Hi all, thanks for letting me join your board. I have developed my own formula-based college football rankings since 2023, and lately I have started following Division III football more closely after major college football stopped being fun. So instead of limiting it to FBS/FCS teams, I have started rating all NCAA and NAIA teams together. The combined version is on my site, but you may find D3-only rankings below, taking into account scores through week 3. As we approach playoff time, I will also share rankings that omit margin of victory in order to see how closely they align with NPI.
# Team (Conference) Rating [W-L record]
1 [▲+1] Wisconsin-River Falls (WIAC) 68.497 [3-0]
2 [▼-1] North Central (CCIW) 67.651 [3-0]
3 [▲+6] Susquehanna (Landmark) 61.779 [3-0]
4 [▲+4] Wisconsin-Platteville (WIAC) 57.33 [3-0]
5 [▼-1] Hardin-Simmons (American Southwest) 56.904 [2-0]
6 [▼-3] Bethel (MN) (MIAC) 55.765 [1-1]
7 [▼-2] Saint John's (MIAC) 53.405 [2-0]
8 [▲+12] Hope (MIAA) 49.533 [3-0]
9 [▼-3] Wisconsin-Whitewater (WIAC) 49.114 [2-0]
10 [▬] Wisconsin-La Crosse (WIAC) 48.232 [1-2]
11 [▼-4] Wheaton (CCIW) 47.129 [3-0]
12 [▲+9] Endicott (New England) 46.602 [3-0]
13 [▼-1] John Carroll (North Coast) 46.487 [3-0]
14 [▲+4] Cortland (Empire 8) 46.106 [3-0]
15 [▬] Christopher Newport (NJAC) 45.306 [2-0]
16 [▲+1] Berry (SAA) 41.428 [3-0]
17 [▼-1] Wartburg (American Rivers) 41.303 [1-2]
18 [▲+10] Wisconsin-Oshkosh (WIAC) 40.858 [2-1]
19 [▲+4] Franklin & Marshall (Centennial) 39.894 [3-0]
20 [▲+2] Utica (Empire 8) 38.526 [3-0]
21 [▼-2] Mary Hardin-Baylor (American Southwest) 36.858 [2-1]
22 [▲+24] Heidelberg (OAC) 36.725 [3-0]
23 [▲+4] Wisconsin-Stout (WIAC) 36.462 [2-1]
24 [▲+60] Baldwin-Wallace (OAC) 35.802 [2-0]
25 [▼-12] Coe (American Rivers) 35.562 [1-2]
26 [▲+7] Linfield (Northwest) 35.04 [1-1]
27 [▼-16] Adrian (MIAA) 33.892 [2-1]
28 [▼-4] Johns Hopkins (Centennial) 33.813 [1-2]
29 [▲+12] LaGrange (USA South) 33.677 [2-1]
30 [▼-5] Springfield (NEWMAC) 33.666 [2-1]
31 [▼-5] Hanover (Heartland) 32.844 [2-1]
32 [▲+6] Salisbury (NJAC) 32.571 [2-0]
33 [▲+16] Mount St. Joseph (Heartland) 32.254 [3-0]
34 [▬] Wisconsin-Eau Claire (WIAC) 31.835 [3-0]
35 [▼-4] Washington & Jefferson (Presidents') 31.579 [1-1]
36 [▼-6] Alma (MIAA) 31.568 [0-3]
37 [▼-8] Randolph-Macon (ODAC) 31.257 [2-1]
38 [▼-1] Washington (MO) (North Coast) 31.187 [3-0]
39 [▼-7] Ohio Northern (OAC) 30.595 [2-1]
40 [▼-4] Trinity (TX) (SAA) 27.757 [3-0]
41 [▼-6] Carnegie Mellon (Centennial) 27.398 [1-2]
42 [▲+10] Hobart (Liberty League) 26.559 [2-1]
43 [▼-29] Mount Union (OAC) 25.896 [1-2]
44 [▬] Grove City (Presidents') 25.153 [0-2]
