2016 South Atlantic

[NokeAlum15]

Last night's ODAC results:

   Emory & Henry   0   Bridgewater   1   
   Roanoke   0   Maryville (Tenn.)   4   
   N.C. Wesleyan   2   Virginia Wes   3
   W&L            5   Guilford           0
   McDaniel           1   Shenandoah   0   


This weekend looks like a fun weekend for the ODAC

W&L hosting Messiah
Noke @ Randolph
Lburg @ RMC


Should see some separation at the top after this weekend.

[Mr.Right]

That was a bad loss for RUC yesterday at 7-3-3 but they still have some very good wins against ranked teams in Haverford and RUN. Still it would really behoove them to get some kind of result at Rowan which would get them one more ranked result. Big game

[jknezek]

Well after the hammering Messiah laid on W&L, the Generals need to get back on the horse tonight as Lynchburg comes to visit. Sadly this is a non-conf game, but the winner should have a psychological edge if the teams meet again in the ODAC Tournament.

Some comparative numbers to chew on:
Opponent            Lynchburg                    W&L (9-2, key games L to Rowan and Messiah, W to Oneonta St and Ohio Wesleyan)
Messiah                  0-0 Neutral                 0-4 home
H-SC                       1-0 Home                   2-0 home       
Va Wes                    1-0 Home                  2-1 home
EMU                         2-1 Away                   4-0 home


W&L (9-2, key games L to Rowan and Messiah, W to Oneonta St and Ohio Wesleyan)
Lynchburg (9-0-2, key games T to Messiah, W to Christopher Newport)

[lastguyoffthebench]

NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS (PREDICTIONS)
1) Rowan
2) Lynchburg
3) W&L
4) RUN
5) CNU
6) Kean
7) MSU
8) St. Mary's
-------------------------
9) Rutgers-Camden
10) Mary Washington/Ramapo/Maryville

Looking like ODAC will be a two-bid league...
CAC a one bid league... 
NJAC -  Rowan seemingly the only safe team.
           Newark has Ramapo away, Rowan home, Stevens away, MSU home... could be sitting on 5 blemishes by end of regular season.
           Kean has a fairly easy remaining schedule; NJCU, at Camden, at Drew, TCNJ, Ramapo
           MSU has Newark left... should finish 14-5; would need to win opening NJAC playoff game, IMO. 
           Camden or Ramapo would need to run the table...
           MSU (AQ) / ROWAN / RUTGERS-NEWARK would be my 3 choices.

N'JACtion tonight
Rowan over Camden, OT
Newark over Ramapo
MSU over Willy P
TCNJ draw vs Stockton
Kean over NJCU

[firstplaceloser]

That was a bad loss for RUC yesterday at 7-3-3 but they still have some very good wins against ranked teams in Haverford and RUN. Still it would really behoove them to get some kind of result at Rowan which would get them one more ranked result. Big game

huge game tonight. i can't see rowan letting up a loss but it will be 1-0 in OT like every year

[jknezek]

Despite being out shot W&L takes down Lynchburg 2-1.

[firstplaceloser]

rowan with a 2-1 over camden. 2nd goal very lucky. rowan doesnt look strong enough to make a run in the NCAAs.

[Go2Goal]

Rowan rolls on! 2-1 over Camden...Camden sat in as usual. Shots 21-4 for Rowan and they missed a PK. Camden is always a tuff out due to them sitting in and looking for a break to go their way. Camden got a lucky goal on a deflection or it's 2-0 and should have been much worse. Camden never threatened. Big game on Saturday as Rowan travels to Rutgers Newark in a battle for the top of the NJAC!

[lastguyoffthebench]

I still believe that it is MSU's NJAC title to lose this year.

Rowan v Camden was a snooze fest.  I fell asleep in the first half and some of the 2nd half.  Game flow was just eh... Rowan some flopping on stuck in challenges and Camden some poorly played balls.  Camden sat in, but I saw some variations in their tactics... wasn't a straight 4-2-3-1.  I was expecting Rowan to be more dynamic and creative in the final third, but I just did not see it.  21 total shots, but some were very ambitious attempts.  They will struggle vs more organized/defensive first type teams in the tournament, but the elite 8 run should be there.

