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Messages - Purple Heys

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1
Speaking of Caltech, I saw them play and it is crazy to see how much that program has improved.  We will see if they can finally get that conference series win this year.

Whittier looks to have the hitting to hold them off, but there is a definite question mark about the Whittier pitching (thus far), that exposes the Poets to becoming Caltech’s first victim.  Could be Caltech’s best chance in years...rooting for the Poets to get things figured out.

2
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 22, 2019, 03:36:01 am »
Ya know, this just occurred to me...this thread would never be happening on the NWC page if Linfield had a good team this past season, because the NWC board would be overrun by Wildcat fans.

 ;D

3
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 22, 2019, 03:32:07 am »
Alas PH you are comparing apples and oranges.  SOS is a key factor in selecting at-large bids and is a strong predictor on who gets a bid. Once the field is selected, it is not nearly as important in determining the national champion.  Chapman is the only winner in the last five years that had an SOS in the top 10. Only one national champion in the last ten years won with an at-large bid (Texas-Tyler). Winning your conference is a much better predictor in determining who wins the WS, than SOS.  Winning your conference bid is a lousy predictor as no teams in this category has ever been given an at-large bid ;)

“Alas” I’m not looking to set a comparison...more like trying to debunk the SOS as a worthwhile metric.  I understood your post as suggesting that West Region teams should go to build SOS, presumably because by beating all those “better” teams (that otherwise end up with better SOS), the West Region would then achieve the SOS rating needed to qualify - not win, mind you in the playoffs...because 4 of the last 5 WS champs actually had the temerity to have low SOS.

What I am trying to do is learn why SOS continues to be used, when it may well have no correlation to getting the best at large teams.  I suppose somewhere some wonk says, “we gotta have a way to compare teams mathematically and objectively”.  Which seems reasonable...but baseball defies that SOS comparison and is unlike football and basketball when one considers that football plays once a week with generally static lineups, and basketball plays multiple games but also plays with static lineups.  I don’t think St. John’s is going to start their left handed cornerbacks against the righty QB from Carlton and their righty corners against St. Olaf’s lefty.

Baseball lineups are not static and teams play several games a week.  A different pitcher every game, a week where a team has a league series on the weekend but must play a non-league on Thursday so they staff pitch Freshmen and Sophs...SOS is a lazy man’s stat for baseball.  But I read that “SOS is a key factor in selecting at large bids”.  Choosing at large participants for playoff should be looking to include the best remaining teams.  Based on who’s winning the WS, SOS does not appear to serve that effort very well.

4
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 21, 2019, 02:50:46 am »
If you think that SOS is a key factor in getting a playoff bid, the West teams's best SOS ranking over the last five years is 26, similar to the NY region.  The West is dead last in number of teams with teams with an SOS ranked 20th or higher (2).  You should expect the west to get the same number of Pool C bids and they have: NY (5 Pool C bids in last five years), West (7)

If I, for one, did think that, after reading your post I would no longer think that.  Are you making the case that SOS appears to be useless as a benchmarking stat for playoff selection?  Because the last 5 D3 champs were either from the New York Region (1) or the West Region (4).  Please clarify.

5
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 19, 2019, 05:31:54 pm »
One way to increase the number of Pool C bids is for the west region teams to stray outside the region.  The number of teams from other regions that visit a west coast team is far greater than those in the west going out of region.

And again!

The swallow may fly south with the sun or the house martin or the plover may seek warmer climes in winter, yet these are not strangers to our land?

6
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 19, 2019, 05:29:08 pm »
One way to increase the number of Pool C bids is for the west region teams to stray outside the region.  The number of teams from other regions that visit a west coast team is far greater than those in the west going out of region.

The weather is here, wish your were beautiful.   8-)

7
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 18, 2019, 07:05:19 pm »
The West Region is the strongest in the country and deserveds more than 1 Pool C bid each every year.

Fixed it for you.   ;D

8
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 18, 2019, 07:03:20 pm »
Linfield Hire:

https://www.d3baseball.com/notables/2019/06/spencer-hireded-at-linfield

2nd West Region HC that is a former Red Raider backstop...a trend?  I wonder if they will schedule Caltech now.

9
West Region / Re: BB: NWC: Northwest Conference
« on: June 17, 2019, 03:56:35 pm »
The West Region is the strongest in the country and deserved more than 1 Pool C bid this year.

What Ralph said...

10
West Region / Re: BB: ASC: American Southwest Conference
« on: June 11, 2019, 12:26:42 pm »
https://www.d3baseball.com/notables/2019/06/stawski-moves-umhb

This seems like an absolutely fantastic hire for UMHB but I am curious what would make Stawski leave Concordia?  Maybe it's the warmer weather, although many of those early Spring games in TX are pretty rough.  I am very interested to see how this pans out.
A stronger commitment to his sport from an athletic program that has set sights on national championships in all sports that it sponsors.

UMHB just got serious about baseball.

What Ralph said...Watch out for the Cru in baseball now.

11
National topics / Re: 2019 D-III World Series
« on: June 06, 2019, 04:13:16 pm »
.... it sure seems like Whitman gave Chapman their toughest games throughout the post-season.
For the record, UMass-Boston beat Chapman, and W&J could have won either/both games against the Panthers, all at the CWS, clearly part of the post-season.

UMass-Boston didn't beat Chapman again, and W&J didn't win either one.
Neither of those facts lessen the toughness of the games vs. the eventual champion.

UMass-Boston fared exactly the same (1-2) against Chapman as the Whittier Poets.  A fact that doesn't lessen the strength of the league (or Region) that produced the eventual champion.

12
National topics / Re: 2019 D-III World Series
« on: June 05, 2019, 10:10:59 am »
The conspiracy theorist in me says that “they” don’t want more West Region teams in the tourney, especially taking over other regions.  “They” are perfectly content having all the West Region teams isolated and eliminating each other.  The last thing “they” want is what we saw last year with 2 (gasp) West Region teams in the finals.  ;D

But at least let’s be real - the NCAA has the money to ship teams around.  They elect to not spend any on D3.

13
National topics / Re: 2019 D-III World Series
« on: June 04, 2019, 07:59:56 pm »
If Chapman's starters have it going, they could be tough to beat.

What'd I say?

Thought Peck's short outing in game 2 was going to hurt them, but I was definitely wrong.  Very good pitching by Chapman and they stuck to their plan they used all year.

Peck's short outing became a blessing in disguise - it was the game they could "afford to lose".  Having lost the one, the bigger blessing was Cody Turner coming up big in relief in 3 straight games - one of which being 4 IP in relief of Collins in the morning then a crucial inning of setup in the evening game on Sunday...then closing Monday's game (sparing the use of Garcia).

14
National topics / Re: 2019 D-III World Series
« on: June 04, 2019, 07:06:27 pm »
If Chapman's starters have it going, they could be tough to beat.

What'd I say?

15
National topics / Re: 2019 D-III World Series
« on: June 04, 2019, 07:04:42 pm »
I read somewhere that St. Thomas is considering filing a motion to exclude the West Region from the D3 Championship Tourney.   8-)

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