Yeah, I think we just saw HPU at their absolute worst. That is not to take away from McMurry or Hardin-Simmons this past weekend, since they are very good teams themselves, but that was a performance more like something from TLU or UMHB.

The profiles are up! Feel free to comment on the blog or here.

The profiles are up! Feel free to comment on the blog or here.

Projections for the entire tournament. Only UMHB gets home-court advantage in the projections.

Quarterfinals
E1 Texas-Dallas 75 vs. W4 Schreiner 71 (73 poss.)
E1 Texas-Dallas 80 vs. W4 Schreiner 55 (67 poss.)
W2 Hardin-Simmons 79 vs. E3 Louisiana College 73 (77 poss.)
W2 Hardin-Simmons 110 vs. E3 Louisiana College 100 (82 poss.)
E2 East Texas Baptist 78 vs. W3 McMurry 80 (78 poss.)
E2 East Texas Baptist 75 vs. W3 McMurry 100 (89 poss.)
W1 Mary Hardin-Baylor 79 vs. E4 Mississippi College 68 (75 poss.)
W1 Mary Hardin-Baylor 75 vs. E4 Mississippi College 63 (75 poss.)

Semifinals
E1 Texas-Dallas 74 vs. W2 Hardin-Simmons 72 (73 poss.)
E1 Texas-Dallas 63 vs. W2 Hardin-Simmons 64 (63 poss.)
W1 Mary Hardin-Baylor 81 vs. W3 McMurry 74 (77 poss.)
W1 Mary Hardin-Baylor 69 vs. W3 McMurry 77 (69 poss.)

Final
W1 Mary Hardin-Baylor 72 vs. E1 Texas-Dallas 68 (71 poss.)
W2 Hardin-Simmons 81 vs. W3 McMurry 80 (79 poss.)
W2 Hardin-Simmons 81 vs. W3 McMurry 86 (78 poss. - including OT)

Projections for the entire tournament. Only LC gets the benefit of home-court advantage in these projections, though they would have been favored anyway.

Quarterfinals
W1 Concordia-Texas 66 vs. E4 Ozarks 59 (75 poss.)
W1 Concordia-Texas 65 vs. E4 Ozarks 46 (75 poss.)
E2 Texas-Dallas 61 vs. W3 Howard Payne 62 (73 poss.)
E2 Texas-Dallas 56 vs. W3 Howard Payne 53 (68 poss.)
W2 McMurry 61 vs. E3 Mississippi College 56 (71 poss.)
W2 McMurry 63 vs. E3 Mississippi College 59 (68 poss.)
E1 Louisiana College 76 vs. W4 Hardin-Simmons 67 (81 poss.)
E1 Louisiana College 59 vs. W4 Hardin-Simmons 53 (72 poss.)

Semifinals
W1 Concordia-Texas 63.6 vs. W3 Howard Payne 64.4 (76 poss.)
W1 Concordia-Texas 59.5 vs. E2 Texas-Dallas 58.8 (74 poss.)
W1 Concordia-Texas 61 vs. E2 Texas-Dallas 46 (75 poss.)
E1 Louisiana College 72 vs. W2 McMurry 66 (81 poss.)
E1 Louisiana College 76 vs. W2 McMurry 54 (86 poss.)

Final
E1 Louisiana College 75 vs. W3 Howard Payne 69 (83 poss.)
E1 Louisiana College 73 vs. W1 Concordia-Texas 66 (84 poss.)
E1 Louisiana College 64 vs. W1 Concordia-Texas 73 (82 poss.)

Final division standings for the season. Tournament projections to follow sometime later today, and team-by-team profiles for the tournament teams sometime after that will be posted on my blog (I'll link here when they're up). Before too terribly long I'll have some player stuff ready.

