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Messages - crufootball

#1
Quote from: Etchglow on November 25, 2025, 09:33:13 AM
Quote from: crufootball on November 25, 2025, 08:34:11 AM
Quote from: D3Navy on November 24, 2025, 07:35:54 PM
Quote from: CruFrenzy on November 24, 2025, 12:59:27 PM
Quote from: Etchglow on November 23, 2025, 09:39:40 PMSince I was bored, I went and looked at the folks who have announced they were transferring from UMHB.  Only 9 of the 29 have offers.  7 of the offers are D3, 3 are NAIA, 2 are FCS, and 1 is for a community college.


Yup. Some of the guys I'm not mad at. The JV guys that saw the writing on the wall and just want to play somewhere, no problem. Then you have a guy like D Morris who likely lands on a good FCS or a low end FBS roster, I still don't like it but it's somewhat understandable. JJ Davis probably lands on a mid to low end FCS... I kind of get it but still think it's a mistake. Then you have guys like Battle III that had no business transferring out. Could have stayed and been a damn good corner on a really good defense but instead he jumped on the portal wagon after D Mo and JJ did and he's got no offers. Not saying he's not good enough to get offers but he doesn't have the same body of work yet as Morris or Davis did.. reminds me a lot of Dorien Hill playing 4 games last year in the playoffs and hitting the portal. He showed a ton of promise and might've been our best LB if he had returned this season but instead he hit the portal and got East Central and Trinity and went to Trinity.. that's basically Battle this year... maybe he will come back.

On the positive side of things it looks like we've kept everyone else so far. If that's all we lose we return a way more cohesive group than we have in a few years and will just need to find a few secondary guys to step up.

You got BJ Stewart, we got Dorien Hill.  Both fine athletes who found better fits.

Well I can't speak for everyone but I hope Dorien has a great game this weekend.  ;D

Event if Dorien wasn't down there, I'd be rooting for Trinity this weekend :D

But I do think Dorien and his defensive friends are the key for a Trinity victory. I don't think they can win a high scoring game but I think a low scoring game plays more to Trinity.
#2
Quote from: D3Navy on November 24, 2025, 07:35:54 PM
Quote from: CruFrenzy on November 24, 2025, 12:59:27 PM
Quote from: Etchglow on November 23, 2025, 09:39:40 PMSince I was bored, I went and looked at the folks who have announced they were transferring from UMHB.  Only 9 of the 29 have offers.  7 of the offers are D3, 3 are NAIA, 2 are FCS, and 1 is for a community college.


Yup. Some of the guys I'm not mad at. The JV guys that saw the writing on the wall and just want to play somewhere, no problem. Then you have a guy like D Morris who likely lands on a good FCS or a low end FBS roster, I still don't like it but it's somewhat understandable. JJ Davis probably lands on a mid to low end FCS... I kind of get it but still think it's a mistake. Then you have guys like Battle III that had no business transferring out. Could have stayed and been a damn good corner on a really good defense but instead he jumped on the portal wagon after D Mo and JJ did and he's got no offers. Not saying he's not good enough to get offers but he doesn't have the same body of work yet as Morris or Davis did.. reminds me a lot of Dorien Hill playing 4 games last year in the playoffs and hitting the portal. He showed a ton of promise and might've been our best LB if he had returned this season but instead he hit the portal and got East Central and Trinity and went to Trinity.. that's basically Battle this year... maybe he will come back.

On the positive side of things it looks like we've kept everyone else so far. If that's all we lose we return a way more cohesive group than we have in a few years and will just need to find a few secondary guys to step up.

You got BJ Stewart, we got Dorien Hill.  Both fine athletes who found better fits.

Well I can't speak for everyone but I hope Dorien has a great game this weekend.  ;D
#3
Quote from: Etchglow on November 22, 2025, 07:53:30 PM
Quote from: Mavchamp on November 22, 2025, 04:09:59 PMChristmas wish list.....

ASC recruits two-three schools to join the conference in the off-season

Wayland Baptist
Louisiana Christian
Sul Ross State
Nelson University
Centenary





I don't think Louisiana Christian will come back.  They just won 1/3 of the conference championship over in the sooner athletic conference. 

Holy cow, just looked at Sul Ross's football record... 0-11, only two close games, 3 point loss to a 2-9 team and a 6 point loss to a 3-8 team.  Outside of those two losses, average margin of victory was 58 2/3 points...  48.8 points total.  Outscored 129 to 666 :O...

