2015 South Atlantic Region

Started by lastguyoffthebench, September 06, 2015, 09:56:07 PM

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Flying Weasel

Hard to get a handle on Kean due to that weak non-conference slate.  I figured they would be found out by Rutgers-Camden, but with that win you can't dismiss them.  We'll have to see if they can maintain this with the remaining NJAC schedule.

lastguyoffthebench


NJAC Standings
Kean                  3-0    1.000     12    3   11-1-0    0.917     49  8     9-1                      Won 9
Montclair State   3-0    1.000        9    2   11-1-0     0.917    48 10    9-1                       Won 5
Rutgers-Camden 3-1    0.750        9   5    8-2-1       0.773    31 10    7-2-1                    Lost 1
Rutgers-Newark  3-1    0.750        8   9   10-3-0       0.769    33 18     9-1                      Won 2
Rowan                2-1    0.667      10   2     9-2-0       0.818    38 11     8-2                     Won 1
Stockton             2-1    0.667        5  4    8-3-0       0.727    23 11    7-3                      Won 1

Looking like a definite 3 bid league with a chance for a 4th...

lastguyoffthebench


10/6
Frostburg St at Mary Washington


10/7
Haverford at Rutgers-Camden
Salisbury at St. Mary's
Rowan at Swarthmore
Rutgers-Newark at FDU-Florham


10/10
MSU at Rowan
Frostburg St at CNU
Kean at WPU (upset special)
Washington U at Emory
Rutgers-Newark at Stockton
Mary Washington at York
NCW at Maryville
Lynchburg at Virginia Wesleyan
Methodist at Covenant

lastguyoffthebench

#33
The NCAA Regional Rankings will be released October 22.  Plenty of matchups beforehand that could certainly shift the placement of teams.  According to the Pre-Championship Manual, only 7 schools will be ranked.   I would expect the NJAC to be highly featured with the start to the season thus far.

1.  MSU     11-1-0 (RvR: 2-1; Ws - Haverford, Stockton. L - Oneonta St).
2.  RUC       8-2-1 (RvR: 2-1-1; Ws - Cabrini, Rowan. L - Salisbury. T - CNU).
3.  CNU       8-0-3 (RvR: 0-0-2; T - RUC, *Lynchburg)
4.  Rowan    9-2-0  (RvR: 2-2; Ws - Messiah, RUN, Ls - SLU, RUC)
5.  Salisbury 6-3-0 (RvR: 2-1; Ws - RUC, MM, Ls - Eastern)
6.  Stockton 8-3-0 (RvR: 0-3-0; L - RPI, MSU, Haverford)
7.  TCNJ      6-3-2 (RvR: Ws - Stevens Tech, Drew; Ls - RUN, Kean, Stockton
7.  Lynchburg 6-1-2 (RvR: 0-0-1; T - CNU)
7.  RUN       9-3-0 (RvR: 2-3*; Ws- TCNJ, Cortland St; Ls - MM, UR, Rowan)
7.  Kean     12-1-0 (RvR: 2-0*; RUC, TCNJ if they get ranked)
7.  Maryville 9-1-1 (RvR: 0-1-0; L - MSU)
--------------------------------------------------------------
Pretty clear for the top 5 with about 6-7 teams bunched together fighting for the final 2 spots.

Rutgers-Newark vs a bunch of bubble regional ranked teams:  Merchant Marine, Rochester, Cortland St, JHU, Rowan, TCNJ.  For that reason I would believe they will be anywhere from 5 to unranked.

TCNJ has beaten strong teams in other regions, SIT 2-1 and Drew 3-1, but were beaten by Kean and Stockton 4-1 and 3-1, respectively.

Maryville still has NCW, Greensboro, and underachieving Covenant remaining.  Given there minimal chances at RvR, they cannot afford any blemishes and must win the USA South AQ.


lastguyoffthebench


South Atlantic Overall Rankings as of 10/5/15

1) Kean  12-1 0.923
2) Montclair State  11-1 0.917
3) Maryville (Tenn.)  9-1-1 0.864 
4) Christopher Newport  8-0-3 0.864 
5) Rowan  9-2 0.818
6) Birmingham-Southern  8-1-2 0.818 
7) Frostburg State  8-2 0.800
8) Millsaps  8-2 0.800 
9) Lynchburg  6-1-2 0.778
10)Rutgers-Camden  8-2-1 0.773 31
11)Rutgers-Newark  10-3 0.769 
12)Stockton  9-3 0.750
13)Oglethorpe  7-2-1 0.750
14)Mary Washington  8-3 0.727
15)Washington and Lee  6-2-1 0.722
16)Salisbury  6-3 0.667
17)St. Mary's (Md.)  6-3-1 0.650 
18)Emory  6-3-1 0.650
19)TCNJ  6-3-2 0.636


Most likely the cutoff for ranking the top 7, IMO.   

