Quote from: WUPHF on Yesterday at 06:33:00 PM[Clicks around see the exclusive content coverage of the Selection Show and tournament field]

Narrator: it was only later that he remembered that Flo does not get to broadcast a single game from the tournament so they will be covering their Division I and Division II clients instead.

If you look at the "news" section of the conference pages on FloCollege.com, you will find exactly one article that acknowledged any of the conference tournaments, and that was a barebones post of information for the MBB Landmark tourney prior to the semifinals. Nothing about the rest of the conference tournaments, nothing about any WBB conference tournament, nothing about the UAA regular season champions/AQs.

So much for all that press release fluff about exclusive content elevating the profile of these programs and highlighting the student-athletes.

Quote from: D3BBALL on Yesterday at 02:47:59 PM

Quote from: ziggy on Yesterday at 02:31:52 PM

Quote from: D3BBALL on Yesterday at 02:16:35 PMDoes it work the exact same for the 4 UAA teams? The top-rated conference in the country by NPI and 3 teams in the top 10 in the country all in the same bracket, makes ZERO sense. You just don't do that. 2 yes, just like last year, 3 that is not right to those teams or the conference. Wouldn't even be a consideration in D1 to have all 3 together. It just the cheap and easy way out, but not the right thing for d3 basketball.

Yes, Emory, Chicago and WashU pods are exactly where you would expect their overall NPI rank to be in a 1-64 bracket. Just as the Trinity (CT), Wesleyan and Tufts pods are.

Diverging from true seeding because teams from the same conference could meet in the Sweet 16 would be crazy.

I was just told by someone if Wesleyan had beaten Trinity yesterday, and even with them moving up NPI wise, that all 3 NESCAC's would still have been the exact same. So Trinity/Wesleyan still protected thru elite 8, but all 3 in the same bracket.

If Wesleyan had beaten Trinity (CT) yesterday, Wesleyan would have finished NPI #6 and Trinity NPI #3. So while they still would have been bracketed together at opposite sides of a quadrant, it likely would have been without Tufts. Jumbos are still the #9 overall seed but still line up well geographically for natural seeding with #8, who would have been Endicott in that scenario.

Quote from: D3BBALL on Yesterday at 02:16:35 PMDoes it work the exact same for the 4 UAA teams? The top-rated conference in the country by NPI and 3 teams in the top 10 in the country all in the same bracket, makes ZERO sense. You just don't do that. 2 yes, just like last year, 3 that is not right to those teams or the conference. Wouldn't even be a consideration in D1 to have all 3 together. It just the cheap and easy way out, but not the right thing for d3 basketball.

Yes, Emory, Chicago and WashU pods are exactly where you would expect their overall NPI rank to be in a 1-64 bracket. Just as the Trinity (CT), Wesleyan and Tufts pods are.

Diverging from true seeding because teams from the same conference could meet in the Sweet 16 would be crazy.

Quote from: deiscanton on Yesterday at 01:49:43 PM

Quote from: ziggy on Yesterday at 01:33:09 PM

Quote from: D3BBALL on Yesterday at 01:18:24 PMFirst complaint, how do they put Trinity and Tufts and Wesleyan all in the same bracket. The announcer just said, it's good that Tufts and Wesleyan can't meet until elite 8, that is wrong they will meet in sweet 16 and then a potential Trinity vs Tufts/Weslyan in elite 8, makes no sense at all.

Trinity (CT), Wesleyan and Tufts are actually bracketed perfectly true to overall seeding. I understand NESCAC fans won't really like it but I take this happening as a great development.

Actually, Pat Coleman got the NPI ranking of Tufts mixed up with the NPI ranking of Endicott when he did the commentary this afternoon on the Selection Show.     Since Wesleyan is ranked #8 in NPI, and Tufts is ranked #9 in NPI, Tufts and Wesleyan can play against each other in the Sweet 16 for the right to go to Fort Wayne, IN.    Endicott is ranked #7 in NPI, so Endicott is protected, and Wesleyan is protected, but not Tufts. 

Right, that is what I was saying. If you make a perfectly seeded 1-64 bracket, Trinity (CT), Wesleyan and Tufts are exactly where they should be based on their final NPI ranking. Now that we have clear 1-64 seeding for all tournament teams based on NPI, I am exceedingly encouraged to see that show up in the bracket instead of moving off of that because 1, 8 and 9 come from the same conference.

Quote from: D3BBALL on Yesterday at 01:18:24 PMFirst complaint, how do they put Trinity and Tufts and Wesleyan all in the same bracket. The announcer just said, it's good that Tufts and Wesleyan can't meet until elite 8, that is wrong they will meet in sweet 16 and then a potential Trinity vs Tufts/Weslyan in elite 8, makes no sense at all.

