Menu

Show posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.

Show posts Menu

Messages - GU1999

#1
Big shout out to my Panthers on back to back SLIAC All-Sports trophies.

GU, over its 13 SLIAC sports, averaged 9.15 points, with 11 first place finishes.  That does not include the two tennis teams who were 1st and 2nd in the UMAC, the men winning the opening round of the NCAA d3 Tennis tournament. Additionally there were very strong showings for the mens and womens gymnastics teams, the latter having national collegiate gym champion and 3rd place individual winner. 

Next year GU adds golf.  So, here comes a few last place finishes.  :)

https://sliac.org/news/2025/5/16/general-greenville-repeats-as-all-sports-champion.aspx
#2
West Region / Re: BB: Top Teams in West Region
May 07, 2025, 12:48:22 PM
Quote from: Teddy_Ballgame on May 06, 2025, 01:37:40 PM
Quote from: Riley Zayas on May 05, 2025, 09:03:33 PM
Quote from: Teddy_Ballgame on May 05, 2025, 07:13:58 PM
Quote from: Ron Boerger on May 05, 2025, 06:46:16 PMIt's a strict numerical formula.  The non-pool A teams will be selected in ranked numerical order until no pool C bids remain.

Sure, but who controls the formula, the data it's being fed, and the results it spits out? I won't accept any rankings or values I disgree with unless Frank Pericolosi or Scott Winterburn can replicate the alleged rankings with a calculator and graph paper.

Nobody is "controlling" the formula. It's a numerical formula that has been publicly published to the public. And there is no way for the committee to change that formula in any form or fashion. The data is purely the results of all D3 games, so there's no manual input of any results into the system.

I only say that because the idea that the committee could manipulate data to somehow alter who gets in is just false. As we've seen in fall and winter sports, NPI can be replicated to a T by non-committee members (such as Matt and Zac Snyder and Scott Peterson), which tells you that it's a completely straightforward approach from the NCAA based purely on the NPI information that has been published.

I dunno, still smells fishy to me. Why would a comic book moviemaker be evaluating allegedly "unbiased" numeric numeral formulas involving numbers for D3 baseball rankings? Sounds like they're just trying to slap  a big name on the process to give it credibility.

You say this formula is publicly published to the public. Well, I'm the public, and they didn't publish it to me. And guess what? The SCIAC is comprised completely of private institutions. Maybe that's why they seem to have a target on their back.......

We can go back and forth all day with our opinions about what they're doing behind closed doors with this "formula", but until the NCAA is willing to show us what's under the hood and provide some transparency in the process, I'll keep my head in the sand thank you very much.
I read this and laughed thinking to myself, this guy is doing a pretty funny bit.  Then i read the response and now I am not sure.  Anyway, thanks for the laugh i guess.
#3
Top 4 Seeds Only:

1) MSOE
18 - 6 in conference
RF/RA v. Tournament qualifiers - 112 - 89 for a record of 11 and 3.
RF/RA v. T4 - 51-20 for a 6 and 0 record

2) Aurora
16 - 8 in conference
RF/RA v. Tournament qualifiers - 69 - 51 for a record of 8 and 6.
RF/RA v. T4 - 28 - 20 for a 3 and 3 record

3) Concordia (Chicago)
16 - 8 in conference
RF/RA v. Tournament qualifiers - 81 - 79 for a record of 7 and 7.
RF/RA v. T4 - 19 - 24 for a 2 and 4 record

4) Ben U.
13 - 9 in conference
RF/RA v. Tournament qualifiers - 91 - 119 for a record of 8 and 6.
RF/RA v. T4 - 12 - 46 for a 1 and 5 record
#4
Great Breakdown Captain Joe. 

Looking forward to seeing how things shake out, but my best guesses are that the double byes go to:

MSOE (Only need to win one against Lakeland) & CUC (have to win both tomorrow v. CUW or lose tiebreak to Aurora)

The single byes go to:
Aurora & Ben U.

Fun games yesterday:

MSOE takes D1 Milwaukee to the brink 3 - 2. 
CUC beats U Chicago (RV) 7 - 5.


#5
Not that anyone thought that this years NACC would yield an at large selection, but this nice NCAA published resource gives a look into the selection math, RPI style.

https://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/44396?utf8=%E2%9C%93&commit=Submit
#6
Quote from: GU1999 on April 28, 2025, 12:48:36 PMCrazy week for CUC DH, Jake Mahler (Vernon Hills, Jr.)

In four games he wen 11/17 with 5 doubles, a HR and two walks.

.647/.684/1.471

OPS of 2.155

CUC put up an eye popping week in general with 56 runs scored and 7 allowed in their four wins.

