2025 D3 Men's Soccer National Perspective

Started by stlawus, July 08, 2025, 08:07:50 PM

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SierraFD3soccer

Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 17, 2025, 11:04:05 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 17, 2025, 10:46:48 PMD1 #5 Indiana (9-3-1) beats D3 Hanover (9-3-2), 8-0.

FYI, Indiana with 3 loses and a tie as to being ranked 5 is pretty ridiculous.

deiscanton

#241
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 18, 2025, 05:17:36 PM
Quote from: SierraFD3soccer on October 17, 2025, 11:04:05 PM
Quote from: Ejay on October 17, 2025, 10:46:48 PMD1 #5 Indiana (9-3-1) beats D3 Hanover (9-3-2), 8-0.

FYI, Indiana with 3 loses and a tie as to being ranked 5 is pretty ridiculous.

Actually, Indiana was ranked #14 in the United Soccer Coaches Men's Division I Top 25 at the time of Friday's game with Hanover.  The Hoosiers are #5 in the Division I RPI, however.  Indiana was ranked #1 by the United Soccer Coaches in men's Division I earlier this season when they had a 5-0-1 record. 

Kuiper

#242
UPSET ALERT

Albion (NPI #138) 4 - Calvin 2 (NPI #42) (79th minute)

UPDATE:  Albion 4 - Calvin 3 (89th minute)

FINAL:  Albion 4 - Calvin 3

That's going to hurt Calvin, a team that was already on the bubble.

kansas hokie

yes Calvin was at 42, that loss drops them to the point where they will have to win the conference tourney and their conference is a one-bid conference. No team will have enough quality wins to get into at-large pool unless there's a random high level out of conference win out there still waiting to be played.

Kuiper

#244
UPSET ALERT:

Emerson (NPI #172) 1 - Babson (NPI #43) 0 (83rd minute)

FINAL:  Emerson 1 - Babson 0

Another bubble team with a bad loss.  That's going to put a dent in Babson's hopes of qualifying without winning the NEWMAC.

kansas hokie

This loss would drop Babson to mid-60's in this week's NPI, win out in regular season and they get close again, but a loss in conference tournament (which would be needed for at-large bid) would likely drop them out of at-large contention. Newmac is 1 bid if it's Wheaton, 2 bids if someone beats Wheaton in conference tournament.

Kuiper

One interesting aspect of the NPI is that it demonstrates how influential regions are in NPI scores, almost as influential as conferences.  These teams basically all play each other in non-conference games and that makes a huge difference in establishing SoS baselines for everyone. Near regions also matter, since there is a lot of cross-over in non-conference play

For example, Region I has 12 teams in the top 100 and close-by Region II has 8 and Region III has 12. 

By contrast, Region IV has only 4 teams in the top 100 and Region V has 7.  Moreover, the historically top teams were all down, so that meant that Mid-Atlantic schools that thought they were scheduling strong non-conference opponents may have ended up with much lower SoS even if they were winning those games and everyone was lower because so few teams were playing top SoS schools.

The location of the top performing Regions is also revealing.  Region VII (Ohio/Michigan) and  Region VI (Southeast) are tied for the top, with 14 teams each in the top 100 and Region IX (Upper Midwest), which has 13 teams in the top 100 is just behind them. In effect, the locus of power in the sense of the top 100 is moving North/West and South

Isolation is also a killer.  Region X has only 4 teams in the top 100, which hurts because other than through Trinity and Southwestern (which are counted as Region VI with their shift to the SAA), they mostly only play other teams in Region X when they go non-conference.

Kuiper

#247
Scranton beat Drew 1-0 today to finish the regular season 12-0-5 and 7-0-2 in the Landmark

All of that is great on its own, but this one stat caught my eye.

In 17 games, the team scored 34 goals and conceded only 1 goal

That's a Teams Goals Against Average of .0588 to lead the country.  The next closest Team GAA is Cortland at .294 and third in the nation is Edgewood with .400

Holy Cow!


VASoccerDad

Quote from: Kuiper on October 28, 2025, 10:39:28 PMScranton beat Drew 1-0 today to finish the regular season 12-0-5 and 7-0-2 in the Landmark

All of that is great on its own, but this one stat caught my eye.

