At-large bids (formerly Pool C)

[Greek Tragedy]

Interesting you mentioned Brandeis, who sits at At-large 32 today. They really have the potential to jump 11 teams with a win vs NYU?

A win at NYU is a far better final game on the resume than will be the case (loss in conference tournament) for anyone else who finds themselves on the bubble.

Beating NYU currently carries a win value of a little over 78 compared to a loss value against Montclair State, for the sake of comparison, of just under 50.

I think this is key: mostly everyone needs a loss here on out to be eligible for an at-large. Brandeis doesn't. So while most at-large candidates (so hard not to type Pool C) are hoping to tread water in NPI by going 2-1 or 1-1, Brandeis (and other UAAs and AQ winners) have opportunity to gain ground.

I don't doubt the opportunity to gain ground and their unique position to not require another loss to be in the At-large pool, but that just seems like A LOT of ground to make up...insurmountable, almost.

[y_jack_lok]

Nice work, to whoever changed the name of this board. Pat Coleman??

[Greek Tragedy]

Bid thieves if they don't win their conference tournament (1 bid conferences):

SCAC - St. Thomas
CNE - Endicott
NJAC - Montclair St
MIAC - Gustavus Adolphus
MACC - Hood
SAA - Trinity TX

Sweating, needs help, gotta win:

NESCAC - Amherst (16): eliminated in 1st rd

ODAC - VWU (19), Roanoke (22)

SCAC - Concordia TX (27)

NJAC - TCNJ (26)

CCIW - Carthage (18), Elmhurst (21)

WIAC - Oshkosh (17)

NCAC - JCU (25)

LAND - Scranton (20), Drew (23)

Multiple bid leagues

UAA - Emory, Chicago, Wash U, NYU

NESCAC - Trinity CT, Tufts, Wesleyan, Bates

C2C - Mary Washington, CNU

OAC - Mount Union, Otterbein

WIAC - Whitewater, Stevens Point, La Crosse, Platteville

SCIAC - Redlands, CMS

CC - Franklin & Marshall, JHU

Scranton lost to Susquehanna. That doesn't bold well.

Elmhurst is up one at HT in their 1st round game vs Carroll.

Oshkosh is down 39-32 at Platteville at the break.

Roanoke wins big.

Virginia Wesleyan holds on.

[WPI89]

Greek - does Babson get in if WPI wins the NEWMAC?

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

Greek - does Babson get in if WPI wins the NEWMAC?

Babson is pretty safe, but obviously you want to make the final to really lock it in.

[ziggy]

Greek - does Babson get in if WPI wins the NEWMAC?

I am biased but I think the best source for answering questions like this is our projections page on D3Datacast.com. (Direct url: https://d3datacast.com/npi/mbb-projections/)

In our latest run of 1,000 simulations, Babson missed the tournament in just two of those. With a loss in the finals Babson had 100% odds.

[Greek Tragedy]

Hey! He was asking ME!! LOL.

I'll always defer to smarter people than me, which is basically everyone.

[KnightSlappy]

Greek - does Babson get in if WPI wins the NEWMAC?

Babson is pretty safe, but obviously you want to make the final to really lock it in.

I agree, they look really, really good right now. Only an extreme bid thief scenario could keep them out.

[WPI89]

LOLOLOLOLOL - it takes a village - thanks all!

[Greek Tragedy]

Otterbein survives Ohio Northern. Yes, Ott was already in, but the bubble teams didn't need Ohio Northern to think they're good and win the OAC conference championship this weekend. Of course, Heidelberg doesn't care about anyone's feelings because they are only down 1 at Mount Union early in the 2nd half.

[Greek Tragedy]

Wilkes is tied with Catholic in the Landmark semis with just under 13 to go. That's a bubble burster.

[Greek Tragedy]

Heidelberg is up on Mount Union. To keep the status quo, Ott will have to beat Heidelberg in the final to keep the OAC a 2-bid league.

[Greek Tragedy]

Susquehanna beat Drew and, more importantly, Wilkes bear Catholic, sending Catholic into the At-large pool.

[CNU85]

In the SLIAC Tournament, why was Lyon the home team as the 3 seed in a game vs MUW, the 2 seed?

[Ryan Scott (Hoops Fan)]

In the SLIAC Tournament, why was Lyon the home team as the 3 seed in a game vs MUW, the 2 seed?

I wonder if it's a jersey thing?  No need to do laundry the next day?