https://youtu.be/UXcgYNnZf_8?t=12

Week 10 Hive picks...

Washington	31%	Gettysburg	31%	Draw	38%
Dickinson	55%	Muhlenberg	7%	Draw	38%
Swarthmore	10%	Haverford	48%	Draw	41%
F&M	10%	McDaniel	76%	Draw	14%
Hopkins	93%	Ursinus	0%	Draw	7%
Hood	3%	Messiah	76%	Draw	21%
Union	31%	St Lawrence	48%	Draw	21%
Denison	90%	John Carroll	0%	Draw	10%
Brandeis	0%	Chicago	90%	Draw	10%
Southwestern	0%	Trinity TX	90%	Draw	10%

Both McDaniel and Muhlenberg beat Gettsyburg, so would Gettysburg be out? But Gettysburg beat Hopkins, so would Hopkins be out?

We talked about it on the pod. It's head to head, then they look at results vs. the table in descending order. So assume the following:

Dickinson (W vs. Muhl) - 19
Washington (T vs. Getty) - 14
Muhlenberg (L vs. Dick) - 13
Gettysburg (T vs. Wash) - 13
Hopkins (T vs. Ursinus) - 13
Haveford (T vs. Swat) - 13
McDaniel (W vs. F&M) - 13

In this scenario, to break the 13pts tie, you would look at:
Results vs Dickinson.  They all lost.
Then look at results vs. #2 Washington.  Muhl tied, Getty tied, Hop lost, Haverford tied, McDaniel tied, so Hop would be odd team out.

This is why all the games matter this weekend, because whoever finishes 2nd is going to have a huge impact on how the tiebreaker plays out. And as I said, it's VERY possible that Haverford finishes 9-0-10 and is the odd man out in the tie breaker,

Not very Saint-like of these schools to be leading the red card category:

Red Cards:

1    St. Scholastica    7
2    Lewis & Clark    6
-    Principia    6
-    St. Joseph's (Brkln)    6
5    Mt. St. Joseph    5
-    St. Mary's (MD)    5
-    St. Thomas (TX)    5

I'm sure not everyone listens to the SC podcast, but this week we talked about Haverford who currently sit at 9-0-9. If they draw this weekend with Swarthmore, they'll finish the year undefeated at 9-0-10 and there's a good chance they'll miss the Centennial playoffs and their season will be over. 

All I'm saying is show me you belong there by actually doing something in the regular season. Take Bowdoin last year. 7-5-5, and those 7 wins were nothing special.
 
U New England (5-8-5)
Colby (6-8-1)
Husson (8-6-4)
Wheaton (6-5-7)
Trinity (2-13)
St. Joseph's ME (8-8-3)
U. So. Maine (2-10-6)

That's just weak sauce.

Quote from: paclassic89 on October 29, 2025, 11:18:48 AM

Quote from: kansas hokie on October 28, 2025, 11:01:57 PM

Quote from: phinnyindia on October 28, 2025, 07:36:49 PMWhat are the chances Hamilton sneaks into the National tournament Kansas Hokie?

Hamilton is going to be a sort of interesting team. They have only one more game now and I have that as a win. That will give them a final NPI of 55.784 which is going to be very very close to the cut line. Hamilton fans will want to cheer for no "bid stealers" (unexpected conference tourney champions). Cheer hard for Bowdoin to win NESCAC as that's Hamilton's only team they beat that it's in the conference tourney. After that, Wesleyan and Middlebury would be good. Ithaca winning their conference also would help. Any small bump up could be the difference. There will be wiggles up and down as the games come in. Should be interesting.

Hamilton doesn't have any more games left.  They won't make the tourney nor should they.  A team with a .567 winning % that didn't even make their conference playoffs getting an at large would be a travesty

The only difference between this year's Hamilton team (7-5-3) and last year's Hamilton team (7-5-3) is that last year they made the conference playoff and got thumped in round 1. 

I tend to offer little commentary when it comes to teams out west (including TX) since I know so little about them. On paper this looks like a great game. Trinity 13-1; Southwestern 14-0-3. Both are undefeated in SAA so it has huge implications.

But something I did notice, and chose not to mention on the pod is that Trinity is 42-1-6 vs. Southwestern and haven't lost since 2013, despite outshooting them 38-4 in that game.

Does Southwestern have a legit shot here?

Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 27, 2025, 07:52:10 PMGreat, great episode! Very true as to Cent Conf. All games mean a lot to all 10 teams.

