FB: Michigan Intercollegiate Athletic Association

[KnightSlappy]

Hypothetical question (and I'm not overlooking any of the upcoming games):

Should Hope and Adrian win out (meaning an Alma loss in the final game of the MIAA) we would have a 3 way tie for first at 6-1.  So what is the tie-breaker to determine the automatic qualifier in that kind of scenario?  I would assume that with the same MIAA record, and the losses coming from each other, you have to then go to non-league record (which would eliminate Alma) but Adrian and Hope are still tied.  At that point does Hope get it for beating Adrian head-to-head? Do we at some point go to higher NPI?  Do we anticipate 2 playoff bound teams if we have have two 9-1 teams?

According to Logan Hansen's Simulation Summary Tool:
https://loghan.shinyapps.io/hansen-ratings-diii-football-season-simulation-distributions/

Adrian and Hope would almost certainly each get in with only one loss.

These are mutually exclusive events, but Adrian, Alma, Hope, and Calvin all seem to be in position to make the playoff with high probability if they win out. Of this group only Hope probably still has some life with an additional loss.