Now that Haverford and Muhlenberg have both moved to 7-8, I think it's clear that 8-10 won't get F&M into the playoffs without a LOT of help.
Haverford is a poor road team and has 2 away games remaining, but they also get 2 games with the bottom 2 teams in the conference. I can't imagine them winning AT Ursinus, so if they somehow don't take care of business against Dickinson or Swarthmore, they could still finish 8-10, but 7-11 is almost out of the question.
Muhleberg has 2 games left at home, where they are 9-1 this season. They'll almost surely take care of McDaniel at home, but Ursinus will be difficult, particularly if Ursinus taking 1st in the conference depends on that game. In between those 2 home games, they play AT Dickinson, which may be a toss-up. 8-10 is possible for them too, but I'd say 9-9 is more likely.
Both McDaniel and Washington College COULD finish 8-10, but the chances are very slim. McDaniel is 1-9 on the road this year and has away games against both F&M and Muhleberg remaining, and their final home game is not a gimme against WC. I doubt they can manage 2-1 (and if they did, it would probably include a victory at F&M, which would make F&M's chances of finishing 8-10 almost nil). WC gets 2 home games, including 1 against Swarthmore, and a winnable road game at McDaniel. I just can't see them losing all 3.
Even if Haverford and Muhlenberg both finish tied with F&M at 8-10, each of those 3 teams went 1-1 against each of the other 2, so the tiebreaker couldn't be decided based on head-to-head play. The best chance F&M would have would be to beat Hopkins in the final game. Even that wouldn't necessarily assure them of winning the tiebreaker if Muhlenberg beats Ursinus (or if Haverford somehow manages to pull off a huge upset AT Ursinus).