45 [▲+3] Brockport (Empire 8) 25.076 [2-1]
46 [▼-4] Dickinson (Centennial) 24.762 [2-1]
47 [▲+3] DePauw (North Coast) 24.512 [2-1]
48 [▲+7] Chapman (SCIAC) 24.27 [1-1]
49 [▼-6] Rowan (NJAC) 23.404 [1-1]
50 [▲+6] Eastern (Middle Atlantic) 23.359 [2-1]
51 [▼-11] Wabash (North Coast) 23.079 [3-0]
52 [▲+2] Salve Regina (NEWMAC) 22.114 [3-0]
53 [▲+16] Illinois Wesleyan (CCIW) 21.427 [3-0]
54 [▲+16] Wesleyan (NESCAC) 20.609 [1-0]
55 [▲+33] Calvin (MIAA) 20.565 [3-0]
56 [▼-17] Ithaca (Liberty League) 20.272 [2-1]
57 [▲+8] Merchant Marine (NEWMAC) 19.977 [2-0]
58 [▲+5] Concordia-Moorhead (MIAC) 19.931 [2-0]
59 [▼-12] Muhlenberg (Centennial) 19.484 [2-1]
60 [▼-2] Gustavus Adolphus (MIAC) 18.423 [1-1]
61 [▼-1] Trinity (CT) (NESCAC) 18.239 [1-0]
62 [▲+12] Wisconsin-Stevens Point (WIAC) 18.232 [2-1]
63 [▲+1] Hampden-Sydney (ODAC) 17.907 [2-1]
64 [▲+23] Trine (MIAA) 17.599 [2-1]
65 [▼-6] Union (Liberty League) 16.821 [1-2]
66 [▲+6] Central (American Rivers) 16.625 [2-1]
67 [▬] Maryville (SAA) 16.273 [0-3]
68 [▲+46] Denison (North Coast) 16.08 [2-1]
69 [▼-16] Centre (SAA) 15.973 [0-2]
70 [▲+22] Brevard (USA South) 15.934 [2-0]
71 [▬] Wilkes (Landmark) 15.782 [1-1]
72 [▼-6] Delaware Valley (Middle Atlantic) 14.74 [2-1]
73 [▼-11] Marietta (OAC) 14.724 [2-1]
74 [▼-13] Ursinus (Centennial) 14.059 [3-0]
75 [▼-2] Westminster (PA) (Presidents') 13.943 [0-2]
76 [▲+15] Misericordia (Middle Atlantic) 13.856 [2-1]
77 [▼-32] Carleton (MIAC) 13.821 [1-1]
78 [▲+5] Case Western (Presidents') 13.785 [2-0]
79 [▼-4] Stevenson (Middle Atlantic) 13.289 [2-1]
80 [▼-23] RPI (Liberty League) 13.242 [1-2]
81 [▲+9] Whitworth (Northwest) 13.115 [1-1]
82 [▼-5] Pacific Lutheran (Northwest) 12.899 [1-2]
83 [▼-3] St. John Fisher (Empire 8) 12.58 [3-0]
84 [▼-6] Monmouth (Illinois) (Midwest) 12.211 [1-2]
85 [▬] McMurry (American Southwest) 12.022 [2-1]
86 [▲+21] Howard Payne (American Southwest) 11.906 [2-0]
87 [▼-8] Dubuque (American Rivers) 11.752 [0-2]
88 [▼-12] Washington & Lee (ODAC) 11.208 [2-1]
89 [▼-3] Amherst (NESCAC) 10.008 [1-0]
90 [▼-39] Augustana (IL) (CCIW) 9.442 [1-2]
91 [▲+2] Lycoming (Landmark) 8.956 [1-2]
92 [▲+2] Simpson (IA) (American Rivers) 8.849 [1-1]
93 [▼-12] Williams (NESCAC) 8.843 [1-0]
94 [▲+2] Montclair State (NJAC) 8.752 [1-1]
95 [▼-13] Coast Guard (NEWMAC) 8.618 [2-1]
96 [▲+5] Carroll (WI) (CCIW) 8.092 [2-1]
97 [▲+19] George Fox (Northwest) 7.956 [3-0]
98 [▼-1] Huntingdon (USA South) 7.597 [1-2]
99 [▲+12] Bridgewater (ODAC) 7.548 [0-2]
100 [▼-1] Shenandoah (ODAC) 7.539 [2-1]
101 [▲+8] Colby (NESCAC) 6.901 [0-1]
102 [▬] Benedictine (IL) (NACC) 6.889 [2-0]
103 [▲+1] Albright (Middle Atlantic) 6.63 [2-1]
104 [▲+6] Muskingum (OAC) 6.591 [0-2]
