NESCAC

[kansas hokie]

M'bury would jump to #19 in today's RPI if that win is in there (Williams win value will drop to maybe #20 or #21), 57.38 NPI and 56 is around where NPI cutoff was last year. Loss to Conn college for example in first round drops that NPI to 56.85. I think Middlebury is safe, huge win today. Win a couple more in NESCAC and might even host first two rounds.

[phinnyindia]

What are the chances Hamilton sneaks into the National tournament Kansas Hokie?

[blooter442]

Long-time listener, definitely not a first time caller, but first in a while and finally got myself to a Bowdoin game while living in Brunswick. The 'Bears and the 'Bos played out to a 0-0 with only a handful of decent scoring chances, the best of which Tufts cleared off the line towards the end of the first half. The ball stayed on the ground most of the first half with some nice interplay, which I didn't expect for a NESCAC game, but started to see more high balls (switches mainly) in the second. Both teams seemed happy with a point by the end.

[northman]

Thanks for the game summary, Blooter.  I wasn't able to get there or watch online as I had other things going on this evening.  For what it's worth, the stat line seemed to favor Bowdoin.  Was that reflective in the ebb and flow of the game?

[blooter442]

Thanks for the game summary, Blooter.  I wasn't able to get there or watch online as I had other things going on this evening.  For what it's worth, the stat line seemed to favor Bowdoin.  Was that reflective in the ebb and flow of the game?

Definitely seemed like it! That said, Tufts had the game's last four shots. There was one ball fizzed across the box from Bowdoin #33 with a few minutes left that was begging to be finished but went untouched. IIRC Tufts' best chance was ballooned over the bar with around 15 left.

[northman]

Thanks.  Makes sense.  And now we have a Midd fan suggesting that Midd will romp easily to the national title...

[Bucket]

Thanks.  Makes sense.  And now we have a Midd fan suggesting that Midd will romp easily to the national title...

LOL. Are you referring to me? As the only Midd fan who has posted today, I'm assuming so.

Curious as to how you interpreted my post as a suggestion that Midd will romp easily to a national title.

To recap:

• I stated that Midd had an emphatic win at Williams today
• I stated this locked the Panthers into the 6th seed against an opponent tbd
• I stated that those who calculate NPI numbers predict the win gets Middlebury into the tournament.
• I stated that a win or two in conference tourney would only solidify a tournament berth.
• I stated nothing further.

[nescac fan246]

Thanks.  Makes sense.  And now we have a Midd fan suggesting that Midd will romp easily to the national title...

Northman- Welcome to the CAC. Bowdoin hasn't won a meaningful game since Vietnam. Rueda Duran had a few too many burgers this summer so he's capped at 10 minutes a game. Excited to see the Panthers Maul the Polar Bears this weekend.

[kansas hokie]

What are the chances Hamilton sneaks into the National tournament Kansas Hokie?

Hamilton is going to be a sort of interesting team. They have only one more game now and I have that as a win. That will give them a final NPI of 55.784 which is going to be very very close to the cut line. Hamilton fans will want to cheer for no "bid stealers" (unexpected conference tourney champions). Cheer hard for Bowdoin to win NESCAC as that's Hamilton's only team they beat that it's in the conference tourney. After that, Wesleyan and Middlebury would be good. Ithaca winning their conference also would help. Any small bump up could be the difference. There will be wiggles up and down as the games come in. Should be interesting.

[deiscanton]

We are now in the final two weeks of the regular season.  From now on, the NCAA DIII Men's Soccer Committee is planning to do daily runs of the NPI numbers and release daily NPI summary reports until the end of conference tournament play on Sunday, November 9.  The final report released will then indicate that it is the selections report and the at-large teams will be picked from that report. 

This most recent daily NPI run covers games through Monday, October 27, 2025.

The report is available at http://stats.ncaa.org/selection_rankings/nitty_gritties/46431

NESCAC teams nationally ranked by NPI as of this report

1.) Tufts (#1 in NPI)-- 60.543
2.) Williams (#6 in NPI)-- 58.582
3.) Bowdoin (#7 in NPI)-- 58.573
4.) Connecticut College (#10 in NPI)-- 58.202
5.) Wesleyan (#11 in NPI)-- 58.106
6.) Amherst (#27 in NPI)-- 56.604
7.) Middlebury (#29 in NPI)-- 56.541
8.) Hamilton (#40 in NPI)-- 55.573
9.) Bates (#53 in NPI)-- 54.955
10.) Colby (#58 in NPI)-- 54.857

10 of the 11 NESCAC men's soccer teams currently carry quality win bonuses, as their NPIs are above 54.

11.)  Trinity (CT)  (#142 in NPI)-- 51.729

[paclassic89]

What are the chances Hamilton sneaks into the National tournament Kansas Hokie?

Hamilton is going to be a sort of interesting team. They have only one more game now and I have that as a win. That will give them a final NPI of 55.784 which is going to be very very close to the cut line. Hamilton fans will want to cheer for no "bid stealers" (unexpected conference tourney champions). Cheer hard for Bowdoin to win NESCAC as that's Hamilton's only team they beat that it's in the conference tourney. After that, Wesleyan and Middlebury would be good. Ithaca winning their conference also would help. Any small bump up could be the difference. There will be wiggles up and down as the games come in. Should be interesting.

Hamilton doesn't have any more games left.  They won't make the tourney nor should they.  A team with a .567 winning % that didn't even make their conference playoffs getting an at large would be a travesty

[Ejay]

What are the chances Hamilton sneaks into the National tournament Kansas Hokie?

Hamilton is going to be a sort of interesting team. They have only one more game now and I have that as a win. That will give them a final NPI of 55.784 which is going to be very very close to the cut line. Hamilton fans will want to cheer for no "bid stealers" (unexpected conference tourney champions). Cheer hard for Bowdoin to win NESCAC as that's Hamilton's only team they beat that it's in the conference tourney. After that, Wesleyan and Middlebury would be good. Ithaca winning their conference also would help. Any small bump up could be the difference. There will be wiggles up and down as the games come in. Should be interesting.

Hamilton doesn't have any more games left.  They won't make the tourney nor should they.  A team with a .567 winning % that didn't even make their conference playoffs getting an at large would be a travesty

The only difference between this year's Hamilton team (7-5-3) and last year's Hamilton team (7-5-3) is that last year they made the conference playoff and got thumped in round 1. 

[paclassic89]

Yep, a conference that lets 73% of the league into the playoffs. 

[camosfan]

Hamilton did very well in the NCAA playoffs last year, I think they lost in round 3 after leading for a period.

[MunnyTim]

While 73% of the conference gets into the playoffs, this is a conference that had its 6th place finisher win the conference tournament and make the national final.  Beat F&M, Denison, Kenyon, and W&L in the process.