Trinity (CT), Wesleyan and Tufts are actually bracketed perfectly true to overall seeding. I understand NESCAC fans won't really like it but I take this happening as a great development.

Quote from: Greek Tragedy on Yesterday at 12:27:13 PMIs the selection/bracket show on NCAA.com? I didn't see anything listed.

They always do such a bad job of making it easy to find exactly what the url or right page will be. They really should dual-post the video to NCAA.com and YouTube. Easy to set it up as a premier so that people can't jump ahead.

Quote from: raiderpa on Yesterday at 11:03:07 AMIs there any information as to whether Flosports will cover OAC tourney games?

No, FloSports does not have any rights to NCAA Tournament games. Tournament games will be available through the NCAA streaming platform, until the quarterfinals when games will stream on ESPN+.

Amherst goes in as at-large #19/21. Otterbein was last team in, Johns Hopkins was second-to-last.
Would have survived another upset or two.

Quote from: SpringSt7 on March 01, 2026, 06:37:33 PMCongrats to Amherst who has been in the tournament for a month despite all of our best efforts to comment their way out of the dance!

I tried telling you all!

The automatic qualifiers
The at-large bids
The Top 8 protected seeds
The Top 16
It's all set.

Join us as we reveal the #d3hoops field, top seeds, first four/next four out and see how it could all fit together in a mock bracket.
https://youtu.be/QaWIbSCLQfE

The automatic qualifiers
The at-large bids
The Top 8 protected seeds
The Top 16
It's all set.

Join us as we reveal the #d3hoops field, top seeds, first four/next four out and see how it could all fit together in a mock bracket.
https://youtu.be/QaWIbSCLQfE

Quote from: Greek Tragedy on March 01, 2026, 11:42:55 AMSo, I guess you want Johns Hopkins to win anyway, but we don't lose an At-large bid if they lose.

This is not necessarily true if you are Otterbein or Elmhurst.

Quote from: NEhoops on March 01, 2026, 09:50:43 AMThe teams listed below are the last five projected to get an large bid. Johns Hopkins controls their own destiny. It feels like this is over simplifying things, but if there is one bid thief Otterbein would be out, two would eliminate Otterbein and Amherst and so on. Open to more expert opinions.

Johns Hopkins   
UW-Platteville   
WPI   
Amherst   
Otterbein   

The last team in if everything broke their way today would be Elmhurst. That means all of St. Thomas, Endicott, Redlands, Babson and Johns Hopkins winning.

Latest projections here: https://d3datacast.com/npi/mbb-projections/

I will continue pointing people to the min/max NPI values seen in our simulations on the projections page as a good way to size teams up compared to each other. As of this morning, Amherst showed a max NPI value lower than the min NPI value for both Platteville and WPI so it is sure those two will stay ahead of Amherst in the pecking order. The same analysis gives Amherst the advantage over Otterbein and Elmhurst.

It's harder to tell where things stand if Johns Hopkins loses today as their max NPI is skewed by the fact they could win today. Min NPI values and overall at-large odds suggest Amherst would have a small advantage.

Tune in to a special D3 Datacast livestream at 1 pm ET as we break it all down: https://youtube.com/live/0sGNNoyvbrw

Big day tomorrow! The scenarios are starting to look quite clear with one day left.

We'll go live on our YouTube channel at 1 pm ET on Sunday to talk through where things stand and what needs to happen for those on the bubble and others jockeying for Top 8/Top 16 seeds.

Here is the stream link, we'd love to have you stop by: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0sGNNoyvbrw

Quote from: Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan) on February 28, 2026, 12:42:07 PM

Quote from: ziggy on February 28, 2026, 10:22:59 AM

Quote from: Greek Tragedy on February 28, 2026, 08:40:18 AMAt the 7:39 update, JCU moves up to At-large 20. A loss probably drops them back out. Denison is nowhere near consideration.

I was just digging into the scenario here by making use of the minimum NPI values that showed up in our simulations this morning for where it looks like the cut line will be.

Elmhurst: 60.780
VWU: 60.630
JCU: 60.589
UWO: 60.398
TCNJ: 60.309

So with a loss, John Carroll probably stays behind Elmhurst if they lose to IWU, falls behind Virginia Wesleyan, stays ahead of Oshkosh, and stays ahead of TCNJ if they lose to Montclair St.

This assume the worst case scenario, right?  So, like, TCNJ could lose and Wesleyan (who they beat) could win two games this weekend and jack up their NPI?

Yes, worst case, as seen in that run of simulations, for all mentioned. There are certainly ways things could break more favorably than that for everyone, but it's a convenient proxy for sizing up teams who are still playing with teams who are done.

Teams that are done will have tighter ranges to their projected final NPI whereas teams that are still playing will have higher average and max values because they could win their next game, but the min NPI necessitates a loss in their next game.