105 [▲+1] Ohio Wesleyan (North Coast) 6.24 [1-2]
106 [▲+6] California Lutheran (SCIAC) 6.195 [1-1]
107 [▲+16] Alfred (Empire 8) 5.578 [1-2]
108 [▼-3] Wittenberg (North Coast) 5.338 [0-3]
109 [▲+6] Western Connecticut (Landmark) 4.573 [1-2]
110 [▲+9] East Texas Baptist (American Southwest) 4.505 [2-1]
111 [▼-22] Western New England (New England) 4.427 [1-2]
112 [▲+33] Hendrix (SCAC) 4.099 [1-1]
113 [▲+5] Rose-Hulman (Heartland) 3.904 [2-1]
114 [▲+3] Tufts (NESCAC) 3.834 [1-0]
115 [▼-2] TCNJ (NJAC) 3.418 [0-2]
116 [▼-21] Middlebury (NESCAC) 3.288 [0-1]
117 [▲+34] SUNY-Maritime (NEWMAC) 2.966 [2-1]
118 [▲+7] Augsburg (MIAC) 2.813 [1-1]
119 [▼-21] Lebanon Valley (Middle Atlantic) 2.689 [0-3]
120 [▼-17] Belhaven (USA South) 2.654 [1-2]
121 [▬] Bridgewater State (MASCAC) 2.579 [3-0]
122 [▲+7] MIT (NEWMAC) 2.144 [2-0]
123 [▲+17] Lewis & Clark (Northwest) 2.067 [2-1]
124 [▼-24] Texas Lutheran (SCAC) 1.746 [2-1]
125 [▲+1] Bates (NESCAC) 1.174 [0-1]
126 [▼-58] Millsaps (SAA) 0.731 [2-1]
127 [▲+23] Widener (Middle Atlantic) 0.47 [2-1]
128 [▲+20] Concordia (WI) (NACC) 0.352 [3-0]
129 [▼-1] Saint Francis (PA) (Presidents') 0.014 [0-0]
130 [▲+8] Framingham State (MASCAC) -0.273 [2-0]
131 [▲+3] Geneva (Presidents') -0.869 [1-1]
132 [▼-24] Curry (New England) -1.124 [1-2]
133 [▲+8] Lake Forest (Midwest) -1.407 [3-0]
134 [▼-12] WPI (NEWMAC) -1.726 [2-1]
135 [▲+11] Gettysburg (Centennial) -1.934 [2-1]
136 [▼-16] Franklin (Heartland) -2.39 [1-2]
137 [▲+22] Alfred State (Empire 8) -2.903 [3-0]
138 [▲+15] Bowdoin (NESCAC) -3.016 [0-1]
139 [▼-15] Aurora (NACC) -3.256 [0-3]
140 [▼-5] Roanoke (ODAC) -3.331 [2-0]
141 [▼-5] University of New England (New England) -3.563 [0-3]
142 [▲+33] Lakeland (NACC) -3.617 [2-1]
143 [▼-13] Capital (OAC) -3.848 [2-1]
144 [▼-7] Carthage (CCIW) -4.351 [1-1]
145 [▼-3] Hamilton (NESCAC) -4.412 [0-1]
146 [▲+35] Otterbein (OAC) -4.705 [1-2]
147 [▼-4] Pomona-Pitzer (SCIAC) -4.868 [1-1]
148 [▲+12] Morrisville (Empire 8) -5.298 [1-2]
149 [▲+56] La Verne (SCIAC) -5.548 [2-0]
150 [▲+4] Olivet (MIAA) -5.589 [3-0]
151 [▲+11] Chicago (Midwest) -5.908 [1-1]
152 [▲+12] Macalester (MIAC) -6.343 [1-1]
153 [▼-6] Redlands (SCIAC) -6.671 [0-2]
154 [▲+13] North Park (CCIW) -6.97 [0-3]
155 [▲+3] Albion (MIAA) -6.98 [0-3]
156 [▼-17] Nebraska Wesleyan (American Rivers) -8.019 [0-3]
157 [▲+11] Loras (American Rivers) -8.038 [2-1]
158 [▼-3] Kean (NJAC) -8.039 [1-1]
159 [▼-7] William Paterson (NJAC) -8.077 [0-2]
160 [▼-3] Rochester (Liberty League) -8.228 [1-2]
161 [▼-12] Moravian (Landmark) -8.655 [0-3]
162 [▼-1] Worcester State (MASCAC) -9.01 [1-2]
163 [▬] St. Lawrence (Liberty League) -9.046 [1-2]