Mid-Atlantic Fan

I really don't understand how Salisbury is so high in the regional and national rankings. If I disagree with one thing this would be it. There are 5 other teams I would put ahead of Salisbury at #3 in the region and they certainly shouldn't be ranked in the top 25 IMO.

lastguyoffthebench

Wednesday 10.14.15
Ramapo @ New Jersey City   Conference Game  3:00 PM 
Kean University @ Montclair State   Conference Game    7:00 PM   Live Stats
William Paterson University @ Rutgers-Newark   Conference Game  7:30 PM 
Stockton University @ Rowan   Conference Game  7:30 PM  Live Stats   
Rutgers-Camden @ The College of NJ   Conference Game  7:30 PM  Ewing, NJ   


Saturday10.17.15Men's Soccer
Montclair State @ Rutgers-Camden   Conference Game  1:00 PM  Camden, NJ   
Rowan University  @ William Paterson University
College of New Jersey @ Ramapo   Conference Game  1:00 PM  Mahwah, NJ  Live Stats   
Rutgers-Newark @ Kean   Conference Game  7:00 PM  Union, NJ   


Monday10.19.15
Stockton University @ William Paterson   Conference Game  7:00 PM  Wayne, N.J.  Live Stats   


Wednesday10.21.15
The College of NJ  @ New Jersey City   Conference Game  3:00 PM  Jersey City, NJ   
Rowan @ Kean   Conference Game  7:30 PM  Union, NJ 

Mr.Right

Make or break week for Kean and Rowan

lastguyoffthebench


With Camden losing to Randolph (ODAC deja vu from last season's 3-0 loss to Lynchburg at home), MSU becomes a must win.  Slowly beginning to think the UAA is going to get 3 at-large bids.  Those in the South Atlantic should be hoping for Emory to falter.


lastguyoffthebench



MASSEY RATINGS (SOS) as of 10/12/15

1)  MSU (2)  (50)
2)  Rowan (17)  (14)
3)  Stockton (35)  (47)
4)  Rutgers-Newark (39)  (72)
5)  CNU (42)  (145)
6)  Kean (45) (224)
7)  Rutgers-Camden (56)  (52)
8)  Maryville (69)  (257)
9)  Salisbury (75)  (77)
10)Mary Washington (78)  (75)
---------------------------------------
11)TCNJ  (83)  (48)
12)Oglethorpe (89)  (216)
13)Lynchburg (95)  (178)
14)Randolph (99)  (92)
15)Emory  (101)  (157)

Mid-Atlantic Fan

CNU out shooting St. Marys 10-1 with 2 left in the first half but trail 1-0 in the game. Upset alert?

lastguyoffthebench


I didn't even realized Wesley beat CNU....

MASSEY RANKINGS as of 10/19/15 (SOS)

4   MSU  (44)
18 Kean (153)
21 Stockton (49)
28 Rowan (13)
45 Rutgers-Newark (93)
57 CNU (134)
59 TCNJ (47)
63 Salisbury (72)
69 Rutgers-Camden (37)
70 Lynchburg (176)
----------------------------
107 Emory (97)

Mary Washington, W&L, Randolph, York, Ogelthorpe, Maryville, Frostburg St are ahead of Emory in the rankings.




lastguyoffthebench

#42
Kean could be 3-0 vs Ranked if TCNJ and Rutgers-Newark make their way on the list...  They are very close to the .500 SOS, but that will all change once they play Rowan and Stockton, and the NJAC playoffs.


NCAA Rankings Projections

1.  MSU
2.  Stockton
3.  Rowan
4.  CNU
5.  Kean*
6.  Rutgers-Newark
7.  TCNJ

*If Kean is not ranked, slide up TCNJ / Rutgers-Newark and add (Salisbury, Rutgers-Camden or an ODAC school) to the 7th slot.

jknezek

Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 19, 2015, 11:07:03 AM

*If Kean is not ranked, slide everyone up and add Rutgers-Camden or an ODAC school to the 7th slot.

This is getting to be like football where the ODAC has 3 or 4 really good teams, a lot of competitive balance, and because of it no team that anyone things deserves to be ranked. Exciting for conference play, but hard to get recognition without the single outstanding team.

And yes, I also recognize the ODAC teams do not, by and large, play the most outstanding OOC schedule. Or take advantage of it when they do play the top teams.

lastguyoffthebench


Would probably be in this order; Lynchburg, W&L, Randolph.