So in my continuing quest to crack a code that can't be cracked because the code is everchanging (meh), and more importantly to put off doing economics homework, I've been messing around with a bit more objective way to look at the Pool C berths.
The best I've come up with so far is a "1.3/1.2" rule. The idea of it being that if you add together a team's D3 record and their NCAA SOS, if a team has a total of 1.3 or higher, they're very likely to be a Pool C team, and if they're under 1.2, they're quite unlikely. In between could be characterized as the bubble.
Disclaimer: I HAVE NO IDEA IF THIS WORKS. It just seems like it should from the numbers.
Disclaimer 2: I didn't get out a calculator for this.
This turned out to be a bigger group than I thought, so I broke it down further. Case is almost certainly going to be Pool B, so I underlined them.
1.400+ (7)
Heidelberg, UW-Whitewater, St. Thomas, Concordia-Ill., Linfield, Webster, Tufts
1.350-1.399 (5)
Southern Maine 1.358, Case Western 1.379, Moravian 1.383, Shenandoah 1.362, Amherst 1.365
1.300-1.349 (11, 1 Pool A)
Stevens Point 1.348, Marietta 1.300, Cortland State 1.349, Rowan 1.339, Birmingham Southern 1.307, ECSU 1.313, Salisbury 1.329, Gettysburg 1.346, St. John Fisher 1.307, Buena Vista 1.345, Trinity 1.312
1.250-1.299 (12)
York 1.298, Kean 1.298, Baldwin-Wallace 1.289, Allegheny 1.289, Emory 1.286, Concordia-TX 1.281, Adrian 1.279, Cal Lutheran 1.277, Bethel 1.269, Endicott 1.258, Ithaca 1.257, Rutgers-Camden 1.256
1.200-1.249 (16)
St. John's 1.249 John Carroll 1.243 Oswego State 1.243 Rhodes 1.233 Salem State 1.226 Wheaton MA 1.244 Alvernia 1.221 Berry 1.204 Frostburg State 1.213 Augustana 1.214 Susquehanna 1.244 George Fox 1.214 Bridgewater 1.209 Union 1.200 Chapman 1.224 Wesleyan 1.232
1.180-1.199 -- just to see if anything slips through the cracks (13)
Willamette 1.184 Ramapo 1.181 Millsaps 1.177 Randolph-Macon 1.188 RPI 1.184
Wooster 1.198 Hampden-Sydney 1.192 Illinois Wesleyan 1.182 Brockport State 1.182 La Roche 1.184 UW Stout 1.198 LeTourneau 1.183 Widener 1.199
In the event anyone has made it this far, feel free to comment with how this works, doesn't work, could be better, are surprised it's not worse...basically anything.