Author Topic: The Undefeated and the Winless  (Read 564257 times)

Offline smedindy

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5460 on: January 03, 2019, 05:52:22 pm »
Best chance for a loss by the undefeated teams (chance of a win per Massey):

Nebraska Wesleyan - 1/26 @ Loras (69%)
Williams - 1/16 @ Amherst (65%)
Hamilton - 2/9 @ Williams (31%) - also 1/11 @ Wesleyan (56%) and 2/8 @ Middlebury (53%)
Scranton - 1/9 @Moravian (50%) - also 2/13 @ Drew (57%)
Occidental - 1/14 @ Pomona Pitzer (22%) - also 2/13 @ CMS (38%) and 2/16 vs. Pomona Pitzer (45%)

Best Chance for a win by the winless teams (again chance of a win per Massey):

Keystone - 1/16 @ Clarks Summit (79%) - also 2/2 vs. Bryn Athyn (62%), 2/9 vs. Clarks Summit (92%)
NVU Johnson - 1/19 vs NVU Lyndon (34%)
Clarks Summit - 1/16 vs. Keystone (21%), 1/21 vs. Medgar Evers (21%), 1/24 vs. Bryn Athyn (21%)
Kenyon - 1/3 @ Waynesburg (35%), 1/5 vs. Allegheny (24%)
Finlandia - 1/6 vs. Silver Lake (27%)
Piedmont - 1/29 vs. Toccoa Falls (95%), also 1/26 vs. Berea (56%), 2/5 vs. Brevard (68%), 2/8 vs. Greensboro (54%)
Elms - 1/8 vs Lesley (61%)
Fredonia - 1/15 vs. Pitt-Bradford (66%)





Offline hopefan

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5461 on: January 04, 2019, 05:56:08 am »
Smed/Massey's first prediction is spot on...

1/3/19 Kenyon falls off the winless list, beating Waynesburg

Offline smedindy

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5462 on: January 05, 2019, 12:57:02 am »
I think the toughest nuts to crack will be Clark's Summit, and Finlandia winning a D-3 game.

Meanwhile-Oxy's got a hell of a gauntlet...

Offline hopefan

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5463 on: January 05, 2019, 03:41:36 am »
I think the toughest nuts to crack will be Clark's Summit, and Finlandia winning a D-3 game.

Meanwhile-Oxy's got a hell of a gauntlet...

Finlandia plays Silver Lake on Sunday... a 4 year school...  so the game would count for purposes of this list...
I could bring back the winless vs D3 only category, which I've ignored this season..  right now, the only school remaining in that category is Valley Forge.  There are no undefeated against D3 only schools.

Offline hopefan

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5464 on: January 05, 2019, 11:38:58 pm »
1/5/18 results
Scranton falls to Elizabethtown, our Undefeateds fall to 4

Winless remains at 7

Offline hopefan

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5465 on: January 07, 2019, 10:21:05 am »
No changes on 1/6/19

Hamilton squeaks by with a 2 point win to stay undefeated     4 undefeateds

Finlandia stays winless losing to Silver Lake...     7 winless

Offline smedindy

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5466 on: January 07, 2019, 02:30:25 pm »
No changes on 1/6/19

Hamilton squeaks by with a 2 point win to stay undefeated     4 undefeateds

Finlandia stays winless losing to Silver Lake...     7 winless

Uh-oh...Finlandia

Offline hopefan

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5467 on: January 09, 2019, 04:23:49 am »
1/8/19

TWO fall off Winless list
Elms defeats Lesley
Fredonia needs 2 OTS, wins over Geneseo State

Winless now down to 5, Undefeated stays at 4

How they look through 1/8/19

         Undefeated                                                        Winless

Nebraska Wesleyan  (11 - 0)  No. 1               Keystone ( 0 - 14)      
Williams  (11 - 0)  No. 3                            Clarks Summit ( 0 - 13)      
Hamilton  (11 - 0)  No. 6                             Piedmont ( 0 - 13)      
Occidental  (11 - 0)  ORV 30                     NVU-Johnson ( 0 - 12)      
                                                                Finlandia ( 0 - 11)      

Offline TheOsprey

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5468 on: January 09, 2019, 11:40:45 pm »
Oxy falls to C-M-S 63-60!!

Offline hopefan

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5469 on: January 12, 2019, 06:19:18 am »
Hamilton goes down to Wesleyan..... 2 Undefeateds left...

and a huge surprise.... Piedmont beats William Peace by 21 at William Peace... Piedmont falls off the winless list..... 4 winless remain
William Peace came into this game with a 7-6 record, all 7 wins against respectable D3 teams... wonder what happened????

Online Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5470 on: January 12, 2019, 09:31:11 am »

NWU-Williams; could we have an undefeateds national title game?

Probably not, but at least they're geographically lined up to do it.
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Offline hopefan

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5471 on: January 13, 2019, 08:08:13 am »
And another drops from Winless!!!

Keystone beats  Rosemont.....another pretty big surprise!!!   Rosemont had beaten some people..

Never underestimate the desire to get off the Winless list!!!!!!

Online Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5472 on: January 16, 2019, 08:44:14 pm »

Down goes Williams.  Bobby Casey missed a tough fall-away at the buzzer.
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Offline hopefan

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5473 on: January 18, 2019, 04:36:18 am »
Where we stand through 1/17/19

         UNDEFEATED
Nebraska Wesleyan  (16 - 0)  No. 1         

          WINLESS
Clarks Summit ( 0 - 16)
NVU-Johnson ( 0 - 15)
Finlandia ( 0 - 13)

Winless vs D3 only, with wins against a non-D3 opponent
Valley Forge


Offline hopefan

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Re: The Undefeated and the Winless
« Reply #5474 on: January 20, 2019, 06:28:24 am »
HUGE WIN!!!   1/19/19

NVU Johnson beats rival NVU Lyndon 78-76.... Johnson falls off the winless list!!!!

Hey... this is the true beauty of D3... 2 schools, Northern Vermont, 1 comes in with 2 wins, the other with none... giving it their all...

NVU Johnson wins on a shot at the buzzer!!!!

Heartfelt congrats to both teams...
« Last Edit: January 20, 2019, 02:35:15 pm by hopefan »