Pool C

[deiscanton]

The D3Datacast computer has now done an unofficial updated run of the NPI numbers through games of Saturday, March 1, 2025.  It was conducted on Sunday, March 2,  at 12:14 AM ET.


These projections are as if selections were occurring as of this post and not occurring later today. 

D3Datacast's Projected Last 7 In based on NPI and NPI ranking through games of Saturday, March 1, 2025

1.)  #29-- TCNJ-- 61.674
2.)  #33-- Guilford-- 61.285
3.)  #34-- U.Chicago-- 61.213
4.)  #35-- Catholic-- 61.144
5.)  #37-- Gettysburg-- 60.454
6.)  #38-- Trinity (Texas)-- 60.199
7.)  #39-- Gustavus Adolphus-- 60.041

D3Datacast's Projected First 7 Out based on NPI ranking and NPI numbers through games of Saturday, March 1, 2025

1.) #40-- Virginia Wesleyan-- 59.855
2.) #42-- Whitworth-- 59.788
3.) #43-- Anderson-- 59.758
4.) #44-- Trine-- 59.696
5.) #46-- Nebraska Wesleyan-- 59.409
6.) #48-- UW-Stevens Point-- 59.263
7.) #50-- Johns Hopkins--59.104

[deiscanton]

The NCAA DIII Men's Basketball Committee has released the official NPI rankings summary report for games played through Saturday, March 1, 2025.  It is available at http://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/43137

With all of the games of the UAA double round robin now completed, NYU now has the AQ tag next to its name.  I had noticed that the AQ tag next to NYU was missing from the previous NPI summary reports this week and asked Brandeis men's basketball coach Jean Bain, who is the RAC rep for the UAA to the DIII Men's Basketball Committee, to look into this when I was at Brandeis yesterday for the NYU at Brandeis doubleheader to conclude UAA play for the season.

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

The list of teams not locked in pool A yet (* play today for pool A)

NESCAC runner-up (Wesleyan/Trinity)
Emory
UW-La Crosse
Randolph-Macon
Tufts

Hampden-Sydney
Chris Newport
WPI
Hamilton
WashU

*Roanoke (ODAC vs Guilford)
*Wisconsin Lutheran (NACC vs St Norbert)
*St Thomas (SCAC vs Trinty (TX))
Ramapo
*Cal Lutheran (SCIAC vs CMS)

Carthage
Stockton
*Franklin & Marshall (CC vs Johns Hopkins)
Redlands
TCNJ

*Guilford (ODAC vs Roanoke)
-------
Chicago
Catholic
Gettysburg
*Trinity (TX) (SCAC vs St Thomas)
Gustavus Adolphus
Virginia Wesleyan
Whitworth

[FCGrizzliesGrad]

With St Thomas, F&M, and Guilford winning today that moved Chicago, Catholic, and Gettysburg into the top 21. Trinity's loss moves Gustavus onto the bubble and rooting for Cal Lutheran to beat C-M-S. CMS is winning by 10 midway through the 2nd half.

[deiscanton]

The D3Datacast computer has now done the final unofficial run of the NPI numbers through games of Sunday, March 2, 2025.  It was conducted on Sunday, March 2, at 8:03 PM ET.

In addition, the NCAA DIII Men's Basketball Committee has released the official NPI Ranking Selections Report which has confirmed these final numbers.  It is available at http://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/43154

Congratulations to the at-large teams selected by the NPI rankings into the NCAA Division III Men's Basketball Championship, and commiserations to those teams left out.

