NPI bubble

[kansas hokie]

Bid stealing championship matchups are set! (times local)

Saturday

WIAC - UW Eau Claire (v. UW Stevens Point, 1pm)
MWC - Lake Forest (V. Grinnell, 1pm)
SUNYAC - Buffalo St.(v. Oneonta, 3pm)
NCAC - Denison (v. Depauw, 3pm)
Landmark - Catholic (v. Drew, 3:30pm)
NJAC - Rowan (v. TCNJ 7:30pm)

Sunday

C2C - Christopher Newport (v. Salisbury, 10am)
SAA - Southwestern (v. Berry, Noon)
Centennial - Dickinson (v. Johns Hopkins TBD) (PK shootout win for Johns Hopkins steals a bid)
Liberty - Hobart (v. Vassar, 1:30 pm)

[kansas hokie]

Here's the bubble as of 4pm Saturday

1) VA Wesleyan
2) Denison if they lose final to Depauw
3) Amherst
4) W&L if they lose ODAC final
5) CNU if they lose C2C final
6) Edgewood
7) Hobart if they lose LL final
8) UW-Whitewater
9) Scranton

The following teams need to win title games or they will fall out...

Buffalo St.
Southwestern
Ohio Northern
Catholic
Dickinson

The top 21 in Friday's NPI are all safely in except CNU.

[Garden12]

Here's the bubble with new Saturday NPI

1) VA Wesleyan
2) Brandeis if they lose to NYU
3) Denison if they lose final to Depauw
4) Lake Forest if they lose final to Grinnell
5) Amherst
6) W&L if they lose ODAC final
7) CNU if they lose C2C final
8) Edgewood
9) Hobart if they lose LL final
10) UW-Whitewater
11) Scranton
12) Hampden Sydney (yes, if armageddon happens, even this bid is not safe)

The following teams need to win title games or they will fall out...

Buffalo St.
Southwestern
Ohio Northern
Catholic
Dickinson

The top 21 in Friday's NPI are all safely in except Lake Forest and CNU.

So if 7 bids are stolen, then CNU would be out etc.?

[kansas hokie]

6 now as Brandeis didn't lose today...CNU would have to lose the title game and then maybe sweat out upsets in conference finals.

Lake Farest up 2-0 and UW-EC up 1-0 is a good start for the bubble teams. Depauw is up on Denison though and that would take a bid and drop Denison right in the middle of the bubble.

[Kuiper]

Here's the bubble as of 4pm Saturday

1) VA Wesleyan
2) Denison if they lose final to Depauw
3) Amherst
4) W&L if they lose ODAC final
5) CNU if they lose C2C final
6) Edgewood
7) Hobart if they lose LL final
8) UW-Whitewater
9) Scranton

The following teams need to win title games or they will fall out...

Buffalo St.
Southwestern
Ohio Northern
Catholic
Dickinson

The top 21 in Friday's NPI are all safely in except CNU.

DePauw beat Denison 3-1

[Chargers96]

Catholic over Drew for Landmark AQ.

[eaglesoccerdad]

C2C Championship has been moved to noon. Should be a tight match

[kansas hokie]

I calculate Denison NPI as 56.545 after their loss and VA Wesleyan is sitting at 56.462 with the ODAC title game certainly going to affect that.

Oneonta beat Buffalo St. but Buffalo St. was already below the bubble. So SUNYAC is a two-bid league now (my error on first post, thanks!)

Rowan v. TCNJ just started and is the last game that could burst a bubble.

Here's the bubble right now as best as I can tell...

1) VA Wesleyan
2) Denison
3) Amherst
4) Washington & Lee (if they lose to Lynchburg, down 2-1 now)

Tomorrow's NPI may shift this order, it's very tight between these teams.

Only 4 more conferences can steal bids...

tonight - Rowan (v. TCNJ)

Sunday

C2C - Christopher Newport (v. Salisbury, Noon)
Centennial - Dickinson (v. Johns Hopkins TBD) (PK shootout win for Johns Hopkins steals a bid)
Liberty - Hobart (v. Vassar, 1:30 pm)

[stlawus]

I calculate Denison NPI as 56.545 after their loss and VA Wesleyan is sitting at 56.462 with the ODAC title game certainly going to affect that.

Oneonta beat Buffalo St. but Buffalo St. was already below the bubble. So SUNYAC is a one-bid league.

Rowan v. TCNJ just started and is the last game that could burst a bubble.

Here's the bubble right now as best as I can tell...

1) VA Wesleyan
2) Denison
3) Amherst
4) Washington & Lee (if they lose to Lynchburg, down 2-1 now)

Tomorrow's NPI may shift this order, it's very tight between these teams.

Only 4 more conferences can steal bids...

tonight - Rowan (v. TCNJ)

Sunday

C2C - Christopher Newport (v. Salisbury, Noon)
Centennial - Dickinson (v. Johns Hopkins TBD) (PK shootout win for Johns Hopkins steals a bid)
Liberty - Hobart (v. Vassar, 1:30 pm)

Pretty sure the SUNYAC is a two bid league with Cortland

[kansas hokie]

New NPI is out with Saturday games included...here's the bubble...

VA Wesleyan is first team out. #35 56.487

Bubble teams:

Denison 32 56.619
W&L 30 56.754
Edgewood 29 56.812


3 games could pop these bubbles...

C2C - Christopher Newport (v. Salisbury, 10am)
Centennial - Dickinson (v. Johns Hopkins TBD) (PK shootout win for Johns Hopkins steals a bid)
Liberty - Hobart (v. Vassar, 1:30 pm)