Award went to Stagowski from RKFD.  Also had a good week over 6 games, but the numbers certainly would favour Mahler who had more hits, a higher Average, OBP%, SLUG%, OPS% and his team won all four games.  The only telling stat that tipped toward Stagowski is that he had 8 xbh, 6 doubles and 2 HR to Mahlers 5 doubles and 1 HR... in two extra games.
#7
Crazy week for CUC DH, Jake Mahler (Vernon Hills, Jr.)

In four games he wen 11/17 with 5 doubles, a HR and two walks.

.647/.684/1.471

OPS of 2.155

CUC put up an eye popping week in general with 56 runs scored and 7 allowed in their four wins.
#8
After 9 innings played (over two games) CUC has scored 29 runs at IIT. 
#9
4/23 projections:
St. Norbert and WL - Split
CUC at IIT - CUC takes both
Aurora at Dominican - Aurora takes two as their top starters are currently going in the midweek games.
Lakeland at Edgewood - Edgewood takes both
Marian at Rockford - Split
MSOE at CUW - Split

4/26 projections:
CUC at WL - CUC takes both
Dominican at Edgewood - Split
Ben U at Marian - Split
Aurora at MSOE - MSOE takes both
Rockford at St. Norbert - Rockford takes the both
IIT at CUW - CUW takes both

Projected Standings at the end of the week:
MSOE 18-13 15-5
Concordia Chicago 15-7
Aurora 17-14 14-8
Benedictine 12-8
Marian 11-9
Rockford 11-9
Concordia Wisconsin 11-9
Edgewood 11-9
Wisconsin Lutheran 9-11
Dominican 7-13
Illinois Tech 6-14
St. Norbert 6-14
Lakeland 4-16
#10
I was at the Thunderdome yesterday.  Stunning day.  All credit to RKFD, they came with a hitting plan and they executed.  9 XBH in game one (4 HR) and the homer in the 11th inning of the second game was the longest HR I have seen in my three years watching games at CUC.  Went through the tops of the trees on the other side of Division St.  Would not surprise me if it hit the houses on a fly.  K. Bergstrom (Jr. Harlem HS), who hit that bomb, is a real problem.  He hit his 10th and 11th HR yesterday. 
#11
Great analysis.  I am reading it largely the same. 

I throw it out there that...
St. Norbert sweeps Lakeland.
CUC grabs both.
BenU also grabs both.
AU and IIT split.
CUW and Marian split.
MSOE and Edgewood split.
#12
After doing a review of the balance of the season and the matchups still to be played, my April 11th predictions for the balance of the season is below.  I have now seen 6 of these teams live and have watched others on a screen and followed the scores. I know that I am probably totally off, but thought it would be fun to throw down a marker.

1) Aurora - 10 - 2 rest of the way (projected NACC record 19-5) - Two very good starters.  Defense is stellar. 
2) MSOE - 12 - 4 (Projected NACC record 18 - 6) All new team this year, but they are still good.
3)CUC - 10 - 2 (projected NACC record 17 - 7) Pitching Staff is VERY deep.  Allowing 3 rpg in conference play and they have played Aurora, MSOE and Ben U already.
4)Ben U 10 - 2 (15 - 9) Slow start, but they are putting it together now and given their schedule down the streach will climb the standings.
5)CUW - 8-6 (13-11) tourney qualifying team from last year.  Will finish strong despite a tougher schedule still ahead of them.
6)Edgewood - 8-6  (13-11) Will be an interesting battle for playoff spots with Marion. 
7) Marian - 6 - 8 (13-11)
8) IL Tech - 6 -10 (11 -13)
9) WI Lutheran - 3 - 11 (10 -14)
10) Rockford 4 - 10 (7 - 17)
11) Dominican - 3 - 9 (7 - 17)
12) St. Norbert - 5 - 9 (6-18)
13) Lakeland - 1 - 11 (5-19)



#13
Quote from: Captain_Joe08 on March 31, 2025, 06:19:44 PM4/1

Dominican at Lakeland (DH) Dominican takes them both
Aurora at Rockford (DH) Aurora takes them both
Benedictine at Concordia Chicago (DH)CUC takes them both in the biggest match up of the day
Wisconsin Lutheran at Concordia Wisconsin (DH)CUW gets both
Marian at Edgewood (DH)Split of these two
St. Norbert at MSOE (DH)MSOE takes two

Not a fully formed opinion yet, but I think that this league has 5 contenders (not in any particular order):
AURORA
BEN U
MSOE
CUW
CUC


After this week, I will put together a rating system for the contenders.
#14
Another NACC v. CCIW match up today with CUC playing @ North Central. 3p.   
#15
Aurora and BenU probably are the class of the league.  Rockford seems to be a bit of iron pyrite.
 Feasting on lesser competition.  Dominican could be a suprise team to me.  They look to have put of come good wins early winning two at Hendrix. 

My team, CUC, could do some damage this year.  Pitching depth looks good and the line up is really experienced. Florida trip revealed some strong starting options.  Got good wins against Massey top 85 teams in Carthage and Grove City and is currently 3 - 0 against the CCIW.