Re: Middlebury. The Panthers have been garnering less and less attention on the boards in recent weeks (and years). Perhaps rightfully so. Our days as a perennial conference contender graduated with Sobel and have't returned since. It's been a challenging start to the conference season, but between the less than ideal conference record and difficult offensive and defensive spurts, there's reason for optimism.
The pros:
Player development: Coming into this year, it was largely unclear who was going to shoulder the load of offensive production. The senior group (Flaks, Witherington, McKersie, etc.) have extensive experience playing meaningful basketball deep into the doldrums of Winter, but none have been historically relied on to artificially manufacture points or scoring opportunities outside the bounds of the offensive scheme. Each have been positive contributors this year, but from the upperclassman, it's been predominately Cwlanina, and perhaps more surprisingly, Murray, who have developed into dependable and formidable offensive weapons this year. We're all familiar with what Cwalina brings to the table in the form of scoring and outside shooting (believe he gave Emory a run for their money last year), but Murray's been a rarity of sorts in his ability to attack downhill and finish around the rim - something the Panthers have been acutely lacking in recent years. He played sparingly as a freshman and was used to fill minutes his sophomore year (2.3ppg). He's been the most consistent player for the Panthers this year and has clearly come into an identity of his own. These are two guys you can build off. Morrison has also been a bright spot this year.
Freshman: Ducree jumps off the board from a statistical standpoint. He's fearless in all offensive aspects of the game - Goldsmith has clearly given him the leash to hunt for his own opportunities - he takes (and makes) low-percentage shots, and will develop a feel for the game over time that will allow him to turn into a true offensive force. JF has an endless motor that converts loose balls into scoring opportunities and half court defensive rebounds into fast break opportunities. I trust Goldsmith is keeping a few of the freshman in his back pocket until they can develop. In terms of freshman production across the league, I think Midd stacks up nicely.
Offensive capabilities: I can't recall the last time I saw a team make 15+ threes a game with such ease. They have 5-6 players who are dangerous marksmen - the problem has been identifying which is in rhythm each game. The impressive (sometime frustrating) piece is that they all seem to be either (i) collectively in rhythm or (ii) collectively out of rhythm. I suppose that's the sort of team unison that you hope for. Not often can teams score both 100+ points in regulation and follow it up with an uninspiring 60 pt slogfest. The Panthers have an objectively dangerous background, that's deeper than it looks. Rarely does a team bring their two leading scorers off the bench. I was skeptical at first but have come to terms with it.
The bad:
Defense: I originally thought it was effort. But it's not. They try! They just cannot seem to stop the ball from going in the basket. They play as five individuals, each trying, but not as a units. Their rotations are slow and often wrong. They get beat on the perimeter constantly. It's not a recipe for success in the low possession NESCAC games that adhere to the play style of the better teams in the conference. That said, Middlebury has had some great teams in recent years that played generally lackluster defense. I envisioned that Goldsmith would wring this out upon arrival (and am sure he's trying his hardest), but this is clearly embedded into the fabric of the team. Not having a great rim protector hurts them as well.
Consistency: Like I said above. I'm frequently impressed how easy this team scores points - the three point line turns into the land of milk and honey in most out of conference home games. Sometimes, they have nothing going whatsoever. It hurts that regardless of the game, they take difficult shots regardless. That said, I don't think we'll be afflicted with the same offensive plague that seems to have infected Williams.
I do think this team makes the NESCAC playoffs, and I do think they drum up some chaos in the midst of that. They've played the hardest four games (I think) and I think need to go 4-2 going forth - which is doable. A big one this weekend with Williams for senior night - we are firmly in "must win" territory
The pros:
Player development: Coming into this year, it was largely unclear who was going to shoulder the load of offensive production. The senior group (Flaks, Witherington, McKersie, etc.) have extensive experience playing meaningful basketball deep into the doldrums of Winter, but none have been historically relied on to artificially manufacture points or scoring opportunities outside the bounds of the offensive scheme. Each have been positive contributors this year, but from the upperclassman, it's been predominately Cwlanina, and perhaps more surprisingly, Murray, who have developed into dependable and formidable offensive weapons this year. We're all familiar with what Cwalina brings to the table in the form of scoring and outside shooting (believe he gave Emory a run for their money last year), but Murray's been a rarity of sorts in his ability to attack downhill and finish around the rim - something the Panthers have been acutely lacking in recent years. He played sparingly as a freshman and was used to fill minutes his sophomore year (2.3ppg). He's been the most consistent player for the Panthers this year and has clearly come into an identity of his own. These are two guys you can build off. Morrison has also been a bright spot this year.
Freshman: Ducree jumps off the board from a statistical standpoint. He's fearless in all offensive aspects of the game - Goldsmith has clearly given him the leash to hunt for his own opportunities - he takes (and makes) low-percentage shots, and will develop a feel for the game over time that will allow him to turn into a true offensive force. JF has an endless motor that converts loose balls into scoring opportunities and half court defensive rebounds into fast break opportunities. I trust Goldsmith is keeping a few of the freshman in his back pocket until they can develop. In terms of freshman production across the league, I think Midd stacks up nicely.
Offensive capabilities: I can't recall the last time I saw a team make 15+ threes a game with such ease. They have 5-6 players who are dangerous marksmen - the problem has been identifying which is in rhythm each game. The impressive (sometime frustrating) piece is that they all seem to be either (i) collectively in rhythm or (ii) collectively out of rhythm. I suppose that's the sort of team unison that you hope for. Not often can teams score both 100+ points in regulation and follow it up with an uninspiring 60 pt slogfest. The Panthers have an objectively dangerous background, that's deeper than it looks. Rarely does a team bring their two leading scorers off the bench. I was skeptical at first but have come to terms with it.
The bad:
Defense: I originally thought it was effort. But it's not. They try! They just cannot seem to stop the ball from going in the basket. They play as five individuals, each trying, but not as a units. Their rotations are slow and often wrong. They get beat on the perimeter constantly. It's not a recipe for success in the low possession NESCAC games that adhere to the play style of the better teams in the conference. That said, Middlebury has had some great teams in recent years that played generally lackluster defense. I envisioned that Goldsmith would wring this out upon arrival (and am sure he's trying his hardest), but this is clearly embedded into the fabric of the team. Not having a great rim protector hurts them as well.
Consistency: Like I said above. I'm frequently impressed how easy this team scores points - the three point line turns into the land of milk and honey in most out of conference home games. Sometimes, they have nothing going whatsoever. It hurts that regardless of the game, they take difficult shots regardless. That said, I don't think we'll be afflicted with the same offensive plague that seems to have infected Williams.
I do think this team makes the NESCAC playoffs, and I do think they drum up some chaos in the midst of that. They've played the hardest four games (I think) and I think need to go 4-2 going forth - which is doable. A big one this weekend with Williams for senior night - we are firmly in "must win" territory