Another in my series of previews of games involving Region X teams
#13/#18 (NPI) Southwestern v. #184 (NPI) Hardin-Simmons at Southwestern on Saturday 11/14 at 3 pm central
It is curious that this is the game in the Texas pod that does not involve a re-match. Not only did Southwestern and Hardin-Simmons not play each other this season in a non-conference game, but they haven't played each other since 2023. Before that, they played each other quite often, facing each other 18 times between 2000 and 2023. Part of that is Southwestern's move to the SAA, which left them with more non-conference games to schedule, but all the SCAC teams as potential opponents along with hosting teams like Lynchburg and La Verne this season. Hardin-Simmons also has fewer non-conference slots because of the ASC moving this season to a double round robin.
The teams do have some common opponents. Hardin-Simmons lost to Texas Lutheran 5-1 on 9/18, lost to Trinity 4-0 on 9/20, and beat East Texas Baptist 3-1 on 10/8, 2-1 on 10/15, and 4-1 on 11/8, while Southwestern lost to East Texas Baptist 3-1 on 9/4, beat Texas Lutheran 2-0 on 9/11 and tied Trinity 0-0 on 10/6. These are wildly different outcomes depending upon opponent, but I would chalk it up to timing. Hardin-Simmons started out slow (when it was crushed by Texas Lutheran and Trinity) and finished strong (when it beat ETBU) and East Texas Baptist started out strong in September (when it beat Southwestern) and finished poorly in October/November (when it lost to H-S three times).
Hardin-Simmons is coming in hot, having gone unbeaten in 7 games with 5 wins in a row, but all of those games have been in-conference and the ASC is not particularly strong. Southwestern had gone 15 games unbeaten before losing on a late goal to Rhodes in the SAA semifinals. Southwestern once again struggled for lack of offense, offering only 3 shots on goal, including 0 shots of any kind in the first half.
I expect Southwestern to be motivated as a result of its loss to Rhodes, but it might play into Hardin-Simmons' hands if they are overly aggressive on the offensive front. Hardin-Simmons has kind of specialized in bunkering and launching counters as part of their mid-season turnaround. They have given up 8 goals in the last 10 games after giving up 21 goals in the first 8 games of the season. Against Mary Hardin-Baylor, they only took 6 shots, compared to 28 for UMHB, but scored on a goal by Jaxon Shaffer, who came back from injury right around when Hardin-Simmons started turning its season around. He scored all 6 of his goals in those last 10 games, often providing a speedy outlet on the right wing for the counter attacks.
One interesting note is that H-S rotates its goalkeepers, with Joel McPherson typically starting and Joaquin Sanchez coming on in the second half. I think more schools would be better served by doing that, but in this case when Sanchez comes on it will be interesting to see if Southwestern adjusts its offensive strategy at all. Defender Cooper Pero is already Southwestern's second leading scorer with 6 goals, but at 6'4" against 5'8" Sanchez, the mismatch is obvious on set plays. H-S doesn't have a lot of height on the back line to protect Sanchez either, with MF Noah Halpin the tallest regular starter at 6'3", but I'm not sure he can physically stay with Pero. They have some big defenders on the bench, but they are freshmen.
#13/#18 (NPI) Southwestern v. #184 (NPI) Hardin-Simmons at Southwestern on Saturday 11/14 at 3 pm central
It is curious that this is the game in the Texas pod that does not involve a re-match. Not only did Southwestern and Hardin-Simmons not play each other this season in a non-conference game, but they haven't played each other since 2023. Before that, they played each other quite often, facing each other 18 times between 2000 and 2023. Part of that is Southwestern's move to the SAA, which left them with more non-conference games to schedule, but all the SCAC teams as potential opponents along with hosting teams like Lynchburg and La Verne this season. Hardin-Simmons also has fewer non-conference slots because of the ASC moving this season to a double round robin.
The teams do have some common opponents. Hardin-Simmons lost to Texas Lutheran 5-1 on 9/18, lost to Trinity 4-0 on 9/20, and beat East Texas Baptist 3-1 on 10/8, 2-1 on 10/15, and 4-1 on 11/8, while Southwestern lost to East Texas Baptist 3-1 on 9/4, beat Texas Lutheran 2-0 on 9/11 and tied Trinity 0-0 on 10/6. These are wildly different outcomes depending upon opponent, but I would chalk it up to timing. Hardin-Simmons started out slow (when it was crushed by Texas Lutheran and Trinity) and finished strong (when it beat ETBU) and East Texas Baptist started out strong in September (when it beat Southwestern) and finished poorly in October/November (when it lost to H-S three times).
Hardin-Simmons is coming in hot, having gone unbeaten in 7 games with 5 wins in a row, but all of those games have been in-conference and the ASC is not particularly strong. Southwestern had gone 15 games unbeaten before losing on a late goal to Rhodes in the SAA semifinals. Southwestern once again struggled for lack of offense, offering only 3 shots on goal, including 0 shots of any kind in the first half.
I expect Southwestern to be motivated as a result of its loss to Rhodes, but it might play into Hardin-Simmons' hands if they are overly aggressive on the offensive front. Hardin-Simmons has kind of specialized in bunkering and launching counters as part of their mid-season turnaround. They have given up 8 goals in the last 10 games after giving up 21 goals in the first 8 games of the season. Against Mary Hardin-Baylor, they only took 6 shots, compared to 28 for UMHB, but scored on a goal by Jaxon Shaffer, who came back from injury right around when Hardin-Simmons started turning its season around. He scored all 6 of his goals in those last 10 games, often providing a speedy outlet on the right wing for the counter attacks.
One interesting note is that H-S rotates its goalkeepers, with Joel McPherson typically starting and Joaquin Sanchez coming on in the second half. I think more schools would be better served by doing that, but in this case when Sanchez comes on it will be interesting to see if Southwestern adjusts its offensive strategy at all. Defender Cooper Pero is already Southwestern's second leading scorer with 6 goals, but at 6'4" against 5'8" Sanchez, the mismatch is obvious on set plays. H-S doesn't have a lot of height on the back line to protect Sanchez either, with MF Noah Halpin the tallest regular starter at 6'3", but I'm not sure he can physically stay with Pero. They have some big defenders on the bench, but they are freshmen.