 10 minutes, with MIT taking its first lead with about 3 minutes left.  MIT switched most of their offense to a high-low post, flashing Jomard, Roberts, and Forsythe down low.  On the other end they suffocated everything inside.

Wheeler hit a couple 3s to settle the ship for WPI, and MIT needed a good bounce off a 3-ptr from Jurko to tie it at 53 with under a minute left.

It came down to one possession and a clear-out for McNamara.  He used every bit of the clock, crossed over, jab stepped, squared up, and drained it as time expired.

I heard that this was the 16th consecutive NEWMAC semifinal for WPI.  What a credit to the program and the coaching staff.


Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 20, 2019, 04:57:29 pm »
There is more than that going on ... teams that were in Week 1 rankings or not in Week 2's, so their vRRO data changes. SOS numbers change. For all teams. Across the board. You can't look at any of these things in the vacuum of how one team did in one week. Committees start from scratch each week, not from where they sat the previous week.

Thatís fine Dave, but Iím still flabbergasted.
The D3Hoops poll that came out this week (for games thru Sunday) had MIT 7th in the whole country.  Not a single team from New England was ranked ahead of them in that national poll.  Further, none of the 4 teams that are now ranked ahead of MIT regionally have actually, you know, played a game since Sunday.

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 20, 2019, 04:04:43 pm »
The third public NCAA Division III regional rankings are out:

MIT goes 2-0 since the last rankings and drops from 2nd to 5th.  Yeah, that makes sense.

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 20, 2019, 11:46:38 am »
Alas, my Beavers are done for the season.  I still donít know how they earned home court vs. WPI last night, but even that wasnít enough to withstand the visitors from Worcester.
It was a close game throughout, but frankly WPI just played better and earned the victory.  Too much McNamara, Downing, ugly turnovers, and dagger 3ís.
Babsonís best basketball was played from mid-December to mid-January.  Since then almost every game has been a heavy lift.  Oftring and Jaworski may have worn down when reliable subs were not to be found.

Maybe Neil Young was right and itís better to burn out than fade away.

If this were the NBA it would be easy to assess needs for next year and draft accordingly.  But itís not.

Iíll still be rooting hard for all NEWMAC teams going forward.  If nothing else, hopefully the conference schedule and tournament battle-hardens the remaining teams for the road ahead.

Way too early forecast for 2019-2020 ...  WPI and Emerson will be the teams to beat.

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 17, 2019, 09:42:47 am »
Final thought:  Springfield sure got hot at the right time.  They absolutely had to win their final 4 games to even make the tournament and they did so, beating Wheaton, MIT, WPI, and Babson.  Now they could actually win the NEWMAC and the automatic D3 invitation with a losing record overall!

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 17, 2019, 09:34:19 am »
Meanwhile,  Iím really disappointed in my Beavers.  At this point I consider them lucky to still have basketball ahead of them, with a home game to boot.

Conference play started out promising at 5-0, but something changed.  They adjusted their style and personnel when Jaworski went down and had some success (notably the win at Amherst).  But to these eyes that style was not best-suited for the long haul.

Too often the open 3-point shooter would take that shot regardless of whether they were effective at that range.  I donít want to single out any players because, after all, these are young men playing a game they love.  And I have no idea whether coach Brennanís instructions are being followed.  Iíd just feel better if they flowed most of their offensive possessions through Oftring and Jaworski as the first option.

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 17, 2019, 09:20:17 am »
Maybe I should have gone to law school.  Or is there a degree in forensic analytics?

Iím trying to figure out how Babson got the #4, ahead of WPI at #5. 

All the NEWMAC had to say in their press release was ďIn order to determine the final three seeds, NEWMAC tie-breaking procedures were applied where Springfield (11-14, 8-6) emerged as the No. 3 seed followed by No. 4 Babson (15-10, 8-6) and No. 5 WPI (17-8, 8-6).Ē

It seems the tiebreaker between these 2 schools would have reached the ďnon-conference common opponentsĒ step, where I think only Tufts came into play.  Both teams beat Tufts.

So ... did it come down to a coin flip?  I hope not.

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 17, 2019, 09:11:11 am »
One quirk of the NEWMAC men's tournament is that the fourth seed is guaranteed a home game against the fifth seed, in the "play-in", "wild card", "quarterfinal", or what have you.  However, the third seed is not; the only possibility for that team to get a home team is if they defeat the #2 seed and the #4 seed defeats #1.  That did actually happen in 2014, when Springfield was #3 and MIT was #4; both teams knocked off the higher seeds, and then MIT won the final.  However, the tournament format at that time was different; the #1 seed hosted all of the games except for the play-in.  That was also the year NEWMAC got 4 bids, and all four lost in the first round :-(

The women's tournament, with 7 teams, does not have that little foible.  Each of the top four seeds is guaranteed a home game; the first seed gets a bye into the semifinals while #2-4 play #7-5 respectively.  This also would not happen with 6 (or 8) teams in the tournament.

Thanks for the trip down memory lane.
I prefer the way they have it now, where there is the best chance for a bigger crowd and a home team celebration.   If, for example, Coast Guard were the #1 seed, but knocked out in its first game, thereíd likely be a smaller crowd for the remaining teams.  Thatís not a knock on CG or its venue, just the travel distance, and the lesser likelihood of drawing ďlocalsĒ.  And the celebration can sometimes be muted at a ďneutralĒ venue.

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 16, 2019, 06:16:19 pm »
Coast Guard made it a little easier by losing to Emerson.  Emerson gets the 2-seed.
So, we ended up with a 3-way tie for seeds 3-5.

As I read the tiebreakers, WPI, Springfield, and Babson all finished 2-2 within games played against each other.  So, the next tiebreaker becomes how they did against the #1 seed.
Since only Springfield beat MIT it gets the 3-seed.
Babson and WPI get the 4-5 play-in game.  (I didnít bother to figure out who is 4 and who is 5).

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 14, 2019, 08:53:27 pm »
The most interesting scenario for Saturday would be:

MIT over WPI
Springfield over Babson
Coast Guard over Emerson

In the above case, there is a 5-way tie that needs to be broken (all teams 8-6) between Emerson, WPI, Coast Guard, Babson, and Springfield.  Wow.

Northeast Region / Re: MBB: NEWMAC
« on: February 14, 2019, 08:40:51 pm »
Babo any clue on tiebreakers?  All 5 teams could be 2-6 at this point?

I think this link explains it.  If I even tried to cover all the possible scenarios Iíd surely miss something (and my head would be throbbing).

Pages 23-25 cover tiebreakers.

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