What did LC win besides football? No matter what, yeah I can't see them coming back considering they did share the title in the SAC but still got crushed by HSU.

As for Sul Ross, I would assume playing at UTRGV and at SFA paid for the rest of the season so while it was a hard season, it is the life of a low tier D2 team.
#4
Quote from: ziggy on November 17, 2025, 11:54:58 AM
Quote from: crufootball on November 16, 2025, 10:46:59 PM
Quote from: Ralph Turner on November 16, 2025, 07:55:59 PMI would like to see an NPI iteration for UMHB with wins over a 5-5 McMurry, a 6-4 TLU and a 2-7 Austin College, giving UMHB an 8-2 record.

I asked Logan Hansen a similar question and he said if UMHB had played teams with a final NPI of greater then 40 (and won) we would have been over the bubble. Since McMurry and TLU are 52+ but Austin is 37 then I assume we would be dancing right now.

Dial settings that lean more into strength of schedule would have also gotten UMHB in: https://d3datacast.com/2025/11/17/how-does-changing-the-dials-change-the-2025-d3-football-playoff-field/

Yes it seems like every other setting gets us in  :( Wasn't that true last year as well when you experimented with our dial settings?
#5
Quote from: Ralph Turner on November 16, 2025, 07:55:59 PMI would like to see an NPI iteration for UMHB with wins over a 5-5 McMurry, a 6-4 TLU and a 2-7 Austin College, giving UMHB an 8-2 record.

I asked Logan Hansen a similar question and he said if UMHB had played teams with a final NPI of greater then 40 (and won) we would have been over the bubble. Since McMurry and TLU are 52+ but Austin is 37 then I assume we would be dancing right now.
#6
Quote from: Ralph Turner on November 13, 2025, 11:04:27 AMFor the sake of the athletes, I am happy for the players at Lyon or AC or Centenary getting the chance to play opponents of comparable skill level. That is not a knock, because D3 athletics is for the development of the young adult. Competing for a conference championship is the real benefit.

I am saddened that McMurry is having to play so many games on Sunday, especially in basketball, in the SCAC. Returning to the ASC, where Sunday contests are uncommon, is one thing I like about the move.

I see your point, but the players at AC and Centenary can't be thrilled about ending up playing each other three times — plus Westgate Christian. And the issue is only going to get worse next year when McMurry is gone and they no longer have the opponent they expected in Schreiner University.

If the goal is to compete for a conference championship, build a more manageable schedule, and still have a realistic shot at the playoffs, they could just revisit what the SCAC did from 2013–2015. During that stretch, everyone played each other once and filled the rest of the schedule primarily with ASC teams. TLU not only won 3 conference championships under that model, but also made the playoffs and nearly beat UMHB in what turned into a 24-hour football game.
#7
Quote from: UMHB03 on November 13, 2025, 08:11:21 AM
Quote from: crufootball on November 12, 2025, 09:30:29 PMI have to keep believing that sanity will prevail and the ASC and SCAC will come up with something that means all of them will be able to bus to each other and only need 1 or 2 more games after that. I mean really if you combine all of us that is 10 teams, meaning 9 guaranteed games and you only have to find 1 other game.

Its either that or all of us end up with schedules that don't make sense.

UMHB - 2 NAIA school (flight last year), 1 D2 team (flight) and UWW (flight last year)
HSU - 2 NAIA schools, and Chapman (flight)
HPU - 1 NAIA school and Pacific (assume flight next year)
ETBU - 1 NAIA school

Lyon - 1 NAIA school and playing Hendrix twice due to championship weekend
Hendrix - All D3 but playing Lyon twice
Austin - Playing Centenary 3 times and Westgate Christian
Centenary -  Playing Austin 3 times and Westgate Christian
TLU - All D3 but playing McMurry 2 times
McMurry - All D3 but playing TLU 2 times and either flew to Huntingdon or had a very long bus ride

Next year both of us will need more games if neither are going to play round robin, STOP THE MADNESS!
I'd love to see the ASC go back to 10 teams, but I don't see it. I don't think the SCAC schools mind playing the same opponents 2-3 times or scheduling Westgate Christian if it means not getting their butts kicked by UMHB and HSU every year or associating with the dastardly Baptist Four.

Assuming UMHB misses the playoffs, which sadly looks to be likely, then Harmon needs to be on the phone Monday trying to get some D3 opponents scheduled for 2026. Continuing with the kind of scheduling we've had the last 2 years is not a recipe for success.

