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Messages - scottiedawg

#1
Lots of coaching turnover in the Liberty this year.

Longtime coaches Dan Raymond and John Greene retire. And Bard also with a vacancy.
#2
Multi-Regional Topics / Re: The Women's Belt
March 19, 2026, 01:06:09 PM
Quote from: Voice of the Titans on March 19, 2026, 11:22:52 AMDoes D3 Datacast take bets on the games? Holy cow, I feel like that would be easy money.

I've got Scranton at -2.5. 

They've been playing at the highest level in the division since about mid-January.
#4
Hope WBB host opening rounds.  They face Penn State-Behrend in the opening round.

Illinois Wesleyan and Washington & Jefferson also in the pod @ Holland, MI.
#5
I would agree that it's a good thing overall but I think it can also be true that it can limit flexibility for "more fun" matchups.

Just like I think NPI is a way better system because it (a) allows everyone to know exactly where they stand at any point in time, (b) removes subjectivity.

But that doesn't mean at all that NPI is perfect, or doesn't have rough edges. And I think moving to NPI has made the final week and Selection Sunday less fun FOR THE FANS.

As with many things in life, more than one thing can be true at the same time.
#7
Quote from: saratoga on March 01, 2026, 03:13:43 PMOk number crunchers...
With JHU's loss to Gettysburg this afternoon, does that move Scranton into the top 4 & JHU out?
It certainly should but I could see a statistical anomaly being found like the measure of central tendency being found to deviate from the correlation data characteristics of probability & distribution.  ;)

Yes, Scranton will be 4th
#8
I bet the committee will avoid the UW-Oshkosh v. UW-Superior regular season rematch and put the SLIAC winner against the Titans.
#9
Region 2 women's basketball / Re: WBB: Little East
February 28, 2026, 09:05:31 AM
Quote from: 7express on February 28, 2026, 02:24:56 AMWith what would be a 3rd loss I wouldn't say USM would be a lock, but it would definitely be a nervous 24 or so hours for the Huskies, while RIC needs to win to get to the main tournament.

Keep an eye on www.thed3statlab.com and you can know long before 24 hours!
#10
Quote from: Augie2020 on February 27, 2026, 03:14:01 PM5 games over 500. What is next a Wiac team or UAA that goes 13-12. 

Sounds like you've got your mind made up about the best way to value teams!
#11
yep.

UW-River Falls
11 losses
34.93 Total QWB
#1 SOS Rank

River Falls has 10 wins against NPI top 65 opponents. Susquehanna has 4.

I think demonstrated ability to beat top teams is a great thing to reward.
#12
Definitely don't want to take anything for granted but they are SMASHING good teams. Susquehanna, Catholic, and Elizabethtown are all top 50/60 teams and Scranton is winning by 30+!
#13
Multi-Regional Topics / Re: Pool C
February 27, 2026, 12:07:45 PM
I can't answer the rationale piece but I believe a good number of conferences do not re-seed at all once the tournament has begun.
#14
Team------------Losses--------Total QWB------SOS Rank---------AVG Opp NPI in Counting Wins
Gustavus Adolphus825.282053.03
Randolph-Macon617.383952.70
DePauw922.501253.24
Gettysburg611.033551.80
Carnegie Mellon925.04555.72
Otterbein57.677550.59
Bridgewater (VA)611.687850.57
St. Mary's (MN)721.825451.53
Susquehanna510.5911249.75
Hamline713.937450.91
Emory1011.911352.86
McDaniel62.257649.94
UW-Eau Claire1221.83454.59
Stevens68.2210950.14
UW-Stout1226.17752.64
#15
Multi-Regional Topics / Re: Pool C
February 27, 2026, 09:13:21 AM
Nitpick, but if you're looking at current NPI, then there's nothing "projected" about it. ;-)