Brett came up big for Camden early.  The raptors were way more direct as the GK didn't play the ball to the outside backs as much... just booming drop kicks and playing for 2nd balls in the offensive third. 
 

[lastguyoffthebench]

Stockton (1-3-2 [NJAC]) after the TCNJ win last night; Willy P, NJCU, Camden...  should steal that last spot for conf playoffs.

TCNJ (3-3 [NJAC]) has MSU and Kean on the road, Rowan at home.    Big trouble for the Lions.

[NokeAlum15]

The usual suspects in the top of the ODAC

1. W&L
2. Roanoke
3. Lynchburg

Interesting ODAC games this weekend:

Noke @ Va Wes
Macon @ W&L

[Mr.Right]

Frankly, I am shocked that RUN is not in the D3 Top 25. They are 14-2-0. Granted they have played a bit of a soft schedule BUT in their last 8 games they have given up 1 goal. That is 7 shutouts in 8 games. I realize the competition has not been great but half of the games were against NJAC teams. When I saw them earlier in the year I thought they were a bit weak defensively but a good and skilled attacking team with a couple very dangerous players. HUGE game at home v Rowan on Saturday. I would like to catch the game as I have not seen Rowan play yet.

[NokeAlum15]

Randolph Macon beats W&L 1-0

Noke @ Va Wes kicks off at 7pm

[lastguyoffthebench]

NCAA REGIONAL RANKINGS (PREDICTIONS)
1) Rowan
2) Lynchburg
3) W&L
4) RUN
5) CNU
6) Kean
7) MSU
8) St. Mary's
-------------------------
9) Rutgers-Camden
10) Mary Washington/Ramapo/Maryville

Looking like ODAC will be a two-bid league...
CAC a one bid league... 
NJAC -  Rowan seemingly the only safe team.
           Newark has Ramapo away, Rowan home, Stevens away, MSU home... could be sitting on 5 blemishes by end of regular season.
           Kean has a fairly easy remaining schedule; NJCU, at Camden, at Drew, TCNJ, Ramapo
           MSU has Newark left... should finish 14-5; would need to win opening NJAC playoff game, IMO. 
           Camden or Ramapo would need to run the table...
           MSU (AQ) / ROWAN / RUTGERS-NEWARK would be my 3 choices.

N'JACtion tonight
Rowan over Camden, OT
Newark over Ramapo
MSU over Willy P
TCNJ draw vs Stockton
Kean over NJCU

Updated prediction:
1) Rowan
2) W&L (3-2 RvR; could also be as low as #4); Smart scheduling... Wins over OWU, Oneonta St, and Lynchburg...
3) Rutgers-Newark (should be anywhere from 2-0 to 3-1 RvR---). Have Stevens and MSU left + the NJAC... anywhere from #2 to #4.
4) Lynchburg (1-1-1 RvR; CNU-W&L-Messiah); wouldn't surprise me to see Lynchburg as high as #2 as low as #5)
5) CNU
6) MSU schedule not as strong as Emory, but a better RvR
7) Emory
8) Maryville
-------------------------------------------------
9) Rutgers-Camden or Centre (combination of RvR and SOS)
10) St. Mary's
10) Kean (no wins vs Ranked)
11) could see Randolph Macon climb with win over W&L; and 8-2-2 record.   


MASSEY RANKINGS / (SOS)
3)   Rowan (5)
7)   Rutgers-Newark (55)
8)   Lynchburg (14)
9)   CNU (34)
16) W&L (20)
23) Maryville (176)
24) Montclair St (46)
27) Emory (10)
-------------------------------
29) Kean (98)
40) Rutgers-Camden (12)

[Flying Weasel]

Just remember, there is no RvR in the first weekly rankings because there is no previous rankings upon which to base it.