The official Last 7 In based on NPI and NPI ranking through games of Sunday, March 2, 2025

15.)  #26-- Redlands-- 62.120
16.)  #28-- Wisconsin Lutheran-- 61.755
17.)  #29-- Cal Lutheran-- 61.747
18.)  #30-- TCNJ-- 61.626
19.)  #34-- U.Chicago-- 61.269
20.)  #35-- Catholic-- 61.138
21.)  #37-- Gettysburg-- 60.465

The official First 7 Out based on NPI ranking and NPI numbers through games of Sunday, March 2, 2025

1.) #38-- Gustavus Adolphus-- 60.063
2.) #39-- Virginia Wesleyan-- 59.975
3.) #41-- Anderson-- 59.758
4.) #42-- Whitworth-- 59.732
5.) #43-- Trine-- 59.708
6.) #44-- Trinity (Texas)-- 59.618
7.) #45-- Nebraska Wesleyan-- 59.421

The first 14 at-large teams officially selected by the NPI rankings tonight

1.) #1-- Wesleyan-- 73.762
2.) #5-- Emory-- 66.858
3.) #6-- UW-La Crosse-- 66.270
4.) #7-- Randolph-Macon-- 65.605
5.) #8-- Tufts-- 65.215
6.) #11-- Hampden-Sydney-- 64.394
7.) #12-- Christopher Newport-- 64.009
8.) #15-- WPI-- 63.761
9.) #16-- Hamilton-- 63.511
10.) #17-- WashU-- 63.325
11.) #18-- Ramapo-- 62.877
12.) #22-- Carthage-- 62.283
13.) #23-- Roanoke-- 62.273
14.) #25-- Stockton-- 62.233

[deiscanton]

Men's bracket announcement has been delayed to 12:30 PM ET, as announced on NCAA.com

[Greek Tragedy]

https://d3datacast.com/npi/

Here's today's Pool C bids according to the d3datacast crew

1. Emory - UAA
2. Trinity CT - NESCAC
3. Mary Wash - C2C
4. Tufts - NESCAC
5. Redlands - SCIAC
6. La Crosse - WIAC
7. NYU - UAA
8. Franklin and Marshall - CC
9. Trinity TX - SAA
10. Amherst - NESCAC
11. Platteville - WIAC
12. Wash U - UAA
13. Otterbein - OAC
14. Scranton - LAND
15. Oshkosh - WIAC
16. Bates - NESCAC
17. Brandeis - UAA
18. Whitewater - WIAC
19. Johns Hopkins - CC
20. Babson - NEWMAC
21. Roanoke - ODAC


22. Carthage - CCIW
23. John Carroll - NCAC
24. Elmhusrt - CCIW
25. Concordia TX - SCAC

Barring bid thieves...

WIAC - 4
NESCAC - 4
UAA - 4
CC - 2
C2C - 1
SCIAC - 1
SAA - 1
OAC - 1
LAND - 1
NEWMAC - 1
ODAC - 1

[Ralph Turner]

Playing the what-ifs, after 20 games, how much difference in a team's NPI is a loss converted to a win? Thanks.

[Greek Tragedy]

Depends. Platteville lost to Point not too long ago and they didn't even move. La Crosse won this week and actually lost a position in the rankings and Pool C category. Depends who you play and what happens around you, I guess.

[Ralph Turner]

Depends. Platteville lost to Point not too long ago and they didn't even move. La Crosse won this week and actually lost a position in the rankings and Pool C category. Depends who you play and what happens around you, I guess.

Thanks for the comment, which is why I am asking about the change in the "index".

Do you recall what change occurred in the Platteville and UWSP indices with the outcome of the game?

I remember last year, baseball's NPI was very good at getting good teams into the Pool C position.

[Greek Tragedy]

Sorry, I'm not that smart and that's above my pay grade.

[KnightSlappy]

Depends. Platteville lost to Point not too long ago and they didn't even move. La Crosse won this week and actually lost a position in the rankings and Pool C category. Depends who you play and what happens around you, I guess.

Thanks for the comment, which is why I am asking about the change in the "index".

Do you recall what change occurred in the Platteville and UWSP indices with the outcome of the game?

I remember last year, baseball's NPI was very good at getting good teams into the Pool C position.

In Men's basketball the difference between a win and a loss is 25 plus QWB divided by adjusted games played. So, in 20 GP, a win to a loss would change a team's NPI by about 1.250 - 1.500.