NPI Rankings

[paclassic89]

Win vs SLU, Win vs Skidmore, and then Draw vs Hobart (lose championship in PKs) is best case scenario and would get them to around 40 using today's NPI rankings.  Account for NPI movement through championship week and they might be able to finish in the high 30's if everything goes their way.  Probably still not good enough but they would be a bubble team

[Kuiper]

NPI Rankings as of 11/2

Not many changes in the Top 50, but two worth noting:

Brandeis drops from 15 to 22 (after losing to Chicago 3-2)
Loras jumps from 53 to 50

[SierraFD3soccer]

If it ended today, there is a chance that the ODAC has 5 teams qualify while the Cent. Conf. has only one.

[kansas hokie]

ODAC has three in for sure it seems (VA wesleyan is the lowest and their season is over, NPI of 56.5 should be high enough).

W&L is going to be tight, may need to win tourney to get in.

Centennial is wild this year...Johns Hopkins 121, F&M 240...definitely a down year with very likely only one bid.

[Another Mom]

Winning the ODAC might be tough, as W&L already lost to Lynchburg. On the other hand W&L is steadily improving, so who knows.

[jknezek]

Winning the ODAC might be tough, as W&L already lost to Lynchburg. On the other hand W&L is steadily improving, so who knows.

Winning 1 more might be enough. Beating H-SC would give them enough SoS to move up, plus I think it would be an adjusted win to allow them to drop a game like Guilford (I'm assuming Regeant is already dropped), which likely has hurt them a bit. They would certainly hop Va Wes, whose season is over. Even a loss in the title game probably wouldn't be too big a deal since it would likely be to highly ranked Lynchburg.

But yeah, the NCAA tournament is in jeopardy because of ties in games they had no business tying. If they had beaten Ogelthorpe and Covenant, as they should have, they'd be miles further up the NPI. Likely will have to beat the Squids to make up for it.

[kansas hokie]

Just ran W&L numbers...Guilford win is already dropped. Can't drop next highest win because it would hurt W&L NPI.

Lose to HSC on Wednesday and today's NPI would be 56.14, right on the bubble.  Win Wednesday and lose to Lynchburg Sunday 56.79, and I think that number is safe to make the tourney.

[kansas hokie]

Top 4 seed conversation....

Tufts - win NESCAC semi, top 4 guaranteed. Lose and 60.42 is NPI number, should be good for top 4 still

Augsburg - loss tonight drops them to 59.74

St. Olaf - lose and no top 4 (semi loss = 58.9; final loss - 59.2), win conference = 60.63

Conn/Wesleyan - NESCAC semi, one jumps up, one falls down. Winner has chance for top 4, but needs to win NESCAC to do it.

Trinity - 60.01 is they beat Southwestern in final. 59.2 is they beat anyone other that Southwestern in final.

Chicago - 59.62 if they beat Wash U

Emory - 59.44 if they beat Rochester

I think that's the only teams that can make the top 4. Tufts, St. Olaf, Trinity, Augsburg is where I think it will land.

[SKUD]

Great info Kansas!

[Kuiper]

NPI rankings as of 11/3

Notable changes:

Augsburg drops from 2 to 3 after losing to St. John's 2-1
St. Olaf jumps from 3 to 2
Gustavus Adolphus jumps from 24 to 16 after beating Bethel (MN) 3-0
Macalester jumps from 25 to 21
Saint John's jumps from 66 to 40 after beating Augsburg 2-1

[Kuiper]

NPI rankings as of 11/4

Notable changes:

Edgewood dropped from 23 to 29 after losing to MSOE 2-0
Roger Williams dropped from 42 to 47 after tying Western New England 2-2
Vassar jumped from 51 to 48 after beating St. Lawrence 4-1

[kansas hokie]

Edgewood, Amherst, and VA Wesleyan all clumped together and season over. Will be interesting to watch if the cut-line gets closer to them OR if they float higher as teams lose in conference tournaments. I think they each will make it.

[Caz Bombers]

Oneonta knocks out Cortland on PKs in the SUNYAC semifinals, that's a bubble pop.

[kansas hokie]

Not really a bubble pop but definitely a big result.

Buffalo St. plays Oneonta in the final, Buffalo St. is in the tourney today so a win by them doesn't change the bubble.

Oneonta win the final? That knocks Buff St. off the bubble so it's a net zero. Only a PK loss could keep Buff St. in the tourney as at large...

Buff St. loses in final to Oneonta - NPI 55.86 (very likely out)
Buff St. ties in final (PK loss) - NPI 56.37 (right on bubble)

Oneonta is in win or go home mode.

[SimpleCoach]

Oneonta knocks out Cortland on PKs in the SUNYAC semifinals, that's a bubble pop.

I don't know, but thought it was a real fun game to watch...

SC.