In 17 games, the team scored 34 goals and conceded only 1 goal

That's a Teams Goals Against Average of .0588 to lead the country.  The next closest Team GAA is Cortland at .294 and third in the nation is Edgewood with .400

Holy Cow!


Isn't CWRU also at .400?

NEPAFAN

Quote from: Kuiper on October 28, 2025, 10:39:28 PMScranton beat Drew 1-0 today to finish the regular season 12-0-5 and 7-0-2 in the Landmark

All of that is great on its own, but this one stat caught my eye.

In 17 games, the team scored 34 goals and conceded only 1 goal

That's a Teams Goals Against Average of .0588 to lead the country.  The next closest Team GAA is Cortland at .294 and third in the nation is Edgewood with .400

Holy Cow!



THanks! I was trying to figure out why they jumped from 16th to 11th on the latest USC polls..
A school without football is in danger of deteriorating into a medieval study hall.
Vince Lombardi

Kuiper

Quote from: VASoccerDad on Yesterday at 06:05:53 AM
Quote from: Kuiper on October 28, 2025, 10:39:28 PMScranton beat Drew 1-0 today to finish the regular season 12-0-5 and 7-0-2 in the Landmark

All of that is great on its own, but this one stat caught my eye.

In 17 games, the team scored 34 goals and conceded only 1 goal

That's a Teams Goals Against Average of .0588 to lead the country.  The next closest Team GAA is Cortland at .294 and third in the nation is Edgewood with .400

Holy Cow!


Isn't CWRU also at .400?

Case is in 5th at .429 as of 10/27.  That's great too, but I really was only providing a few other team numbers to show how no other team was even close to Scranton defensively this season in terms of allowing goals. 

VASoccerDad

Quote from: Kuiper on Yesterday at 09:14:12 AM
Quote from: VASoccerDad on Yesterday at 06:05:53 AM
Quote from: Kuiper on October 28, 2025, 10:39:28 PMScranton beat Drew 1-0 today to finish the regular season 12-0-5 and 7-0-2 in the Landmark

All of that is great on its own, but this one stat caught my eye.

In 17 games, the team scored 34 goals and conceded only 1 goal

That's a Teams Goals Against Average of .0588 to lead the country.  The next closest Team GAA is Cortland at .294 and third in the nation is Edgewood with .400

Holy Cow!


Isn't CWRU also at .400?

Case is in 5th at .429 as of 10/27.  That's great too, but I really was only providing a few other team numbers to show how no other team was even close to Scranton defensively this season in terms of allowing goals. 

Got it, thanks. So that doesn't account for their win on 10/28 (1-0) which does change their GAA to .400. I know it still pales in comparison to Scranton, but didn't want them left out of the convo.

Kuiper

Quote from: VASoccerDad on Yesterday at 11:31:38 AM
Quote from: Kuiper on Yesterday at 09:14:12 AM
Quote from: VASoccerDad on Yesterday at 06:05:53 AM
Quote from: Kuiper on October 28, 2025, 10:39:28 PMScranton beat Drew 1-0 today to finish the regular season 12-0-5 and 7-0-2 in the Landmark

All of that is great on its own, but this one stat caught my eye.

In 17 games, the team scored 34 goals and conceded only 1 goal

That's a Teams Goals Against Average of .0588 to lead the country.  The next closest Team GAA is Cortland at .294 and third in the nation is Edgewood with .400

Holy Cow!


Isn't CWRU also at .400?

Case is in 5th at .429 as of 10/27.  That's great too, but I really was only providing a few other team numbers to show how no other team was even close to Scranton defensively this season in terms of allowing goals. 

Got it, thanks. So that doesn't account for their win on 10/28 (1-0) which does change their GAA to .400. I know it still pales in comparison to Scranton, but didn't want them left out of the convo.

Yeah, I only updated Scranton because that was the focus of the post.  Scranton's was .062 as of 10/27.  Here is the complete list, which I usually post on the NCAA Stats thread

Teams Goals Against Average as of 10/27

1    Scranton    .062
2    Cortland    .294
3    Edgewood    .400
4    Southwestern (TX)    .412
5    CWRU    .429
6    Haverford    .448
7    Denison    .467
8    Dickinson    .471
9    Lynchburg    .500
-    Tufts    .500

camosfan


Kuiper

These minor adjustments in the last few games just illustrate how insane Scranton's Team GAA is right now.  Quality of opposition is a factor, but it's still impressive.