Fyi 4 teams play on Friday night and the other 6 on Saturday. So don't miss those.

In 2022, the Centennial went from 5 to 6 teams for the first time. In 2021, F&M had to beat Hop to end up in the top 5 which they did.

I think this is  the first year all 5 games mean something with 6 qualifying. Last year the Swat Ford meant only something to both teams since they were eliminated.

W&L plays Bridgewater on Wednesday and are in 2nd and 3rd

4 points for a win!.5 for a tie!

Thanks! 

And I do hate all the ties. If Haverford finishes the season 9-0-10 and misses the playoffs, I think you'll see future years will feature a more aggressive approach to finding a goal rather than settling for a draw.

Quote from: Rcjh2245 on October 27, 2025, 07:16:30 PM

Quote from: SimpleCoach on October 24, 2025, 07:27:00 PMHere is the latest hive episode.

Enjoy!

SC.

NCAC tournament is top 4 only.

That's right. I knew there was a reason I was originally interested in including NCAC games. Unfortunately I simply ran out of time before having the opportunity to look closely. That OWU/Kenyon matchup will be a big game. 

Week 10:
https://forms.gle/SruMSn3qXnPyCPdV8


Week 9 Standings:

Pithed2	70
NJACguy	60
CrossIt4Fun	50
paclassic89	50
Kansas Hokie	45
NEPAFAN	45
FCGrizzliesGrad	35
Go SCOTS!	35
Njay	35
oacalum	35
RandyMy	35
2Short&2Slow	30
Chasjo62	30
EJay	30
Freddyfud	30
Ih8Massey	30
Rcjh2345	30
BigSoccerFan	25
fromagesuisse	25
fromNCwithluv	25
Go Pirates!	25
Jerseyfran	25
SimpleCoach	25
T-Bears	25
TJF	25
TigerGoal	25
The Simplest Coach	20
Urbana#17	20
Birdie	15
CharmCity	15
Prospect Farms	15
SKUD	15
PitchPerfect	10
Recon	10
uninformed	10
Cookie	5
Local	5

Overall Standings:

NJay	335
FCGrizzliesGrad	325
paclassic89	305
Rcjh2345	285
Recon	280
fromNCwithluv	280
2Short&2Slow	265
Go SCOTS!	260
Urbana#17	265
SimpleCoach	270
pithed2	260
Local	265
PitchPerfect	255
Chasjo62	260
Jerseyfran	250
SKUD	240
NEPAFAN	250
EJay	235
Kansas Hokie	230
CrossIt4Fun	240
NJACguy	235
TigerGoal	220
fromagesuisse	220
Hopkins Walk-On	220
Birdie	220
Tjf	215
oacalum	205
Cookie	205
jball	200
Ih8Massey	180
The Simplest Coach	170
nefutbol90	175
BigSoccerFan	170
BlueJay95	160
cruyff18	155
CharmCity	155
T-Bears	150
jfreddys	140
Mr_November	125
TheRealSimpleCoach	115
Prospect Farms	115
OPMCH	110
uninformed	105
Oscarmyers30	90
Bizarro SimpleCoach	85
slt1369	75
Freddyfud	65
Randymy	60
D3SoccerDad	40
d3ma	40
SierraFD3soccer	35
MuleKicker	35
Nutmeg43	25
Go Pirates!	25
Billyc	25
bamaheartdoc	25
SkyGazer	20
VASoccerDad	15
Thanna7	10
ShoreSoccerDad	10
ExiledInTexas	5

The hive speaks...

WEEK 9
Chicago	16%	Emory	57%	Draw	27%
WashU	30%	Emory	35%	Draw	35%
Bates	11%	Middlebury	65%	Draw	24%
Wheaton	92%	Coast Guard	3%	Draw	5%
Buffalo	51%	Plattsburgh	14%	Draw	35%
Catholic	30%	Scranton	38%	Draw	32%
LVC	46%	Stevens	43%	Draw	11%
Messiah	46%	Stevenson	30%	Draw	24%
Lynchburg	43%	W&L	32%	Draw	24%
St Olaf	60%	Augsburg	24%	Draw	16%

don't forget to enter this week's pool. Lots of good games...

https://forms.gle/QFNcipseKtKtBCa56

And Dickinson tied Hopkins, so you still have 3 undefeated teams in the Centennial

Dickinson 10-0-6; 4-0-3 
Muhlenberg 8-0-8; 3-0-4
Haverford 9-0-8; 2-0-5