You might be correct but unless Harmon is not telling the truth he does call every D3 school and is turned down. This quote  from him was in the paper this week.

"We just want a Division III opponent to have a home-and-home series. We'll go to their place first and they still turn it down, even with us handling their flight and their buses."
#8
Quote from: Ralph Turner on November 13, 2025, 12:56:34 AMDoes Schreiner come on board next year in the ASC?

Yes, the should play the full ASC schedule next year.
#9
Quote from: Ralph Turner on November 12, 2025, 10:08:09 PMMcMurry played at Huntingdon as the 10th game in 2007, so that is an occasional non-conference opponent.

And I am all for it, I would love a setup with 1 or 2 non conference games so that schools could pick what type of experience they want. But none of the schedules this year for ASC or SCAC teams are optimal for any D3 athlete, I am sure I don't know the whole story and am a biased UMHB/ASC fan but again STOP THE MADNESS!
#10
I have to keep believing that sanity will prevail and the ASC and SCAC will come up with something that means all of them will be able to bus to each other and only need 1 or 2 more games after that. I mean really if you combine all of us that is 10 teams, meaning 9 guaranteed games and you only have to find 1 other game.

Its either that or all of us end up with schedules that don't make sense.

UMHB - 2 NAIA school (flight last year), 1 D2 team (flight) and UWW (flight last year)
HSU - 2 NAIA schools, and Chapman (flight)
HPU - 1 NAIA school and Pacific (assume flight next year)
ETBU - 1 NAIA school

Lyon - 1 NAIA school and playing Hendrix twice due to championship weekend
Hendrix - All D3 but playing Lyon twice
Austin - Playing Centenary 3 times and Westgate Christian
Centenary -  Playing Austin 3 times and Westgate Christian
TLU - All D3 but playing McMurry 2 times
McMurry - All D3 but playing TLU 2 times and either flew to Huntingdon or had a very long bus ride

Next year both of us will need more games if neither are going to play round robin, STOP THE MADNESS!
#11
Quote from: Ralph Turner on November 12, 2025, 02:41:59 PMI wonder if UMHB had 1 more win versus a 4-6 or 5-5 at best McMurry would make the difference.
Will Schreiner field a team next year?

I asked Logan Hansen about that last week and he said that if UMHB had played McMurry and Brevard (or similar teams) instead of the NAIA teams and won then we would have been most likely just in with a 7-2 record instead of 5-2.
#12
Quote from: Ron Boerger on November 10, 2025, 09:09:27 PM
Quote from: Etchglow on November 09, 2025, 10:48:29 PMNot a huge fan of Trinity's stadium because parking is always a pain to find and last time I was there you had to walk to the home side to use the bathroom.

Agree that parking is a pain, especially if you arrive late.  I still dream that we will spend some money on the visitor side for both facilities and to get the visiting team "locker room" out of that ancient pool changing room.  There are now usually portapotties on the visitor side, a food trailer, and you can use the restrooms in the Bell Center next to the baseball field behind the stands.  Not great but some improvement over years past.

There have been talks about building a fieldhouse, but it will probably come at the expense of the non-varsity tennis courts and/or some of the limited student parking next to the outdoor pool.

Don't get rid of the pool room! It didn't happen last year but I remember walking by at half time years ago and got to hear some colorful conversations about what needed to improve if they wanted to win ;D
#13
Quote from: Ron Boerger on November 09, 2025, 10:50:45 AMGenerally speaking, UMHB wants a bunch of teams above them in the Pool C chase to lose.  Trinity losing by itself doesn't elevate UMHB.

Some prognosticators say Trinity's in even with a loss since they're so high now, but I think UMHB fans are happy to see Trinity lose regardless ;D

Maybe I am wrong but I think many UMHB fans think of Trinity as a worthy adversary (I know I do), so the only way I would hope for them to lose is if it does help us or we are playing you of course  ;D
#14
#1 and #2 is obviously important but I am more concerned with the tie breakers for 4-6. Most people would assume TLU will beat Lyon but if Austin can beat Centenary, will AC & Centenary be forced to play a 3rd time and in back-to-back weeks?
#15
Agreed on all count UMHB03.

One thing is for sure is this defense is so much different with a healthy Gaige Sanders and Brandon McGruder, we have always relied on the front 4 to do so much that without them our defense was fine but with them and an improved offense we at least can down swinging against HSU.