What is the benefit of moving to D2?
Increased cost for (roughly) the same exposure as D3?
It seems like the number of D2 football schools is dwindling because they are either making the jump to FCS for the big(ger) money, or dropping to D3 to eliminate the expense of athletic scholarships. At least that's the view from the upper midwest.
The only alternative to D2, it appears, would be staying in a 4-team (non-AQ) conference where each school would have to find 7 non-conference football opponents every year. A move to D2 would be one of necessity rather than outright benefit. Teams in our neck of the woods do not have as many options as schools in most other parts of the country. The only other conferences that would be geographically viable for the four schools in question would be the SAC or the SCAC, and neither of those are options due to the fact that most of the programs in those conferences can't/won't compete with the likes of UMHB and Hardin-Simmons or the fact that they don't like the Christian values of the Baptist schools.... or possibly both.
The SCAC tried the four-team thing for a few years and played a double-round robin schedule due to the difficulty lining up OOC games. Nobody was terribly happy about the result. I have a "SCAC LAST GAME" challenge coin somewhere as a result.
There are also (perceived or actual) differences in academic standards which can contribute to a decision to change conference affiliations.
The double round robin schedule definitely doesn't sound ideal. Plus the non-AQ status should make remaining in a four (football) school conference a nonstarter.
I was sort of rolling the "academic standards" issue into the "opposition to Christian education issue". I think the two issues are intertwined. After all, I don't see where any of the SCAC schools are significantly better academically than the Baptist Four.
I'm not going to go too deep down this rabbit hole, but UMHB accepts 99.3% of the kids that apply. If you can (or someone you know is willing to) write a check and you can fog a mirror, UMHB is going to let you try college. That's not a bad thing if you don't take on much debt to do it or you make through to a degree and get a job using that degree. It gives tons of first generation college students a chance to go to college, and lots of kids who maybe didn't mature until a bit late still have chance to get a higher education. UMHB and schools like it fill a valuable spot as far as I'm concerned, again given the students pull through (about a 50% chance at UMHB, which is close to the national average).
However, with a few exceptions, the SCAC schools are more selective. TLU is about a 63% acceptance rate, Austin is in the 40s, Centenary is in the 60s, Colorado College is 14%, Lyon is in the 20s, U of the Ozarks 55.4%, U of St. Thomas is 75%. CTX is in the low 90s, Schreiner is right there with UMHB in the upper 90s.
And quite frankly, Austin and CC both are "significantly better academically than the Baptists Four" and it's not even close. I'd say Lyon and U of Ozarks are also academically on a different tier, though a lot closer than Austin and CC. Then TLU, Centenary, St. Thomas, CTX, Schriener.... yeah you've got a point as it's much more of a toss-up.