164 [▼-33] Claremont-Mudd-Scripps (SCIAC) -9.147 [1-1]
165 [▲+8] North Carolina Wesleyan (USA South) -9.478 [2-1]
166 [▼-10] Wisconsin Lutheran (NACC) -9.949 [2-1]
167 [▲+13] Hartwick (Empire 8) -10.058 [1-2]
168 [▲+2] Greensboro (USA South) -10.603 [1-2]
169 [▼-37] UMass-Dartmouth (MASCAC) -11.267 [1-2]
170 [▼-1] Kenyon (North Coast) -12.18 [1-2]
171 [▼-5] Wooster (North Coast) -13.164 [1-2]
172 [▲+21] Bethany (WV) (Presidents') -13.334 [2-1]
173 [▼-29] Wilmington (OAC) -13.926 [1-2]
174 [▲+5] Allegheny (Presidents') -14.247 [3-0]
175 [▼-10] FDU-Florham (Middle Atlantic) -14.647 [0-3]
176 [▲+6] St. Olaf (MIAC) -14.954 [0-2]
177 [▼-6] Husson (New England) -15.175 [0-3]
178 [▼-1] St. Norbert (NACC) -15.507 [1-2]
179 [▼-52] King's (Middle Atlantic) -15.994 [0-2]
180 [▼-2] Millikin (CCIW) -16.688 [1-2]
181 [▲+3] Castleton (NJAC) -17.27 [2-1]
182 [▼-10] Willamette (Northwest) -17.658 [1-2]
183 [▲+13] Sewanee (SAA) -18.704 [1-2]
184 [▲+13] Bluffton (Heartland) -19.11 [0-3]
185 [▲+6] Catholic (Landmark) -20.324 [0-3]
186 [▲+9] Averett (ODAC) -21.231 [2-1]
187 [▲+5] Massachusetts Maritime (MASCAC) -21.439 [2-0]
188 [▼-2] St. Scholastica (MIAC) -21.796 [0-2]
189 [▼-4] Norwich (NEWMAC) -22.053 [1-1]
190 [▲+4] Puget Sound (Northwest) -22.345 [0-2]
191 [▼-4] Kalamazoo (MIAA) -22.437 [1-2]
192 [▲+15] Juniata (Landmark) -23.298 [1-2]
193 [▲+10] Concordia Chicago (NACC) -23.524 [3-0]
194 [▼-18] McDaniel (Centennial) -24.77 [1-2]
195 [▼-5] Pacific (Northwest) -25.377 [0-3]
196 [▲+2] Westfield State (MASCAC) -26.53 [1-2]
197 [▼-9] Plymouth State (MASCAC) -26.864 [1-2]
198 [▼-24] Buena Vista (American Rivers) -27.307 [1-2]
199 [▲+2] Guilford (ODAC) -27.604 [1-1]
200 [▲+31] Alvernia (Middle Atlantic) -27.634 [1-2]
201 [▲+17] Greenville (UMAC) -27.705 [1-2]
202 [▲+4] Illinois College (Midwest) -28.181 [2-1]
203 [▼-20] Lyon (SCAC) -29.322 [1-2]
204 [▼-5] Waynesburg (Presidents') -29.564 [0-3]
205 [▼-5] Hamline (MIAC) -29.846 [1-1]
206 [▲+5] Nichols (New England) -30.656 [0-3]
207 [▲+3] Rhodes (SAA) -30.854 [0-2]
208 [▬] Martin Luther (UMAC) -31.119 [0-3]
209 [▲+7] Cornell (IA) (Midwest) -31.292 [1-2]
210 [▼-77] Southwestern (TX) (SAA) -31.8 [0-3]
211 [▼-2] Ripon (Midwest) -33.148 [1-2]
212 [▼-23] Northwestern (MN) (UMAC) -33.526 [0-3]
213 [▼-9] Southern Virginia (USA South) -33.559 [1-2]
214 [▲+6] Hiram (Presidents') -34.053 [2-0]
215 [▲+4] Methodist (USA South) -34.405 [0-2]
216 [▲+1] Saint Vincent (Presidents') -34.44 [1-0]
217 [▲+4] Buffalo State (Liberty League) -35.076 [0-3]
218 [▼-4] Crown (UMAC) -35.088 [1-2]
219 [▲+7] Minnesota-Morris (UMAC) -36.325 [1-2]
220 [▲+2] Elmhurst (CCIW) -36.917 [1-2]
