Good point. But what if SLU, which lost to Skidmore 83-66 the last time they met, can't get the AQ because they can't beat Skidmore in the LL tournament?
SLU's going to get an at-large bid. Very tough non-league SOS with a loss to the then #1 team in the country, who are still ranked in the top 10. They beat a very good Oswego squad on the road as well. This reminds me of the 2008-2009 team. Had a lot of wins like this season but couldn't get past RPI in the regular season or in the LL tourney. Still ended up in the Sweet 16.
SLU is in good shape, but I hardly ever say a team is a lock. Only 4-losses helps, so we are assuming a fifth should they lose in the conference tournament and be in position for an at-large. Their SOS of .534 (as of Sunday; .533 today) isn't bad... it's pretty decent... which will help them stay in the conversation. The problem comes if they lose another game between now and the tournament... adding a sixth loss starts to get dicey. Also, the SOS will probably come down slightly as they finish the season and their early round game(s) in the conference tournament will pull it down as well.
I wouldn't say they will get an at-large bid, but they are in far, Far, FAR, FARRRR better shape than Skidmore who has to win to get in at this point.