Recent posts

#21
Who's still master of his/her domain?  This could be a record-setting year!
#22
Quote from: D3fanboy on Yesterday at 01:17:06 PM
Quote from: emma17 on Yesterday at 01:09:10 PM
Quote from: Bofadeeznuts on Yesterday at 12:51:01 PMI'll bet on whitewater to cover every week. This team is the best. I love them. They will run the table. NCC and Mount don't stand a chance. Rest of the WIAC is so weak. This might be the greatest d3 team ever assembled.
Lets pound some _ock together!!!

If only you were funny.

I am very offended that posters made the comparison between myself and this guy

That was me and my apologies. I own my mistake. You are right. There's really no similarity. I will learn from this...
#23
Quote from: Pat Coleman on Yesterday at 04:11:26 PMYou can't reward a road win for the visitor without taking it from somewhere. 1.1-0.9 is relatively small, I think.


Here is a great example of what current formula gives us.
Bethel beat St. John's (4-1) at home and Gustavus (1-4) on the road.
St. John's NPI = 62.525 #29.  Gustavus NPI = 42.842 #166.
Almost a 20 point difference in NPI. 137 position difference in rank.

Bethel Game NPI for beating St. John's = 71.681
Bethel Game NPI for beating Gustavus = 72.276

These may change but it doesn't matter, assume 2 teams who end the season with these NPI's. You can just plug numbers into the formula and see the different results.
#24
This week is going to tell a lot about the conference. The current leaders for both the sun and surf play this weekend based off current standings. 1's being Cal Lu and Chapman. 2's being Redlands and PP. The 3's being La Verne and CMS.


All three home teams looks to be playing homecoming games this weekend. Not sure of the homecoming atmosphere over at CMS but Cal Lu and Redlands will bring better crowds and uplifted energy, which will keep the games close.

(Home) Cal Lu - 17 / Chapman 27
(Home) Redlands - 20 / PP -21 (If Russo plays this goes to 31)
(Home) CMS - 29 / La Verne - 7
#25
Quote from: Pat Coleman on Yesterday at 04:11:26 PMYou can't reward a road win for the visitor without taking it from somewhere. 1.1-0.9 is relatively small, I think.

The win value for Wheaton is 78.97. For NCC win at home you deduct 10% so game NPI is 71.073. Difference of over 7 points. If you divide that by 5 or 6 games your talking over 1 point on overall NPI.

If you can't go 1.0 then something lower then 10%.

If you look at home wins across the D3 universe they look like they're capped because even if the NPI increases  your only using 60% of NPI and then you deduct 10% from the win value (40 + SOS + QWB).


#26
You can't reward a road win for the visitor without taking it from somewhere. 1.1-0.9 is relatively small, I think.
#27
Men's soccer / Re: 2025 Weekly D3 Soccer Pool
Last post by Ejay - Yesterday at 04:04:20 PM
Week 8 predictions from the hive...

Quote
Bowdoin19%Wesleyan43%Draw38%
Vassar24%Hobart49%Draw27%
Montclair St38%Rowan43%Draw19%
Brandeis54%Rochester32%Draw13%
Salisbury14%CNU62%Draw24%
Macalester16%Gust Adolphus70%Draw14%
DePauw32%OWU35%Draw32%
Trinity78%Sewanee14%Draw8%
Loras32%Wartburg19%Draw49%
JHU46%F&M16%Draw38%
#28
My recommendation for improving NPI ;D

Change win/sos from 40/60 to 30/70.
Change home win multiplier from .9 to 1.0.

I understand rewarding an away win. I don't understand punishing a home win. In the home win I believe you should capture the true value of beating your opponent which is their win value (Win + SOS + QWB).