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Messages - Ralph Turner

#1
National topics / Re: Top 25 Discussion
Today at 12:00:59 AM
Week #9 and we are down to 42 teams receiving votes. The voters are winnowing the chaff.

The Top 25 teams received 97.4276 % of the votes. Only 209 votes were not awarded to the Top 25 teams.

In week #8, there were 43 teams which received votes. Only 312 votes did not go to the Top 25 teams. The Top 25 received 96.16% of the vote.
#2
National topics / Re: 2025 Playoffs
Yesterday at 07:47:22 PM
Thanks Dick.

I appreciate your re-assessment. With 23 at large bids, we are so deep into the pack, that the bubble teams can run the numbers on that game that they should not have lost and moan all off-season or for seniors, the rest of their lives. It was less objective in the Regional Rankings days, and the  experts at D3baseball.com would have real disagreements with the final 2-3 selections at large. (They were understandable objections, but nevertheless the committee ruled.)
#3
National topics / Re: 2025 Playoffs
Yesterday at 04:28:07 PM
Dick, please elaborate. Also please consider the Receiving Votes teams in your comments.
Thx.
#4
Quote from: DagarmanSpartan on Yesterday at 01:40:33 PMWow.

The highest ranked NESCAC team is only 67?  I would have thought that that would be a better baseball conference.
My thought is that it is a down year. Either that or the coaches and ADs reassess their nonconference games.

But they may already had a general impression of their schedules and it truly is a down year.

Look at the Little East. No one is setting the world ablaze over there.
#5
Quote from: CruFrenzy on April 28, 2025, 05:19:17 PMI didn't say he lead the nation in passing yards. But there's a case to be made.

Top 5 best QBs in NO PARTICULAR order from 2024

Zac Boyes - Cortland State
Syverson - SJU
Luke Lehnen- NCC
Kaden Brown - ETBU
Simptimphelter - John Carroll
I wonder how he would have done with the supporting cast that Luke Lehren or Zac Boyes had.
#6
New York Region / Re: BB: SUNYAC
April 28, 2025, 03:34:14 PM
Here is my run of the Pool C's thru 04/27. Assume Cortland has the Pool A.

Pool C's thru the 04/27 NPI run

7) Salisbury
9) Rowan
10) UW-Lacrosse
17) Millsaps
21) CMS

22) Maryville
24) Emory
25) Concordia Texas
26) UW Oshkosh
28) Chicago

29) Randy Mac
30) Wash U St L
31) Ramapo
33) McMurry
35) Ohio Northern

36) Oswego
38) Pomona-Pitzer
39) Babson
40) Gettysburg
41) Piedmont

42) Montclair State
43) Keystone
44) Bethel MN
________________
45) Shenandoah
47) Wittenburg

48) Buena Vista
50) Cal Lu
52) Rutgers Camden
53) TCNJ
55) Spalding

Look at that; thru #44, there were 21 Pool A bids and 23 Pool C bids, with 20 Pool A bids to be awarded.

With Post-season conference tourneys, I have no idea how high up the bubble extends. Going 2-and-BBQ in a post-season tourney may destroy your NPI.
#7
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
April 28, 2025, 02:09:13 PM
Copy-and-pasted from Ron Boerger on the Playoffs board

NPI updated thru 4/27:

6. La Verne (was 5) Pool A
12. Trinity (15) Pool A
21. CMS (16)
25. Concordia (32)
33. McMurry (42)
38. P-P (50)
The bubble begins at #45.
______________
50. CLU (45)
51. ETBU (34) Pool A
57. Redlands (56)
78. UMHB (113)
91. UPS (88) Pool A

I see UPS and McMurry being flown to SoCal and P-P being flown to San Antonio.

My best guess at the brackets would be UPS vs LaVerne and McM at CMS

ETBU at Trinity and P-P versus CTX.

#8
National topics / Re: 2025 Playoffs
April 28, 2025, 02:01:22 PM
Pool C's thru the 04/27 NPI run

7) Salisbury
9) Rowan
10) UW-Lacrosse
17) Millsaps
21) CMS

22) Maryville
24) Emory
25) Concordia Texas
26) UW Oshkosh
28) Chicago

29) Randy Mac
30) Wash U St L
31) Ramapo
33) McMurry
35) Ohio Northern

36) Oswego
38) Pomona-Pitzer
39) Babson
40) Gettysburg
41) Piedmont

42) Montclair State
43) Keystone
44) Bethel MN
________________
45) Shenandoah
47) Wittenburg

48) Buena Vista
50) Cal Lu
52) Rutgers Camden
53) TCNJ
55) Spalding

Look at that; thru #44, there were 21 Pool A bids and 23 Pool C bids, with 20 Pool A bids to be awarded.

With Post-season conference tourneys, I have no idea how high up the bubble extends. Going 2-and-BBQ in a post-season tourney may destroy your NPI.
#9
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
April 27, 2025, 08:09:22 PM
The other thing is the damage sustained in the postseason tourneys.
#10
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
April 27, 2025, 09:52:10 AM
I think ETBU must earn the Pool A.
Let's see the NPI after today.
#11
McMurry does finishes the regular season the way that it must, sweeps of UOz and Centenary LA.
They are the 3rd seed. They need to see how much boost going 17-3 in the second half of the season gives them in the NPI. I still believe that they need to go at least 2-2 in the SCAC tourney to earn a Pool C bid.
#12
https://mcmurrysports.com/news/2025/4/24/general-laura-lange-named-new-womens-basketball-head-coach.aspx

Hopefully, Coach Lange can continue the success. As a West Texan, hopefully she will be happy to be a great success at McMurry and not leave for other pastures.
#13
1 PP loss and Redlands clinches 4th.
#14
National topics / Re: 2025 Playoffs
April 23, 2025, 01:17:35 PM
Tip of the hat to D3Follower...

I am away from my database so I am not sure if I failed to detect an error in my working draft.

Brockport is E8.
Cortland is SUNYAC.

That may give us one more Pool C bid.

#15
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
April 21, 2025, 11:40:43 PM
After running the NPI numbers tonight, I am more pessimistic on Region 10 outcomes for Pool C.

SCIAC - I believe ULV and CMS are locks, but Cal Lu, PP or Redlands need to win the tourney. Maybe only 1 Pool C bid

SCAC - Trinity is in. CTX needs to go 2-1 vs St Thomas and at least 1-2 in the conference tourney. McMurry needs to sweep Centenary and then go at least 2-2 in the tourney to get a Pool C. St Thomas must win the tourney. Maybe only 1 Pool C bid.

ASC- ETBU can get a Pool C bid if they lose to someone, but I do not see that happening. Whose year is it to host post-season tourneys this year in round 1? Men or Women? Anyway, I see ETBU men going on the road, regardless. I doubt a Pool C bid.

NWC - Whomever, but I certainly do not look forward to catching Whomever University in the regional. No Pool C bid this year.

That might mean 2 fly-ins