221 [▼-6] Centenary (SCAC) -37.206 [0-2]
222 [▲+7] Luther (Midwest) -37.229 [2-1]
223 [▼-11] Anderson (IN) (Heartland) -37.601 [1-2]
224 [▲+1] Westminster (MO) (UMAC) -38.877 [1-1]
225 [▼-2] Manchester (Heartland) -38.986 [1-2]
226 [▼-24] Fitchburg State (MASCAC) -41.054 [1-2]
227 [▲+5] New England College (New England) -42.169 [1-2]
228 [▲+6] Keystone (Independent) -42.733 [1-2]
229 [▼-5] Grinnell (Midwest) -42.75 [1-2]
230 [▼-17] Thiel (Presidents') -43.669 [0-3]
231 [▼-3] Austin (SCAC) -45.863 [1-2]
232 [▲+1] Knox (Midwest) -46.005 [1-2]
233 [▼-6] Gallaudet (SCAC) -49.057 [0-3]
234 [▲+7] Schreiner (American Southwest) -50.731 [2-1]
235 [▲+1] Hilbert (Liberty League) -58.186 [0-3]
236 [▲+1] Rockford (NACC) -60.566 [0-3]
237 [▲+2] Maine Maritime (New England) -60.645 [0-2]
238 [▼-3] Dean (MASCAC) -60.88 [0-3]
239 [▼-9] Beloit (Midwest) -61.359 [1-2]
240 [▼-2] Eureka (NACC) -64.165 [0-3]
241 [▲+1] Oberlin (North Coast) -66.635 [0-3]
242 [▲+1] Lawrence (Midwest) -68.178 [0-3]
243 [▼-3] Azusa Pacific (SCIAC) -74.648 [1-1]
244 [▬] Whittier (SCIAC) -77.017 [0-2]
Furthermore, I offer you the top 10 upsets in week 3 based on ratings heading in to the weekend.
Score (Pre-game difference in rating)
#241 Schreiner 31, #136 Southwestern (TX) 28 (-61.072)
#231 Alvernia 28, #131 King's 21 (-51.148)
#225 Minnesota-Morris 30, #176 Buena Vista 28 (-31.205)
#55 Mount St. Joseph 35, #11 Adrian 24 (-28.061)
#47 Heidelberg 37, #12 Mount Union 34 (-24.63)
#229 New England College 23, #201 Fitchburg State 22 (-23.825)
#154 Concordia (WI) 29, #77 Aurora 28 (-19.663)
#186 Otterbein 35, #122 Wilmington 14 (-17.068)
#135 Hendrix 36, #82 Millsaps 27 (-15.1)
#205 Juniata 28, #182 McDaniel 7 (-11.949)
Love it or hate it, feel free to ask in case you have any questions.
And here is the conference ranking based on a simple average of team ratings. Of course, the NESCAC is really anyone's guess until one of their schools plays a postseason game.
# Conference, Average rating
1 [▬] WIAC 43.82
2 [▬] Centennial 16.588
3 [▬] MIAA 14.769
4 [▬] OAC 14.206
5 [▲+1] Empire 8 13.701
6 [▲+6] American Southwest 11.911
7 [▲+2] NJAC 10.008
8 [▼-1] CCIW 9.868
9 [▼-1] MIAC 9.122
10 [▼-5] American Rivers 8.841
11 [▬] NEWMAC 8.213
12 [▲+1] NESCAC 6.547
13 [▲+1] North Coast 6.094
14 [▲+2] Landmark 5.545
15 [▬] ODAC 2.912
16 [▼-6] SAA 2.601
17 [▬] Middle Atlantic 1.676
18 [▬] Northwest 0.712
19 [▲+1] USA South -3.523
20 [▲+1] Heartland -4.155
21 [▼-2] Liberty League -4.205
22 [▬] Presidents' -7.142
23 [▬] New England -12.788
24 [▲+1] SCIAC -18.429
25 [▲+1] NACC -19.26
26 [▼-2] MASCAC -21.638
27 [▬] SCAC -25.934
28 [▬] Midwest -31.204
29 [▬] UMAC -33.773