Quote from: deiscanton on January 07, 2025, 01:11:49 PMQuote from: BaboNation on January 07, 2025, 12:01:48 PMQuote from: WPI89 on January 07, 2025, 08:46:02 AMBabo - impressive - the NEWMAC will be fun - I hope we can return to a multibid conference.
It's going to be tough. Adding the 9th team to the NEWMAC (which I was against) and then having the introduction of the NPI (which I like somewhat) reinforces the need for all teams to recruit better, schedule tougher, and win meaningful games.
Right now Babson and WPI rank 12 and 15 out of 21 potential Pool C bids. I can't see either team feeling comfortable losing 3 more in the regular season and feeling good about their chances. Even losing 2 more might depend on who you lose to. Clark needs the AQ (really got hurt by Taylor being out).
Based on D3Datacast's mock run of last season's NPI numbers, both Babson and WPI would need to increase their NPI rating a few more points during conference play to either 62 or 63 to have a good chance at securing an at-large bid. Unofficially, last year's cut line for at-large bid 21 would have been 61.18 accoring to D3Datacast.
Some of that will take care of itself with an improvement in the winning percentage. Looking at Babson, I could see them finishing anywhere from 18-7 to 20-5. Their current 7-4 record, while average, comes with a Massey #6 SOS (not the official SOS). 18-7 probably means Babson needs to win the AQ. 19-6 might need a NEWMAC semi win. 20-5 should just be a matter of tournament seeding.
But Babson has a better road right now than WPI, and Clark or anyone else is going to need the AQ.