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Messages - scottiedawg

#1
I think WLC has a good shot at an at-large bid if they win out in the regular season and lose once in the conference tournament.
#2
Quote from: Augie2020 on February 06, 2026, 11:25:41 PMMassey has Scranton #2 and  NPI has them 7th with a two loss team and a one loss team in front,But will let it play out.

Massey and NPI are measuring different things.
#3
Quote from: Voice of the Titans on February 05, 2026, 08:13:45 AMbut the difference was the fact that UWP got 80% of the 50-50 balls, and took full advantage. Something like 19 second chance points on 13 offensive boards. When you're getting 40% of your points on a second effort, that's huge when 90 total points are scored.

YUP. I feel like Platt saved at least 3 balls going out of bounds, turning that into an offensive board and continued possession. Their effort was VERY VERY high.
#4
Petroelje has been awesome for Hope recently.

They've really been missing the post scoring from Leah Richards. It opens up a lot when she is scoring in the post.
#5
All of what you said about the GNAC AQ's likely seeding is correct.

I do think that the MASCAC AQ and the NAC AQ (along with potentially UEC) will be LOWER than the GNAC AQ, and so the GNAC AQ could end up seeded like a #15, and face a #2, like: Johns Hopkins, Bowdoin, or Bates.
#6
Quote from: Happy Calvin Guy on January 25, 2026, 10:51:47 PMHowever, Hope's official scorer inexplicably credited it as a "team rebound," leaving Luka with 9 rebounds--one shy of his first career double-double.

I've wondered how much auditing happens of the livestats -> box score. 

It's pretty common (across the nation) to see incorrect player or play attributions in the livestats, especially for the opposing team, and I wonder if anyone audits it for accuracy before it goes into the box score.
#7
Quote from: saratoga on January 24, 2026, 11:03:36 AMNot that I've done a deep dive into this topic, but I'm surprised Scranton isn't listed as both a pretty young team with an incredible winning % of 94.4 (101-6) over past 3.5 years.

They carry:
*3 Seniors
*4 Juniors
*5 Soph's
*5 First Years


228th youngest, weighted Class Year of 2.80 so yes quite young.  Just hard to get/be "younger" when your top two minutes players are Seniors.
#8
Quote from: BillyRayJimBob on January 23, 2026, 08:57:11 PMAfter some "thin" years in Alliance, I want to shout out the Purple Raiders Women's Basketball Team.
Rising stars!

26th most improved team

144th youngest team

Only 10 teams are both younger AND have a better Win% than Mt. Union:

NYU
Centre
Hope
Hardin-Simmons
St. Mary's (MN)
Immaculata
Trine
Puget Sound
Emory
Christopher Newport
#9
Multi-Regional Topics / Re: Top 25 discussion
January 19, 2026, 07:49:29 PM
Top Votes Gained

Denison: +161
Baldwin Wallace: +66
UW-Platteville: +52
Bowdoin: +48
Hope: +45
Ohio Wesleyan: +41
Ripon: +41
Shenandoah: +39
Cortland: +38
Illinois Wesleyan: +37
Concordia Moorhead: +33
Washington & Lee: +31
UW-La Crosse: +22
Chicago: +21


Top Votes Lost

Emory: -203
UW-Whitewater: -82
WashU: -78
Bethel: -76
John Carroll: -68
Bates: -46
Trinity (CT): -37
Christopher Newport: -35
Amherst: -33
UW-Eau Claire: -20
St. Mary's (MN): -12
Cal Lutheran: -11
#10
Quote from: saratoga on January 17, 2026, 11:36:48 PMscottiedawg:

PS.
I hope the Lady Royals aren't sent to Wayne, NJ. as Wm. Patterson's gym is a dump.
New Paltz has some great restaurants so that would work.  ;D



I would hope that if Scranton WBB end up as one of the 4 #1 seeds that they don't get the DeSales-treatment that NYU got a few years ago.  Just host the pod at the #8 or #9 and build the quadrant so that if Scranton WBB make it to the sweet sixteen they will host that.
#11
Quote from: saratoga on January 17, 2026, 11:24:13 PMKind of sucks that when Ben scheduled NJCU 3 years ago, they were an NCAA tournament team.
Even 2 years ago they made it in.
However, last season & now they have just fallen off a cliff & nothing is gained by playing them.
Sometimes when you schedule in advance (like you should) for your non-conference games, things can end up like a box of chocolates.

It totally does, which is why I think the NPI system and its Minimum Wins Threshold of 15 works quite well.

Unless you end up with a LOT of really bad teams on your schedule, or you get only 15-17 wins, you DO have some buffer to drop a few if some teams really regress.

The old system was so bad - it really put teams in conferences with terrible bottoms at a disadvantage (Landmark, Presidents, Michigan).  The way NPI is designed allows teams with drastically different conference sizes, setups, and strength distributions to more or less end up on the same footing.
#12
I shudder to think of the wailings of "not fair" when Scranton WBB is playing at Wayne, NJ or New Paltz, NY on March 6 & 7.
#13
Quote from: Augie2020 on January 17, 2026, 11:11:25 PMLet's compare schedule see how many top 60 teams did Oshkosh, W&l and Denison play go ahead I will wait

Top 60 NPI Opponents So Far
UW-Oshkosh - 7
Washington & Lee - 4
Scranton - 4
Denison - 3

Top 60 Massey Opponents So Far
UW-Oshkosh - 9
Washington & Lee - 3
Scranton - 2
Denison - 5
#14
Quote from: Augie2020 on January 17, 2026, 11:10:29 PMLike Oshkosh did not play shifty teams give me a break

You clearly do not understand NPI and are showing zero attempt to. Sound like you just want to be upset. 

Oshkosh no longer has to carry their Eureka win.

NPI sucks as a ranking of teams when it has a small amount of data (cough cough, football). Obviously NYU is not the 14th or whatever best team. It gets slowly better and better as data grows.

Give NPI the time that a basketball season affords it and the cream will rise. That cream will rise at different rates based off the schedule distribution a team has played thus far.

No one should look at current NPI and think it is saying "team #9 is better than team #10."
#15
Quote from: Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan) on January 17, 2026, 10:29:36 PM
Quote from: Augie2020 on January 17, 2026, 10:21:57 PMScott posted them. Denison ran up 1.347 ,Scranton .303 Oshkosh 1.758 for beating a team at 9-7 and ranked 65th in NPI also W&L .296

This was Denison's 16th win, which means they dropped their lowest win value and replaced it with this one.  NPI only counts wins that help you once you get past 15.  Same thing for Oshkosh.  Once Scranton gets to 16 (next game), they'll jump, too.

While Ryan is technically correct, Wilkes and Goucher are pretty terrible so Scranton won't gain much until at least their 18th win.  The same mechanisms are in place; they just need to wade through the bad bottom of the Landmark and the fact that they booked PSU-Harrisburg and New Jersey City in NonConf.