ASC West
# Team (W-L) - Off/Def/Net/Pace
1. Mary Hardin-Baylor* (20-1) - 1.05/0.89/+0.16/75.3
2. Hardin-Simmons* (16-5) - 1.05/0.95/+0.10/78.1
3. McMurry* (13-8) - 1.07/1.00/+0.07/79.7
4. Schreiner* (11-10) - 0.99/0.98/+0.01/79.1
5. Concordia-Texas (11-10) - 1.02/1.01/+0.01/89.4
6. Texas Lutheran (10-11) - 0.93/0.93/+0.00/74.5
7. Howard Payne (7-14) - 0.96/1.02/-0.06/78.3
8. Sul Ross State (7-14) - 0.90/0.98/-0.08/70.1

ASC East
# Team (W-L) - Off/Def/Net/Pace
1. Texas-Dallas* (16-4) - 1.08/0.94/+0.14/67.2
2. East Texas Baptist* (11-10) - 1.01/0.99/+0.02/75.7
3. Mississippi College* (7-13) - 0.99/1.03/-0.04/74.1
4. Louisiana College* (9-11) - 0.95/1.01/-0.05/75.3
5. Ozarks (6-14) - 1.00/1.06/-0.06/76.2
6. Texas-Tyler (7-13) - 0.93/1.00/-0.07/72.3
7. LeTourneau (3-17) - 0.86/1.02/-0.16/72.5

* - Made ASC Tournament

Final division standings for the season. Tournament projections to follow sometime tomorrow, and team-by-team profiles for the tournament teams sometime after that will be posted on my blog (I'll link here when they're up). Before too terribly long I'll have some player stuff ready.

ASC West
# Team (W-L) - Off/Def/Net/Pace
1. Howard Payne* (16-5) - 0.96/0.79/+0.16/75.7
2. McMurry* (16-5) - 0.92/0.76/+0.16/70.4
3. Concordia-Texas* (18-3) - 0.87/0.73/+0.14/77.2
4. Hardin-Simmons* (11-10) - 0.94/0.86/+0.08/72.1
5. Texas Lutheran (6-15) - 0.84/0.93/-0.10/72.4
6. Mary Hardin-Baylor (5-16) - 0.81/0.93/-0.11/72.9
7. Schreiner (5-16) - 0.80/0.91/-0.11/65.7
8. Sul Ross State (1-20) - 0.71/1.10/-0.39/73.6

ASC East
# Team (W-L) - Off/Def/Net/Pace
1. Louisiana College* (18-2) - 0.98/0.75/+0.23/90.8
2. Texas-Dallas* (15-5) - 0.87/0.75/+0.13/70.0
3. Mississippi College* (13-7) - 0.80/0.78/+0.02/72.3
4. Texas-Tyler (8-12) - 0.89/0.89/+0.00/73.8
5. Ozarks* (9-11) - 0.85/0.90/-0.04/72.6
6. LeTourneau (9-11) - 0.78/0.86/-0.08/73.8
7. East Texas Baptist (4-16) - 0.79/0.93/-0.14/77.9

* - Made ASC Tournament

Top Performances of the Week

Best Offense: 1.36, McMurry vs. Sul Ross State, 2/18
Best Defense: 0.52, McMurry vs. Sul Ross State, 2/18
Biggest Win: +0.84, McMurry (1.36) vs. Sul Ross State (0.52), 2/18
Closest Win: +0.01, Ozarks (0.89) at Texas-Tyler (0.87), 2/18
Most Combined Offense: Hardin-Simmons (1.15) vs. Howard Payne (1.08), 2/18
Least Combined Offense: McMurry (0.86) vs. Howard Payne (0.60), 2/16

HSU's problem this year was that while they were pretty good, there were three great teams in the West this year (and I don't know if even CTX thought they were going to be that good).

Yeah. HPU went from 1 seed to 3 seed in one weekend. I wouldn't want to be UTD next weekend.

So would I, personally, but that would be 22 conference games, leaving even less opportunity for non-conference play as it is.

I think that is correct. Both MCM & HPU split with each other, split with CTX, then it goes to record vs. the #4 seed (HSU), which would put HPU in the #3 spot.

On the bright side, a 16-game league schedule leaves more games for non-conference matchups to boost regional rankings (assuming I'm understanding the concept correctly).

Maybe CTX will finally start playing Southwestern regularly. I cannot understand why they don't play every year in everything, given that travel costs are essentially nonexistent.

I've been kind of surprised at the lack of discussion as well. A few years back when I was posting regularly, I recall there being much more activity.

As an aside, I'm going to be out of town next week once the regular season games finish, but I'm going to try to post a full projection of the tournament, plus a set of team profiles over on my blog (I'll post a link once the first ones are up, if I manage it).

Thanks for the link, Pat. If I'm remembering right, won't that leave 12 teams once McMurry moves up to D2 in a 5/7 split? Either an East team (ETBU or UTD?) would have to switch or they'd have to go to a full double-round-robin, right?