FB: Southern Athletic Association

Started by Ron Boerger, October 25, 2011, 02:57:49 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

0 Members and 3 Guests are viewing this topic.

D3 Poster

Rhodes should've canceled, tough year...and for the league, but need a team to excel in the 2nd half of the season

The Third Division

Quote from: D3 Poster on October 10, 2026, 05:34:26 PMRhodes should've canceled, tough year...and for the league, but need a team to excel in the 2nd half of the season

rhodes needs to declare affiliate membership in the usa south or scac

Ron Boerger

#4232
Quote from: The Third Division on October 11, 2026, 01:19:13 AM
Quote from: D3 Poster on October 10, 2026, 05:34:26 PMRhodes should've canceled, tough year...and for the league, but need a team to excel in the 2nd half of the season

rhodes needs to declare affiliate membership in the usa south or scac

May be time for a coaching change in Memphis.  The current HC has been there since '21 and after a couple of years of improvement (5-5 in '22, 6-4 in '23 with recruits primarily from his predecessor) it's been all downhill since.  They even managed to lose to perennial punching bag Austin, they of the no winning record since the turn of the century, this year. 

On another note, just to show how important your competition (and competition's competition is) when it comes to NPI, prior to this week's games Trinity had the top NPI in the country.  Berry destroys Rhodes and Trinity drops two places.  Trinity easily beats Southwestern and now (per D3Datacast) they are sixth.  The Rhodes result will drop from the Berry calculation once the Vikings win their fifth game, and similarly should Trinity beat Maryville this weekend, they'll drop the Southwestern result.  That game is certainly looking like much more of a battle than it was a few weeks ago, with the Scots finding their footing as of late.  And OBTW the only team with a worse NPI than Rhodes is Gaulladet.

Also - Hardin-Simmons is now #2 in NPI.  If they and Trinity both win out it sets up the NCAA's nightmare scenario where both likely end up with top eight seeds and thus could not play each other in the first three rounds should both advance that far.  That would come as a relief to the folks in Abilene who have seen their season come to an end in San Antonio three of the last four years.

tigerguy

#4233
I assume it was not planned for Hondo to take the majority of the snaps yesterday - seemed he only came in full time when offense kept stalling under Horn. The biggest difference between the two from my perspective is that Hondo trusts his receivers to be in the right place and to go up and make a play, whereas Horn still seems to be looking only for someone who is truly open. That former comes with experience, obviously, but it's crucial at this level to trust your guys to make a play.

Hondo is a gunslinger and you live and die by that, but the offense looked completely different when he was on the field yesterday versus Horn. Urban might have to rethink who leads the team come playoff time, though lots can happen between now and then.

MCScots2013

Quote from: The Third Division on October 11, 2026, 01:19:13 AM
Quote from: D3 Poster on October 10, 2026, 05:34:26 PMRhodes should've canceled, tough year...and for the league, but need a team to excel in the 2nd half of the season

rhodes needs to declare affiliate membership in the usa south or scac

Yes, because those three things would solve everything.

Get better would be my simple advice. They're in Memphis. Tons of talented kids in the area that could do the academics. To suggest otherwise is either entitled laziness in recruiting or "the soft bigotry of low expectations."

Ron Boerger

Quote from: tigerguy on October 11, 2026, 09:19:49 AMI assume it was not planned for Hondo to take the majority of the snaps yesterday - seemed he only came in full time when offense kept stalling under Horn. The biggest difference between the two from my perspective is that Hondo trusts his receivers to be in the right place and to go up and make a play, whereas Horn still seems to be looking only for someone who is truly open. That former comes with experience, obviously, but it's crucial at this level to trust your guys to make a play.

Hondo is a gunslinger and you live and die by that, but the offense looked completely different when he was on the field yesterday versus Horn. Urban might have to rethink who leads the team come playoff time, though lots can happen between now and then.

Don't disagree with this take at all.  It is possible that Horn re-aggravated his hamstring injury or that it was still bothering him (though I didn't watch the game as I was otherwise busy yesterday).

tigerguy

#4236
Quote from: Ron Boerger on October 11, 2026, 12:58:39 PMDon't disagree with this take at all.  It is possible that Horn re-aggravated his hamstring injury or that it was still bothering him (though I didn't watch the game as I was otherwise busy yesterday).

I initially thought the same, but Horn actually came back into the game for two drives in the 4th before a freshman got some reps.

To be fair, though, Horn played the entire 1st Q (ended 0-7 Southwestern), Hondo played 2-3Q, and then Horn came back for (I believe) the first two drives in 4th. So, maybe the 1-2-1 time split was the plan all along. Regardless, the offense did nothing until Hondo came in and then it began to hum. I would love nothing more for Welker to develop into what his brother was (and he may get there), but I don't want nostalgia to influence who is leading this team if he is not getting the job done.

Ron Boerger

#4237
Looking back at last week's predictions:

Quote from: Ron Boerger on October 05, 2026, 10:19:09 AMHansen Ratings:
  • @Millsaps 23.1, Centre 22.9 (MC 50.4% to win)
  • @Southwestern 10.1, Trinity 38.8 (TU 96.5%)
  • @Rhodes 1.1, Berry 41.9 (BC 99.6%)
  • @Maryville 39.5, Sewanee 14.2 (MC 94.7%)

SP+:
  • @Millsaps 25.1, Centre 20.3
  • @Southwestern 7.0, Trinity 38.7
  • @Rhodes 0.0, Berry 47.1
  • @Maryville 36.4, Sewanee 15.7

Actual results:
  • @Millsaps 28, Centre 13
  • @Southwestern 7, Trinity 35
  • @Rhodes 7, Berry 50
  • @Maryville 51, Sewanee 7

No surprises other than the MOVs for both Millsaps and Maryville being larger than projected as both teams seem to be finding their strides.  Here's this week's predictions:

Hansen Ratings:
  • @Trinity 35.2, Maryville 13.2 (TU 92.2% to win)
  • @Berry 36.3, Southwestern 12.1 (BC 93.7% to win)
  • @Sewanee 15.7, Millsaps 43.1 (MC 95.9% to win)
  • @Centre 36.9, Rhodes 4.1 (CC 98.1% to win)

SP +:
  • @Trinity 35.8, Maryville 10.2
  • @Berry 39.8, Southwestern 5.5
  • @Sewanee 12.7, Millsaps 39.2
  • @Centre 38.7, Rhodes 4.0

I think Maryville-Trinity will be closer, Berry-Southwestern less so.  But if these guys are right, it's a pretty mundane week in the SAA.

MCScots2013

I hope you're right about the game being closer than predicted. MC has played a couple tough games on the road against good competition already so hopefully that helps.

Defense is playing much better. OL still needs work, but improving. QB has matured weekly and is playing well. Running game is back from the grave. All this being said after playing Rhodes, Centre and Sewanee the last couple of weeks...

D3Navy

Millsaps has a vibe.  Pulling for Millsaps.