Regular season recap:
Biggest surprise: Salve Regina 18-7 (11-5). I had them missing the playoffs, but they ended in 3rd place. In my defense I hadn't done a deep enough dive on their roster to realize they had 2 D1 xfers (prior school wasn't listed) in Margoupis (UAlbany) and Malvey (UNH). Margoupis' foot injury likely cost them the 2 seed. He led the league in scoring (20.2) when he went down.
Biggest disappointment: Emerson 9-16 (5-11). I did have a disclaimer on my preseason prediction regarding McNamara after he missed a year. He slowly worked back into the rotation but was not the same player from 2 years ago. He may have a grad year remaining. The other senior guard, Armant didn't step up. I also can't understand why junior Shay Roban doesn't get more minutes. He's instant offense. And then there's some evidence of dysfunction I've witnessed on the sideline (I'll leave that there).
2nd biggest disappointment: Coast Guard 8-17 (4-12). I was worried about their small roster (12). Then they lost Colin Huang (no longer listed), a guy who killed Babson in last year's playoffs. Not enough pieces to recover from that.
3rd biggest disappointment: Clark 12-13 (7-9). They limped into the playoffs, losing their last 6. They've lost Pridgen to injury for the last 4. He's a key piece. Young roster making young roster mistakes, but they could still make the semis.
Easiest call: WPI winning the regular season 21-4 (14-2). I don't go stat crazy when considering individual accolades, but Molen would be my POY. He's top ten in scoring, rebounding, and assists. Newman would be my repeat for DPOY. Credit to everyone for doing the work in the weight room and the focus they place on defense.
Biggest coaches poll error: MIT. In fairness to first-year coach BJ Dunne he didn't have time to recruit his first class. But 6-19 (2-14) is a continuation of the last 5 year slide. Believe it or not they were ahead or tied in a half dozen losses with 5 minutes to play (including Tufts) and kept finding imaginative ways to lose.
I woke up this morning seeing that the D3 Datacast guys (love their work) give Babson 19-6 (13-3) a 99% chance of making the field of 64, even if they don't get the AQ. Unexpected achievement to say the least. You'd have to go back more than 10 years to find a squad that achieved this success organically. While they have 2 xfers, both were lost to injury and haven't played since Jan. 1. They went 13-2 down the stretch without xfers. Mulvey (15.9 ppg; 2nd in the country with 3.46 3's per game) and Ferdinando (16.6 ppg) account for 42% of team scoring and are arguably the most under-the-radar guard tandem in New England. And they're just SO/FY. Ferdinando is a stud, and sitting at 416 points has an outside shot at 500 points as a FY. For reference, Joey Flannery had 513 as a FY in 27 games @ 19 ppg.
Massey SOS rankings (some room for improvement):
Emerson 70
Babson 74
MIT 76
Clark 88
Springfield 96
WPI 154
Coast Guard 160
Wheaton 166
Salve Regina 167
No predictions for the NEWMAC playoffs. I'm just going to enjoy the games.
Biggest surprise: Salve Regina 18-7 (11-5). I had them missing the playoffs, but they ended in 3rd place. In my defense I hadn't done a deep enough dive on their roster to realize they had 2 D1 xfers (prior school wasn't listed) in Margoupis (UAlbany) and Malvey (UNH). Margoupis' foot injury likely cost them the 2 seed. He led the league in scoring (20.2) when he went down.
Biggest disappointment: Emerson 9-16 (5-11). I did have a disclaimer on my preseason prediction regarding McNamara after he missed a year. He slowly worked back into the rotation but was not the same player from 2 years ago. He may have a grad year remaining. The other senior guard, Armant didn't step up. I also can't understand why junior Shay Roban doesn't get more minutes. He's instant offense. And then there's some evidence of dysfunction I've witnessed on the sideline (I'll leave that there).
2nd biggest disappointment: Coast Guard 8-17 (4-12). I was worried about their small roster (12). Then they lost Colin Huang (no longer listed), a guy who killed Babson in last year's playoffs. Not enough pieces to recover from that.
3rd biggest disappointment: Clark 12-13 (7-9). They limped into the playoffs, losing their last 6. They've lost Pridgen to injury for the last 4. He's a key piece. Young roster making young roster mistakes, but they could still make the semis.
Easiest call: WPI winning the regular season 21-4 (14-2). I don't go stat crazy when considering individual accolades, but Molen would be my POY. He's top ten in scoring, rebounding, and assists. Newman would be my repeat for DPOY. Credit to everyone for doing the work in the weight room and the focus they place on defense.
Biggest coaches poll error: MIT. In fairness to first-year coach BJ Dunne he didn't have time to recruit his first class. But 6-19 (2-14) is a continuation of the last 5 year slide. Believe it or not they were ahead or tied in a half dozen losses with 5 minutes to play (including Tufts) and kept finding imaginative ways to lose.
I woke up this morning seeing that the D3 Datacast guys (love their work) give Babson 19-6 (13-3) a 99% chance of making the field of 64, even if they don't get the AQ. Unexpected achievement to say the least. You'd have to go back more than 10 years to find a squad that achieved this success organically. While they have 2 xfers, both were lost to injury and haven't played since Jan. 1. They went 13-2 down the stretch without xfers. Mulvey (15.9 ppg; 2nd in the country with 3.46 3's per game) and Ferdinando (16.6 ppg) account for 42% of team scoring and are arguably the most under-the-radar guard tandem in New England. And they're just SO/FY. Ferdinando is a stud, and sitting at 416 points has an outside shot at 500 points as a FY. For reference, Joey Flannery had 513 as a FY in 27 games @ 19 ppg.
Massey SOS rankings (some room for improvement):
Emerson 70
Babson 74
MIT 76
Clark 88
Springfield 96
WPI 154
Coast Guard 160
Wheaton 166
Salve Regina 167
No predictions for the NEWMAC playoffs. I'm just going to enjoy the games.